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Evidence of inconsistencies in evaluation process and selection of winners

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271–280 of 338 posts

Re: Evidence of inconsistencies in evaluation process and selection of winners

#271
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your perspective is a short arc. “Look what I can do now and look it made me way more productive.” I have no doubt it is true, you are on the up right now. However thinking of the long arc is important to, even though it has no consequence for you right now. AI is a force multiplayer and scarily dangerous in the wrong hands. We can already see by these discussions how uncertain things are. Just food for thought.

On the long arc is a better world: post-scarcity, accelerated advancement in important fields (such as medicine), and just general improvement in lifestyle for the greater global population. The primary scare is that the higher capabilities will be restricted to some small subset as most resources currently are today, but the increasing release of open models is helping to counteract that possibility.

Yes, I think agree with what you say. I think the future is still wide open, and I feel we must start thinking of what creates better results in the long run.

Re: Evidence of inconsistencies in evaluation process and selection of winners

#272
post #92

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It very frequently feels like management is making strategic decisions after snorting a long line of social-media-psychosis and TED talks. It is remarkable that investors have any faith in such founders/entrepreneurs at all. My guess is the causality is usually * the managers are pursuing things because their investors (/government ministries) hinted it was the future after snorting a line of "TED talks" and "socia…

Decision trees are one of the oldest forms of AI! There are even algorithms to automatically form decision trees, though you don't need ML to have AI.

Indeed; As I recall, I mentioned GOFAI in the interview and got amused agreement.

Re: Evidence of inconsistencies in evaluation process and selection of winners

#273

> "Finding 1: Scale Buys Evaluation, Not Control" The attached paper's ( https://arxiv.org/pdf/2604.16009 ) title is "MEDLEY-BENCH: Scale Buys Evaluation but Not Control in AI Metacognition" This is the most blatant Claude line, or as Claude would put it, the smoking gun.

This is jaw-droppingly lazy slop. The authors really didn't put in even an ounce of thought or effort.

Re: Evidence of inconsistencies in evaluation process and selection of winners

#274

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The term AGI was coined almost 30 years ago; is that when the marketers got ahold of it?

I would say IBM poisoned the well with the term AI. Watson was probably the biggest inflection point, but there was stuff earlier too.

I'm old enough to remember Deep Blue.

Re: Evidence of inconsistencies in evaluation process and selection of winners

#275
post #63

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think we need to address the underlying causes of people outsourcing their thinking like that. And a big contribution is “move fast.” No one has time to read, process, and think, because The Powers That Be (capital) want their results now.

With the exception of _one_ company that I worked at, pretty much every[0] company was a struggle between engineering and management. Engineering wants to get the software correct, and management wants to fire-hose features into the market. Most of the time (so more than half, at least), management tends to have a compulsion to mindlessly imitate what other companies/competitors are doing, usually without prioritizat…

> ...management is making strategic decisions after snorting a long line of social-media-psychosis and TED talks.

+1. Straight into my quotes file.

Re: Evidence of inconsistencies in evaluation process and selection of winners

#276
post #219

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I mean employees pushing for remote work is a status and power play, too. I’d imagine self-centered employees don’t like being told where to work either. Office work isn’t objectively bad and remote work isn’t objectively good. If you like one and dislike the other, shocker you’re going to find fault with the other side’s reasoning.

I can only speak for myself, and I wouldn't necessarily describe myself as self-centered - except maybe for the fact that I resent two hours of my time being taken from me every time I have to go to the office, and not even getting any money for it. And being told to work 3 and soon 5 days from the office after it has been proven that home office works just as well feels like turning back the clock. Yes, that's an ex…

It isn't wrong to be self-centered!

How many self-centered people have you met in your life who go, "yep, I'd call myself self-centered."

BUT if you work with people who would rather work with you in an office then you are being self-centered by putting your wishes to work remotely above their's. That is not wrong! But it is also not wrong for their wishes to include you commuting into an office.

If 2 people have different and conflicting desires, one of them is likely to end up disappointed!

Re: Evidence of inconsistencies in evaluation process and selection of winners

#277
post #92
post #63

Earlier quoted context omitted.

With the exception of _one_ company that I worked at, pretty much every[0] company was a struggle between engineering and management. Engineering wants to get the software correct, and management wants to fire-hose features into the market. Most of the time (so more than half, at least), management tends to have a compulsion to mindlessly imitate what other companies/competitors are doing, usually without prioritizat…

> It very frequently feels like management is making strategic decisions after snorting a long line of social-media-psychosis and TED talks. It is remarkable that investors have any faith in such founders/entrepreneurs at all. My guess is the causality is usually * the managers are pursuing things because their investors (/government ministries) hinted it was the future after snorting a line of "TED talks" and "socia…

It's all different forms of monkeystatus games. Humans, like other primates, have an area of the brain which monitors how dominant they are within the pack. Capitalism is all about this brain area. Despite beliefs, it has nothing to do with merit.

Re: Evidence of inconsistencies in evaluation process and selection of winners

#278
post #247

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's not true. AI was widely used to refer to the decision systems and state machines that produced NPC behaviour in video games, and I'm sure many other things than just science fiction

Parsing used to be "AI". If you look at proceedings of old AI conferences you get this impression that anything interesting you might program a computer to do has passed through the field at some point.

Weren't they trying to parse human languages? I think that's still AI. And they didn't manage to, but what they tried ended up falling down to a more basic level of computer science.

Re: Evidence of inconsistencies in evaluation process and selection of winners

#279
post #131
post #21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s a nice thought, but it’s probably not true as the AI becomes integrated into standard hiring tools

It’s true by virtue of any place relying on such tools having a high likelihood of turning into a horrible workplace due to the resulting hires.

They're standard because everybody uses them. There are no big hiring CMS offers which don't integrate AI.

I'm not saying this is good, but I am saying that the companies hiring have less of a choice in all this than you'd hope.

Re: Evidence of inconsistencies in evaluation process and selection of winners

#280
post #92

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It very frequently feels like management is making strategic decisions after snorting a long line of social-media-psychosis and TED talks. It is remarkable that investors have any faith in such founders/entrepreneurs at all. My guess is the causality is usually * the managers are pursuing things because their investors (/government ministries) hinted it was the future after snorting a line of "TED talks" and "socia…

It's all different forms of monkeystatus games. Humans, like other primates, have an area of the brain which monitors how dominant they are within the pack. Capitalism is all about this brain area. Despite beliefs, it has nothing to do with merit.

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