Earlier quoted context omitted.
I've long believed those numbers were faked by Anthropic/OpenAI to serve as a form of advertisement. The estimates are impossible to verify and their ability to do "2 days of work" in 10 minutes will presumably make the user go "Wow, I just saved SO much time!" Plus, the unnecessary text eats up the users' tokens so it helps the companies on the backend, as well.
> the estimates It doesn't estimate. It generates tokens that read like estimates associated with the context in its training material. What would you expect the generator to output instead?
Even Gary Marcus is starting to come around and realize that his priors are no longer as relevant as they once were.