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DeepSeek makes the V4 Pro price discount permanent

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271–280 of 586 posts

Re: DeepSeek makes the V4 Pro price discount permanent

#271
Reminds me of this parking ramp I used to use occasionally. I'd park for hours and when leaving the guy in the booth would tell me the charge and it would always be ridiculously low, like $0.50 or $1.00. Definitely not enough to pay for the guy to sit in the booth.

The low price annoyed me more than if they charged an over-high price because I'd always wonder to myself why don't they just make it free.

Re: DeepSeek makes the V4 Pro price discount permanent

#272

Reminds me of this parking ramp I used to use occasionally. I'd park for hours and when leaving the guy in the booth would tell me the charge and it would always be ridiculously low, like $0.50 or $1.00. Definitely not enough to pay for the guy to sit in the booth. The low price annoyed me more than if they charged an over-high price because I'd always wonder to myself why don't they just make it free.

Perhaps keeping the booth guy employed was the real point.

Re: DeepSeek makes the V4 Pro price discount permanent

#273
I have no idea why people celebrate this. It is replacing one feudal lord by another.

We don't need AI at all. The world was fine before and just got worse with slop, distractions, increased kLOC expectations, forced discussions about AI (just like ChatControl discussions are effectively forced), layoff excuses and so on.

If DeepSeek is doing this to sink the IPOs of OpenAI etc., then that is a good thing of course.

Re: DeepSeek makes the V4 Pro price discount permanent

#275
While Anthropic, OpenAI and Google continue to charge an expensive amount of $$$ for in/output per million tokens and Microsoft complaining that AI costs more than hiring humans [0] and changes their pricing, it appears that Jevons paradox applies only to Deepseek.

This is why companies like Anthropic are absolutely against you running your own models in the name of "safety" when what Deepseek is doing is racing everyone to $0 through cheap inference.

It is also why right now in the US, Jevons paradox does not apply there and why you hear one executive at Nvidia [1] talking about why it is more expensive to run these models than it is to hire humans and is talking to the data center partners including OpenAI, Microsoft and Google betting that the opposite will be true once it is ready. That could take years.

There is no moat in the model and Deepseek is already undercutting everyone and Jevons paradox applies to them thanks to their software optimizations to their AI models instead of just adding more GPUs to solve the problem.

Good.

[0] https://fortune.com/2026/05/22/microsoft-ai-cost-problem-tok...

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47941609

Re: DeepSeek makes the V4 Pro price discount permanent

#276
I'm quite sure (and you could find it somewhere of course) that the Chinese models would've been fine-tuned for certain leanings and world views. Even so, at what point is even the quality risk (assuming your use case won't be affected by those adjustments) and any potential privacy concerns outweighed by the fact that it's literally an order of magnitude (and sometimes multiple, for output tokens etc!) cheaper than the US frontier models?

Re: DeepSeek makes the V4 Pro price discount permanent

#277

I'm quite sure (and you could find it somewhere of course) that the Chinese models would've been fine-tuned for certain leanings and world views. Even so, at what point is even the quality risk (assuming your use case won't be affected by those adjustments) and any potential privacy concerns outweighed by the fact that it's literally an order of magnitude (and sometimes multiple, for output tokens etc!) cheaper than…

I suspect for many companies, the sunk cost of tokens relative to the output gain is low. The productivity gain we get from AI is such that using the latest Opus or GPT far outweighs the cost savings using a non frontier Chinese model.

Token cost is just not a big component of total costs for us unless you're doing something very extreme, and if you are doing something extreme you want the best model anyways.

Re: DeepSeek makes the V4 Pro price discount permanent

#279

I have no idea why people celebrate this. It is replacing one feudal lord by another. We don't need AI at all. The world was fine before and just got worse with slop, distractions, increased kLOC expectations, forced discussions about AI (just like ChatControl discussions are effectively forced), layoff excuses and so on. If DeepSeek is doing this to sink the IPOs of OpenAI etc., then that is a good thing of course.

How is it a 'feudal lord'? These are local models.

Re: DeepSeek makes the V4 Pro price discount permanent

#280
post #278

Turing was half right. Pass his test and you haven't proven a machine can think — you've proven it can make us think it does. That's a far more dangerous thing to have built.

That was always what the turning test was, even according to turing ...
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