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If more than 50% press blue, everyone survives. Red pressers always survive

shankwiler.com

271–280 of 333 posts

Re: If more than 50% press blue, everyone survives. Red pressers always survive

#271
post #82

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is it worse? Wouldn't the red people end up with more like-minded red people?

I think most of the people who pick blue would be empathic, loving people that are just kind of bad at game theory. I don't think I want to live in a world in which they all died out.

[dead]

Re: If more than 50% press blue, everyone survives. Red pressers always survive

#272

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But why would those pick blue? They have the same incentive to just pick red.

Same as with the original dilemma. Most people are not sociopaths and will choose to cooperate with empathy for everyone else. That's just how species survive and adapt. (1) Alternatively, some people believe that sustained cooperation is in itself a sustained equilibrium. (2) Most of the world is not as individualistic as Silicon Valley engineers believe in their own ivory towers after decades of reading Ayn Rand. (…

but in the original dilemma you have an advantage by taking a choice at the disadvantage of the other.

But there is no advantage here to pick blue, nobody should pick blue because if we all pick red we all win.

Re: If more than 50% press blue, everyone survives. Red pressers always survive

#273
post #18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Are you also forcing children to press a button or not? Because the answer to this question changes things *a lot*.

Yes the inclusion of children does change things, in that it makes choosing red even more obvious. The problem is posed to the world. You have children, and they ask you what they should do. You tell them to pick red because you're their parent you can't bring yourself to have them risk their lives for some noble purpose. According to blue buttoners, this parent is an evil person, right?

Good luck forcing a child to actually press the red button though. Especially a small child.

Re: If more than 50% press blue, everyone survives. Red pressers always survive

#274

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There are two globally optimal solutions to this problem: > 50% pick blue (saving everybody), and 100% of the people pick red (saving everybody). There is only one Nash equilibrium, which is for everybody to pick red. This is also strictly dominant for each player (if they choose red, they have a 100% chance of surviving, while if they choose blue, they only survive if > 50% of other people also choose blue). Knowing…

> Nash equilibrium Bro... Game theory laws like Nash equilibrium dont apply if the population is irrational. Which it largely is! Good luck explaining Nash equilibrium to a baby.

"Did you realise that no matter the outcome, everyone who picks red can never die? Let's all pick red and not die!"

Seems pretty easy to me.

Re: If more than 50% press blue, everyone survives. Red pressers always survive

#277

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Bringing rationalism - or whatever - clouds the discussion. Blue is purely a win-win for me, so it's rational to only choose blue. Reds have their own value judgement. "Rationality" is a useless quality to debate here.

> Blue is purely a win-win for me Dying is a win for you?

Either everyone lives or you don't get to experience the mess that follows when red wins cause you're dead. Sounds like a strictly better option indeed.

Re: If more than 50% press blue, everyone survives. Red pressers always survive

#278
post #60

This is like a prisoner's dilemma, but with no payoff for the risky option. In a prisoner's dilemma, you can choose a risky option (stay quiet), but the potential reward is that if the other prisoner also stays quiet then you both go completely free. But if one prisoner instead speaks up and accuses the other prisoner, the accuser gets a short sentence and the one who stayed quiet gets a max sentence. But in this sce…

They payoff is, you know you are not the reason why the people who pressed the blue button died. Blue risk their lives to safe others, red safe themselves. Blue won’t get survivor’s guilt

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Re: If more than 50% press blue, everyone survives. Red pressers always survive

#280

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Bringing rationalism - or whatever - clouds the discussion. Blue is purely a win-win for me, so it's rational to only choose blue. Reds have their own value judgement. "Rationality" is a useless quality to debate here.

> Blue is purely a win-win for me Dying is a win for you?

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