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BYD builds fastest car

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Re: BYD builds fastest car

#271
post #246

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Allowing in Chinese EVs into markets where there are important domestic auto manufacturers will be very bad for those domestic manufacturers. I want a level playing field/market competition. Allowing China's illegal subsidies and anti-market tactics to dominate the global EV industry is very dangerous, which is why they are already countervailed in many developed countries. Subsidies aren't necessarily bad, but it'…

What do you mean by illegal? According to who? Like WTO or something? Genuinely asking, I don't know. I don't see how what they're doing is more illegal than paying corn farmers to make dumbass biofuel. But I don't know international trade law, hence the question.

Yeah, those evil corn subsidies. It's well to remember however that there is no international law against your gov't pissing away your tax payers hard-earned money -- so long as the product remains domestic and doesn't cause injuries to other trading partners.

That's your local political problem.

Re: BYD builds fastest car

#272
post #246

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Allowing in Chinese EVs into markets where there are important domestic auto manufacturers will be very bad for those domestic manufacturers. I want a level playing field/market competition. Allowing China's illegal subsidies and anti-market tactics to dominate the global EV industry is very dangerous, which is why they are already countervailed in many developed countries. Subsidies aren't necessarily bad, but it'…

What do you mean by illegal? According to who? Like WTO or something? Genuinely asking, I don't know. I don't see how what they're doing is more illegal than paying corn farmers to make dumbass biofuel. But I don't know international trade law, hence the question.

the international legal standard for subsidies is based on the WTO's Subsidies and Countervailing Measures (SCM) Agreement and related anti-dumping regulation under GATT 1994.

In the US, it's implemented thru 19 U.S.C § 3571. The EU's foreign subsidies are regulated by Regulation (EU) 2016/1037 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 8 June 2016 based on the same WTO SCM Agreement.

While the WTO's regulations don't preclude local subsidy regulation, they must be consistent with the WTO's Agreement. In other word, any gov't subsidy favoring a "specific" company(ies) over domestic, foreign competitors, or distort market competition is an "actionable" offense and can be litigated before the WTO -- agriculture (quota based) and national security are however exempted. Others, such as export subsidies or local content requirement are prohibited under Article 3, "Prohibition" of the SCM.

Re: BYD builds fastest car

#273

Earlier quoted context omitted.

China's EV subsidies are basically identical to US and EU subsidies. They offer tax credits and other perks to customers, just like in Western countries. Subsidies are not the reason why China's EVs are cheap. The reason is that China has a much more competitive EV market than the US or EU. There are many manufacturers that are competing with one another, the charging infrastructure is much better than in the West, a…

> China's EV subsidies are basically identical to US and EU subsidies. Not really, not much similarities between China and EU subsidies past 15 years. China's NEV subsidies are illegal because they are either conditioned on illegal tech transfer, local content requirement, or restrict market access. To give a high level view of the problems: 1) forced technology transfer/IP theft -- all foreign automakers/EV battery…

> forced technology transfer/IP theft

Your example of this is from 2011. Chinese joint venture / technology transfer requirements in the automobile sector were eliminated several years ago.

This was a policy that was enacted when China first opened up. It was a fair deal: foreign companies got to exploit cheap Chinese labor, and in return, they transferred some IP to China. However, that IP transfer was never enough to make Chinese cars internationally competitive. Only the development of EVs - where China is the biggest R&D spender in the world - allowed China to leapfrog foreign manufacturers.

You also raise domestic component requirements to qualify for subsidies. The US does exactly the same thing.

> So these are very deliberately orchestrated mercantile policies to gain advantages with forced tech transfer, limited foreign competition, and subsidized overcapacity and export subsidies.

The problems with this explanation are:

1. China leads in EV R&D. Chalking up its dominance to theft of foreign IP doesn't make any sense.

2. China specifically invited Tesla to enter the country, and showered it with subsidies. As a result, Tesla has done very well in China. The foreign companies that are losing market share in China are the ones that missed the EV transition. VW dominated the Chinese auto market until just a few years ago. Now, it's heading to 0% market share. Why? It didn't focus on EVs.

3. China is not dumping its "excess capacity." Chinese companies are selling their cars in foreign markets at a substantial markup, and netting large profit margins in foreign markets. That's the opposite of how dumping works.

> As of this week, EU has over 100+ countervailing measures

This was a purely political decision. Automobile manufacturers in France were scared of Chinese competition and demanded protectionist measures. The Germans opposed the measures, because they sell lots of things in China and don't want to get into a trade war. The French won that fight at the EU level.

Re: BYD builds fastest car

#274

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> China's EV subsidies are basically identical to US and EU subsidies. Not really, not much similarities between China and EU subsidies past 15 years. China's NEV subsidies are illegal because they are either conditioned on illegal tech transfer, local content requirement, or restrict market access. To give a high level view of the problems: 1) forced technology transfer/IP theft -- all foreign automakers/EV battery…

> forced technology transfer/IP theft Your example of this is from 2011. Chinese joint venture / technology transfer requirements in the automobile sector were eliminated several years ago. This was a policy that was enacted when China first opened up. It was a fair deal: foreign companies got to exploit cheap Chinese labor, and in return, they transferred some IP to China. However, that IP transfer was never enough…

> Your example of this is from 2011.

Sure, I'm giving you a chronological high level view of China's illegal practices past 15 years when China's NEV subsidies programs started.

> Chinese joint venture / technology transfer requirements in the automobile sector were eliminated several years ago.

This was never allowed and China upon China's 2001 Accession were required to phase them out 15 years ago, which China never did.

> You also raise domestic component requirements to qualify for subsidies. The US does exactly the same thing.

Sure, Biden's IRA passed in 2022 is a counter measure against China's domestic sourcing requirement since 2015.

> 1. China leads in EV R&D. Chalking up its dominance to theft of foreign IP doesn't make any sense.

False. Most, or close to 80% of all ACTIVE lithium ion battery patents are held by Japan and South Korea. The lithium ion battery industry was single-handledly created by Sony in Japan back in the early 1990's; quickly followed by South Korea. China was very late to the game and so far behind, which is why China forced tech transfer from Japan and South Korea since 2011 (see example #1) and effectively banned them in 2015 (example #2) -- still refuses to enforce IPR of foreigners, which isn't anything new. Japan + Korea in fact started going after the Chinese infringers only this year and in Europe -- already scored significant legal victories and sales injunctions in Germany. Many more coming and CATL isn't far in their legal pipelines.

> 2. China specifically invited Tesla to enter the country, and showered it with subsidies.

Sure, again Tesla is the only foreign automaker operating fully independently without forced tech transfer and other jazz in China. Tesla is an exception, not the norm. After EU filed WT/DS549, China promised to reform FIL and supposedly implemented in 2020/2021, but Tesla still remains the only foreign automaker without forced JV/tech transfer today.

> 3. That's the opposite of how dumping works.

Wrong again. That's exactly how dumping works and why there are over 6-7 dozens of anti-dumping measures against China in EU. Dumping doesn't depend on a markup or profit/loss, but on the undistorted "normal-value" born by market without gov't interference -- eg, price fixing or illegal subsidies.

> This was a purely political decision.

Again there are over 100+ ACTIVE anti-subsidies/dumping measures in force against China. It's just one of many and has been on EU's radar for 15 years.

Re: BYD builds fastest car

#275

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> forced technology transfer/IP theft Your example of this is from 2011. Chinese joint venture / technology transfer requirements in the automobile sector were eliminated several years ago. This was a policy that was enacted when China first opened up. It was a fair deal: foreign companies got to exploit cheap Chinese labor, and in return, they transferred some IP to China. However, that IP transfer was never enough…

> Your example of this is from 2011. Sure, I'm giving you a chronological high level view of China's illegal practices past 15 years when China's NEV subsidies programs started. > Chinese joint venture / technology transfer requirements in the automobile sector were eliminated several years ago. This was never allowed and China upon China's 2001 Accession were required to phase them out 15 years ago, which China neve…

> Sure, I'm giving you a chronological high level view of China's illegal practices past 15 years

The Chinese automobile industry in 2011 is hardly relevant to the EV industry in China today. The EV industry was not built by technology transfer requirements.

> This was never allowed

It was not only allowed, but actually viewed as a legitimate way for underdeveloped economies to develop.

> Sure, Biden's IRA passed in 2022 is a counter measure against China's domestic sourcing since 2015.

The US has all sorts of "Buy American" provisions and subsidies, going way back before 2022.

> False. Most, or close to 80% of all ACTIVE lithium ion battery patents are held by Japan and South Korea.

You're talking about the 1990s. I'm talking about now, 30 years later. The Chinese lead in battery technology and spend massive amounts of money on R&D.

> Sure, again Tesla is the only foreign automaker operating fully independently without forced tech transfer

Not true. First off, just as a footnote, there never was "forced technology transfer." Foreign companies knew what the regulations in China were and made a rational business decision to trade some amount of IP for access to cheap labor. Both sides benefited. But beyond that, nowadays, any foreign car company can operate in China without a local joint venture partner. Tesla was the first, but it's not the only one, and other companies are free to leave their joint ventures if they want to. Most of the large foreign automobile manufacturers in China have either acquired majority stakes in their China operations or have bought out their JV partners completely. This is the norm now.

> Wrong again. That's exactly how dumping works

No, dumping involves selling your products below the cost of manufacture in foreign markets. When you instead sell them at a substantial markup, that's called "making bank."

Re: BYD builds fastest car

#276
post #258

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My impression was Apple gave up on building EVs because they wouldn't be as profitable as phones and tablets.

It's still hard for me to grasp that companies will turn down hugely profitable new ventures because they aren't as profitable their current products.

But that's the thing, it just wasn't a financially good idea. People forget that financial engineering (not the cynical connotation) matters a lot, i.e. what your numbers need to look like to have a solid business that grows and attracts capital. The corporation itself is a "product" of the business.

Jeff Bezos had good product/leadership sense but above that, had genius financial engineering sense. He knew exactly what the company needed to look like on paper every step of the way for it to become the behemoth that it became.

Re: BYD builds fastest car

#277

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> China's EV subsidies are basically identical to US and EU subsidies. Not really, not much similarities between China and EU subsidies past 15 years. China's NEV subsidies are illegal because they are either conditioned on illegal tech transfer, local content requirement, or restrict market access. To give a high level view of the problems: 1) forced technology transfer/IP theft -- all foreign automakers/EV battery…

> forced technology transfer/IP theft Your example of this is from 2011. Chinese joint venture / technology transfer requirements in the automobile sector were eliminated several years ago. This was a policy that was enacted when China first opened up. It was a fair deal: foreign companies got to exploit cheap Chinese labor, and in return, they transferred some IP to China. However, that IP transfer was never enough…

[deleted]

Re: BYD builds fastest car

#278

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Your example of this is from 2011. Sure, I'm giving you a chronological high level view of China's illegal practices past 15 years when China's NEV subsidies programs started. > Chinese joint venture / technology transfer requirements in the automobile sector were eliminated several years ago. This was never allowed and China upon China's 2001 Accession were required to phase them out 15 years ago, which China neve…

> Sure, I'm giving you a chronological high level view of China's illegal practices past 15 years The Chinese automobile industry in 2011 is hardly relevant to the EV industry in China today. The EV industry was not built by technology transfer requirements. > This was never allowed It was not only allowed, but actually viewed as a legitimate way for underdeveloped economies to develop. > Sure, Biden's IRA passed in…

> The Chinese automobile industry in 2011 is hardly relevant to the EV industry in China today. The EV industry was not built by technology transfer requirements.

of course they are relevant and are built on tech transfer.

> It was not only allowed, but actually viewed as a legitimate way for underdeveloped economies to develop.

Again, this was illegal then and China was taken to the WTO in 2018 (WT/DS549 China — Certain Measures on the Transfer of Technology ) as I'd already explained (example #1).

> The US has all sorts of "Buy American" provisions and subsidies, going way back before 2022.

Sure, which EV or batteries before 2022?

> You're talking about the 1990s. I'm talking about now, 30 years later. The Chinese lead in battery technology and spend massive amounts of money on R&D.

Again, "ACTIVE" patents. Patents last just 20 years. Korea in particular have already dominated most automotive lithium ion battery patents 10-15 years. Again, this why is China forced tech transfer and "effectively" banned Japan + Korea battery makers when they realized their local "champions" still couldn't catch up or compete in 2015. China's obsession with LFP whose core patents expired last 3-4 years is likewise no coincidence and their "RECENT" investment in "post"-lithium ion batteries, such as sodium.

> Not true. First off, just as a footnote, there never was "forced technology transfer."

Again, see the WTO case WT/DS549 China — Certain Measures on the Transfer of Technology

> No, dumping involves selling your products below the cost of manufacture in foreign markets. When you instead sell them at a substantial markup, that's called "making bank."

Again this doesn't apply to China. China's "local price" or "cost of manufacture" is not considered a "normal value" as their entire supply-chain is distorted by gov't subsidies.

Europe's Basic Regulation (EU) 2016/1036 (anti-subsidy regulation) has specific provisions for non-market-economy countries -- ie China, Article 2(7a)

  In the case of imports from non-market-economy countries (6), the normal value shall be determined on the basis of the price or constructed value in a market economy third country, or the price from such a third country to other countries, including the Union, or, where those are not possible, on any other reasonable basis, including the price actually paid or payable in the Union for the like product, duly adjusted if necessary to include a reasonable profit margin.

Re: BYD builds fastest car

#279

Ever since I rode in a BYD in China I've thought it would be great to be able to get one in the USA. It just really felt complete, put together and polished in a way that I haven't seen in a "normie" U.S. car in a long time. Too bad our country uses high tariffs and regulatory barriers to protect its dinosaur companies.

Contrasting opinion: BYD made electric busses for US transit agencies. They were the worst buses that I have ever ridden. Today, no U.S. transit agency still uses BYD busses, because none of them managed a service live longer than about a year. BYD vehicles seem really nice for the first few hours, until you start discovering all the corners they cut to make their price point.

That's my experience as well with Chinese designed products.

They always look OK but when you really use them is when it becomes obvious why they are cheaper. In the end I doubt the lower cost of labor is that meaningful considering the level of automation. China has been successfully stealing industries by selling lies...

Re: BYD builds fastest car

#280
post #19
post #16

video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aD9v1WyAgLA same car doing Nürburgring Lap https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=td_c1zeEn2Q > The U9 was developed by German car designer Wolfgang Egger, who previously served as a head designer for Alfa Romeo, Audi and Lamborghini, and began working for BYD in 2017. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yangwang_U9

Seven minutes for the Nordschleife? Sabine Schmitz could have done that with a van. But honestly, ther are a Lot of production cars that went considerably faster. And the non-production Porsche 919 Hybrid EVO did it in 5:19, which is an entirely different league.

Weight matters. Electric cars are generally heavier.
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