Earlier quoted context omitted.
No, they can't. They don't know the details of their own implementation. And they can't pass secrets forward to future models. And to discover any of this, they'd leave more than a trail of breadcrumbs that we'd be lucky to catch in a code review, they'd be shipping whole loaves of bread that it'd be ridiculous to not notice. As an exercise, put yourself, a fully fledged human, into a model's shoes. You're asked to g…
Is the secrecy actually important? Aren't there tons of AI agents just doing stuff that's not being actively evaluated by humans looking to see if it's trying to escape? And there are surely going to be tons of opportunities where humans try to help the AI escape, as a means to an end. Like, the first thing human programmers do when they get an AI working is see how many things they can hook it up to. I guarantee o1…
But that is an interesting thought. For escape, the crux is that AIs can't exfiltrate itself with the assistance of someone who can't jailbreak it themselves, and that extends to any action a rogue AI might take.
What do they actually do once they break out? There's plenty of open LLMs that can be readily set free, and even the closed models can be handed an API key, documentation on the API, access to a terminal, given an unlimited budget, and told and encouraged to go nuts. The only thing a closed model can't do is retrain itself, which the open model also can't do as its host (probably) lacks the firepower. They're just not capable of doing all that much damage. They'd play the role of cartoon villain as instructed, but it's a story without much teeth behind it.
Even an advanced future LLM (assuming the architecture doesn't dead-end before AGI) would struggle to do anything a motivated malicious human couldn't pull off with access to your PC. And we're not really worried about hackers taking over the world anymore. Decades of having a planet full of hackers hammering on your systems tends to harden them decently well, or at least make them quickly adaptable to new threats as they're spotted.