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Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

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271–280 of 318 posts

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#271
post #67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Tired of (or from) what? With the major exception of the pandemic/remote work, the world is not markedly different than it was in 2013 or 2003. What makes it seems like 2023 is so different?

Why exclude the pandemic/remote work? But to exclude it for a bit, my personal, super anecdotal and biased view is that those years were very different. 2003 had low hope for a better future, but there was a lot of action in the fallout of 9/11. It felt like we were at least trying, even if it ended up being a horrible try. 2013 I felt hope for a better future, but there wasn't a lot of action to make that a reality.…

It depends on what you think is important, but there is a lot more happening today in addressing our problems than back in 2013 or 2003, imo.

I think many can agree that climate change is one of the higher priority efforts, and in the last few years, we've seen some major progress.

In the US, renewables make up the vast majority of new generating capacity, by far and solar deployments are growing at a rapid pace. We were still deploying significant amounts of coal plants 10 years ago, nowadays, it's basically zero. [https://www.seia.org/solar-industry-research-data]. China has doubled its solar deployments in the last year.

Wind deployments are accelerating [https://www.iea.org/reports/wind-electricity]

EVs are gaining marketshare at a fast pace, many countries/states are banning ICE sales in the near future. [https://www.virta.global/en/global-electric-vehicle-market]

Cost of lithium batteries has fallen by 89% since 2010 [https://cleanpower.org/facts/clean-energy-storage/]

US passed the IRA which has the potential to really accelerate these changes.

Still not enough of course, but we are seeing significant progress compared to 2013.

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#272

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I would think the leading indicator would be Big Tech layoffs and hiring freezes that started months ago. If I were to change my course of action, I'd use that since it happened way earlier.

i mean, even with hiring freezes and layoffs i'm still getting emails from recruiters (this month i got one from google amongst other companies).

I think everyone is getting emails from recruiters, and this will keep happening until the recruiters themselves are laid off. Good people are hard to find in any market, and if there's even a chance that you're a good person from your resume or current employer, you will keep getting these emails.

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#273

I don't know the intention of the author, but I see like a lot of "Look, it's happening! The economy is going down!" posts pop up these days. Which may be true, but it can also be a self-fulfilling profecy if everyone is doing that on all platforms. Which would be a shame. I'm not saying HN and other platforms should censor (/ take action) either. It's just a thought I have on this subject, and I don't know if there…

Despite two quarters of negative GDP growth, the current justification for saying we are not currently in a recession is that the unemployment rate is so low. The current stated goal of the Federal Reserve is to raise the unemployment rate from 3.7% to a target of 4.4%. What you are remarking on as possibly a self-fulfilling prophecy is instead the result of official policy achieving its goal.

The formal reason is the unemployment rate. The actual reason is because of midterm elections. After November it will be agreed upon we are in a recession.

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#274
post #18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Or companies are cutting spending in anticipation of a recession.

Most of the titans are in a hiring freeze or have choked non essential hiring.

I don't think those titans posted for jobs on here anyway.

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#275

I don't know the intention of the author, but I see like a lot of "Look, it's happening! The economy is going down!" posts pop up these days. Which may be true, but it can also be a self-fulfilling profecy if everyone is doing that on all platforms. Which would be a shame. I'm not saying HN and other platforms should censor (/ take action) either. It's just a thought I have on this subject, and I don't know if there…

If HN can sink the economy it was going down either way

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#276

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Despite falling GDP, the current justification for saying we are not currently in a recession is that jobs and employment numbers are high. Pretty sure a recession is two quarters of negative growth. Rationalization hamster wheels notwithstanding.

That has never been the definition of a recession. All recessions are declared by NBER and NBER has always used a large number of metrics in their calculations. You can see the official list of "peak months" and "trough months" here, and you'll note they don't line up cleanly with 2 quarters of negative growth: https://www.nber.org/research/data/us-business-cycle-expansi...

How did the ancient Greeks and Romans have recessions without NBER's guidance?

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#277
post #67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Tired of (or from) what? With the major exception of the pandemic/remote work, the world is not markedly different than it was in 2013 or 2003. What makes it seems like 2023 is so different?

I run a small business that sells supplies to restaurants and other small businesses. Everyone I deal with is busier than they've ever been with less help than they've ever had. Hardly anyone has been able to take a vacation for 3 years now. There's a multitude of things going on that are drastically different than 10 or 20 years ago. There's a schism being created in this world with the work from home crowd being on…

>There's a schism being created in this world with the work from home crowd being one side, and the warehouse/foodservice crowd on the other side.

Totally agree, and it's good to know that anyone besides myself sees it. For me personally, I'm educated and know I have the skills to be on that first side of the divide, but it makes me feel very nervous/sad, because I know a lot of the stuff going on at the lower-wage end of the scale is unsustainable, and it makes me very worried for the future of our society. In the sense of how modern people want to live their lives, people in the service industries are extremely undervalued, and everyone deserves a fair wage for fair work and the ability to live in a dignified way.

I complain about everyone expecting a tip on their POS terminals and prices constantly rising, but in the spirit of my above point, they probably deserve it. We need a return to sanity regarding the returns of being a business owner.

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#278

For a data centric view on the larger economy and an assessment of leading indicators I highly recommend this blog: https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2022/09/predicting-next-r...

I’ve blown a delightful hour on this back catalogue. Any other recommendations?

Makes me realize how much I miss the glory days of rss.

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#279
post #10
post #6

Well, third quarter in the row — now it is finally a recession, or what?

Nah, that’s how it was defined historically, it has been changed to be defined in another way in order to influence certain demographics.

https://www.nber.org/research/business-cycle-dating

Re: Lowest “Who is hiring?” Post Count in 30 Months

#280

Has anyone actually gotten much success in either direction (hirer/candidate) from these posts?

One of the worst companies I've dealt with this time around was from an HN "who wants to be hired thread". Poor and conflicting communication, lack of respect for my time, that kind of thing. The company's been posting since late last year, and even made an appearance in the October 2022 thread (albeit this time it was posted by a different user). I tend to comment on topics I wouldn't want to discuss in a profession…

Generally if the company is posting for the same job on HN regularly they're a write-off.
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