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Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

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271–280 of 304 posts

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#271
post #230
post #20

Having read many commments on HN and elsewhere since the crash, I know I’m in the minority here when I say this but to me it seems like the US airlines and FAA are following their procedures, the same procedures that make the US airlines the safest in the world, while the rest of the world is, I don’t quite want to use the word panicking, but at least giving into pressure from people who aren’t aviation safety expert…

The thing people aren't looking at is the condition of the planes. Both crashes happened with planes of third-world nations, and might not have been held to the same rigorous standards. I'm glad America is trying to get the black box, because I'm not sure I'd trust the Ethiopian govt not to tamper with it just to protect their image (and their tourism industry).

Last I heard they are looking for a European country to analyse it, because they don't trust America to fully and honestly investigate.

That's pretty unheard of. But I can't blame them.

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#272

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Maybe from the fact that the last fatality in a US airline crash was over ten years ago?

That means nothing. All airlines based out of France and Germany are ISOA certified, never had a fatality, and are rated 7/7 by AirlineRatings [0] (industry leader on airline safety ratings), for example. [0] https://www.airlineratings.com/safety-rating-tool/

Sure, because extended suicide by pilot was excluded, but as a passenger I don't care much whether I die because there was a mistake somewhere or because the pilot was criminally insane.

It's downright comical to list Germanwings as "Fatality Free".

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#273

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I understand and agree that we don't want knee-jerk reactions on the part of regulators. I'm only an aviation enthusiast and by no means an expert, and fully admit that I could be wrong, and even with my natural inclination to reserve judgement, to me it seems obvious that grounding is warranted purely from a statistic viewpoint. Compare the release of the 737 MAX 8 with the release of other recent-ish models like th…

By this argument, all Boeing 777s should have been grounded after the loss of Malaysia 370 and Malaysia 17. Same plane, both incidents within 5 months of each other.

Ignoring the fact of MH-17 having been shot down by missile (which took time to prove but was suspected from the outset) really hurts your argument.

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#274

And then there was one. I do wonder if we can halt and revert the deterioration of the Civil Service before the whole "civilization is two days worth of food and water" scenario arrives. If it does, I think it'll be through something that generates a disproportionate amount of fear and anxiety in people resulting in a significant impact to the economy in a sector where middle to upper class folks are heavily exposed…

Also on the upside, we now have a list of countries that place more value on consumers than the US.

There is a downside to consumers to grounding those airplanes. Since there are lot of those airplanes in service, it'll result in delays, difficulty booking flights, and significant ticket price increases.

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#275

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> How will airlines fill the gap from their MAX8 fleet? Europe will probably be fine. Unfortunately here in the states, the Airlines colluded with "capacity discipline" [1]. If you've been on a US flight recently, you'll notice that a whole plane canceled would require another entire plane to be found. And since airlines don't seem to invest too much into their workforce, well they just don't have the extra captains…

American passengers, assisted by SV technology, have been encouraged to be and demonstrated that they are totally indifferent to anything but price and will book with whichever carrier is least expensive. So don't complain that in order to stay in business, airlines are cutting costs to the bone and not carrying extra capacity anywhere that it's not essential.

You're not cutting costs by colluding with other airlines, you're keeping prices artificially high by ensuring you don't undercut each other.

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#276

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> They're probably the best independent regulator the US has at the moment. Aren't most of the safety statistics they publish basically fake? If you look at the star ratings they give for crash tests, there is an asterisk with fine print saying that they only compare vehicles within 250lbs of each other. Which means that when you're trying to figure out which car is actually the safest, a car that gets a 3-star crash…

NTSB isn't the NHTSA, totally different agencies.

NTSB also is not the FAA, just to be clear. The NTSB is one of the most respected safety and accident investigtation groups in the world.

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#277

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Maybe from the fact that the last fatality in a US airline crash was over ten years ago?

That means nothing. All airlines based out of France and Germany are ISOA certified, never had a fatality, and are rated 7/7 by AirlineRatings [0] (industry leader on airline safety ratings), for example. [0] https://www.airlineratings.com/safety-rating-tool/

That web site is nice but it does not correctly rate US-only carriers.

Also, Air France 447 was less than ten years ago. So your data may be suspect.

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#278

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That means nothing. All airlines based out of France and Germany are ISOA certified, never had a fatality, and are rated 7/7 by AirlineRatings [0] (industry leader on airline safety ratings), for example. [0] https://www.airlineratings.com/safety-rating-tool/

I assume you mean they haven’t had a fatality in the last ten years, not that they’ve never had a fatality?

AF447 was less than ten years ago. So OP is mistaken either way.

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#279

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem, I think, is there's no established protocol in this situation. Congress leaves entirely too much decision making up to the executive branch. How hard is it to write a law such as "If the same (public) commercial model plane crashes with fatalities more than once in an 18 month period, that model plane shall be grounded indefinitely until a root cause is established and mitigated" This would have some int…

> How hard is it to write a law such as "If the same (public) commercial model plane crashes with fatalities more than once in an 18 month period, that model plane shall be grounded indefinitely until a root cause is established and mitigated" The problem is if you write a law like that, then even if the FAA still otherwise nominally retains its existing power, the mere fact of the "2 in 18-months" rule in statute wi…

> will have an effect of discouraging groundings with less than two crashes, or with 2 crashes more than 18-months apart.

I don't see why this is necessarily the case. Clearly, there should be some established baseline to prevent regulatory capture by the industry.

> Which is why Congress' role of executive oversight and accountability is as important as its role of writing legislation

I think it's fair to say that object executive oversight has gone completely out the window in the last 20 years or so.

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#280
post #164

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> the US airlines the safest in the world Where do you people _get_ these ideas?!

There has been one death in the past decade of US commercial flights. One in a decade of over 90 million flights.

But if you extend the time frame by a month and a day, it's 51.

I otherwise agree.

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