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Student Loan Debt Is Now as Big as the U.S. Junk Bond Market

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271–280 of 447 posts

Re: Student Loan Debt Is Now as Big as the U.S. Junk Bond Market

#271

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Of course taxes are going to go up. Plan accordingly They already did. The GOP tax bill specifically targeted our demographic as a way to finance tax cuts for the wealthy and businesses. The GOP doesn't even deny it. Like it or not, we are the scapegoats for all the problems afflicting the poor. And it's not a stretch to believe the GOP is going to use popular support to extract every dime from us until we are home…

Medicare cuts->Elderly dying off faster->Voter demographic change. Law of unintended consequences? Possibly. I can see the political winds shifting back hard over the next 3 years. Enough Puerto Ricans might have moved to Florida already to turn the state blue. Won't know until next elections.

A lot of people Puerto Ricans are moving to traditionally blue Florida locations. SE Florida, Orlando, Tampa are the 3 most populous areas and all are strongly blue. Through gerrymandering they'll continue to get the same representation.

Re: Student Loan Debt Is Now as Big as the U.S. Junk Bond Market

#272
The current tax reform discussions look to make it even worse be removing some of the current breaks for students paying off debt [1]. There was some talk last summer about extending the current $5200 tuition exemption as an employer benefit to include tuition repayment [2]. I guess that's now off the table. I haven't seen the math anywhere, but it sure seems like it would be cheaper to give tax breaks for paying off loans then to allow them to be defaulted on on forgiven in the case of government workers.

[1] http://money.cnn.com/2017/11/15/pf/college/tax-reform-paying... [2] https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/17/student-loan-debt-why-employ...

Re: Student Loan Debt Is Now as Big as the U.S. Junk Bond Market

#273
post #148

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We have a system like that. Its called taxes and free education. Everyone is offered free college education, including basic living expenses. In return everyone pays a litle more in taxes. And those who choose college, often earn more, and then pay more in taxes. (Im from Denmark)

And, I would think that running the system that way is actually cheaper and more efficient than the US way where we seem to be moving towards individually accounting for every dollar of education for payback - all while the overall system spirals out of cost controls. It's much simpler to supply gov't budgets direct to public schools with oversight for spending. Vs open loans which little cost accountability. (well a…

If you think about it, there is absolutely no reason, for education beeing expensive, if priced by actual cost (books, materiel, professors) instead of beeing priced by perceived value (ie. What will my future earnings be, what will my financing look like, are my parents paying etc.)

Re: Student Loan Debt Is Now as Big as the U.S. Junk Bond Market

#274
post #147

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If the default risk is borne by the US Treasury, then what risk do we have in general?

The risk that the increased supply of money lowers the value of that money. Not that this is the straw that's gonna break the camels back, but it's not like there aren't consequences to the taxpayer for allowing the government to allocate funds in a sub optimal manner.

This money isn't unbounded; it's confined by the budget allocated to the Department of Education and various government organizations (like Fannie Mae, et. al.).

Ultimately the Department of Education is responsible for this money. The last 30 years are remarkable in the amount of controversy surrounding student loans and the default of large education funds.

The following article describes this in greater detail: https://tcf.org/content/report/student-loan-guaranty-agencie....

Re: Student Loan Debt Is Now as Big as the U.S. Junk Bond Market

#275
post #144

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think you misunderstood. He/she said "default", not "forgive". As in, the people with the loans walk away from them and take the massive credit hit that comes with that, likely by filing for bankruptcy. The issue is that student loans are uniquely sticky, so a person with student loans today basically can't get out of them. If it were possible, many people would choose to file for bankruptcy to release the loans, t…

Bankruptcy is yet another thing though. And I agree, by the way, the laws as written are unfair and don't help anyone. But bankruptcy isn't the ability to "walk away" from a loan. You literally need to be bankrupt: you can't hold any other assets beyond the statutory minums. Most people suffering with student debt aren't literally destitute (obviously some are), they just have a cash flow problem. Bankruptcy won't he…

I think you might be overestimating the requirements for filing Chapter 7 bankruptcy. In many cases it's a strategic choice much more than a need due to being destitute. Take a look here [1].

In general, if your income is below the state median (which most recent grads' income will be), your debt is more than half your income (easily the case for most recent grads), it would take more than 5 years to pay off (again, easily the case), and your disposable income is low, you can file for Chapter 7.

[1] http://bankruptcy.findlaw.com/chapter-7/who-can-file-for-cha...

Re: Student Loan Debt Is Now as Big as the U.S. Junk Bond Market

#277

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Income tax covers way more than education.

Exactly, which is why this would be a special additional tax that is just for college graduates and just goes back to the colleges.

This is the system we have in the UK. The crucial differences between having it as an extra tier of income tax of 9% above £21k (going to £25k soon) are

1) Those that don't directly benefit from university (say you become an electrician) don't have to pay 2) Those that earn millions don't pay it - they pay their £50k loan off (40% of that is living costs), but then those people tend to avoid income tax anyway 3) Those that emmigrate still pay it

All in all it seems fine, but it's used as a political football by those that want to tax builders to pay for the education of stockbrokers (Labour)

Re: Student Loan Debt Is Now as Big as the U.S. Junk Bond Market

#278

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Don't worry, your salary gives them a way out too. And I'm not just saying that to be snarky, I think it's very likely what will end up happening: you'll end up paying for their poor choices one way or another. If it's not directly via taxes to pay off their student loans, it'll fund their retirement. Social Security benefits, without any other retirement savings, puts you right around poverty level. I would not co…

>The world still needs plenty of professions where the pay sucks and college is required Quite a self-contradictory statement. I mean, if the world was in such a dire need of said professions in such quantities, then their pay wouldn’t suck in the first place.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Market_failure

Re: Student Loan Debt Is Now as Big as the U.S. Junk Bond Market

#279
post #22

There is definitely an education bubble. It's way too easy to get money for college. You hear a lot of stories about the increasing costs of college and crushing debt on graduation, but you don't hear a lot of stories of "I wanted to go to college but couldn't get a loan". Almost everyone gets approved, regardless of their future ability to pay it back. We need a fundamental shift in the way college is paid for. Some…

Affordable education is easy to get: state and local public college.

The only problem is young people making poor choices (which is partially the fault of elders and predators) and taking out large loans to attend overpriced (for the value) schools/programs.

Re: Student Loan Debt Is Now as Big as the U.S. Junk Bond Market

#280

One statistic that's commonly left out of these discussions & articles is how late parents save for college. According to Sallie Mae ( http://news.salliemae.com/publication/how-america-saves-coll... ), most families don't start saving before their oldest child reaches 7 years old. This effectively robs 1/3 of the investment period's growth potential. Another one (as perhaps a consequence of the previous fact) is that…

Wages have stagnated while CoL has gone up but yes the problem is parents aren't saving enough.
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