Earlier quoted context omitted.
That would be an argument against stock market and interest rate as well. If a significant number of companies waited those 3 months to invest, there would be no deflation. The deflation will be the same as the increase in a stock market index.
> If a significant number of companies waited those 3 months to invest, there would be no deflation. And little economic activities in the meantime (because all those investment deals wouldn't occur). At the equilibrium, you'll have zero deflation and a growth which is way below its potential (it could even be a recession, slowly converging toward zero growth). That sounds fantastic doesn't it ? I didn't understand y…
Fiat is Effective: fiat for the crypto crowd [pdf]
271–275 of 275 posts
Re: Fiat is Effective: fiat for the crypto crowd [pdf]
#272Earlier quoted context omitted.
How’s that been working out? If only saving was incentivized. Bitcoin true believers have a positive view of increasing savings
Pretty well actually. There may be too much debt but debt is clearly a good thing. Also don't forget if you want to save, to earn interest means you need to lend so at the end of the day you're going to need debtors.
And even with some sort of smart contract placing your Bitcoin on deposit (payment channels might achieve this. Committing your Bitcoin to a channel and charging market rate fees), there's no fractional reserve banking so at least credit/money supply swings won't be so drastic and we can avoid the volatility in the business cycle we experience with fiat currencies.
Re: Fiat is Effective: fiat for the crypto crowd [pdf]
#273Earlier quoted context omitted.
Bitcoin isn't the internet of money, it is an internet for money. With this distinction in mind, it would be foolish to think that the first cryptocurrency would be the last. It took many implementations and iterations of wide area networks to arrive at the Internet Protocol we have today. While Bitcoin doesn't share the same set of problems as fiat currency, it has its own burdens, and has proven completely ineffect…
Yes, it seems that human attention has become the ultimate luxury commodity. I think that a cryptocurrency derives a significant portion of its value from the mere fact that that a lot of people know about its existence. A lot of celebrities these days make huge sums of money in spite of being untalented. Being famous is valuable in itself. People (especially rich people) want to be loved and/or respected. The "why"…
In economics, the Gini coefficient is the standard measure
of how inequitable a society is. This is tricky to
determine for Bitcoin, as it's not quiet a "society" in
the Gini sense, one person may have multiple addresses and
many addresses have been used only once or a few times.
(The commonly-cited figure of 0.88 is based on one small
exchange in 2011.) However, a Citigroup analysis from
early 2014 notes: "47 individuals hold about 30 percent,
another 900 a further 20 percent, the next 10,000 about
25% and another million about 20%"; and distribution
"looks much like the distribution of wealth in North Korea
and makes China's and even the US' wealth distribution
look like that of a workers' paradise
Dorit Ron and Adi Shamir found in a 2012 study that only
22% of then-existing Bitcoins were in circulation at all,
there were a total of 75 active users or businesses with
any kind of volume, one (unidentified) user owned a
quarter of all Bitcoins in existence, and one large owner
was trying to hide their pile by moving it around in
thousands of smaller transactions. (Shamir is one of the
most renowned cryptographers in the world and the "S" in
"RSA encryption")"
[1] via https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=davidgerardRe: Fiat is Effective: fiat for the crypto crowd [pdf]
#274Earlier quoted context omitted.
Zimbabwe had little to do with supply of currency, and more to do with supply of stuff. They forgot that our economies rely upon the magic of the pin factory. Unsurprisingly if you take land from a specialist farmer and give it to a load of people who have no such specialism, then you get a collapse in production. The result of that is obvious unless you ramp up taxes to colossal levels to kill the excess money circu…
Are you suggesting that a government, having regulated against specific capable farmer running farms, should raise taxes to colossal levels if they observe food shortages? I suspect you want to rephrase your comment. That argument seems to have a non-sequitur in it.
Food shortages are inevitable if you implement a policy that ignores the insight of Adam Smith.
So given that you need to shrink the money supply rapidly to fit your new subsistence economy.
Re: Fiat is Effective: fiat for the crypto crowd [pdf]
#275Earlier quoted context omitted.
There are project like MakerDAO that indeed use smart contracts (plus fiat price oracles and some other things) to implement monetary policy without any "pilot".
I think one of the problems is that there are now, what, a few thousand cryptocurrencies? The optics of the multitudes of ICOs? Those aren't good. No, no they are not. A part of me wonders if this popularity boom might actually be the reason it dies out. How many hacks, thefts, and scams have there been? Sure, those happen with real money but real money isn't the one needing to work on its optics. We already accept r…