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Fiat is Effective: fiat for the crypto crowd [pdf]

interfluidity.com

271–275 of 275 posts

Re: Fiat is Effective: fiat for the crypto crowd [pdf]

#271
post #74

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That would be an argument against stock market and interest rate as well. If a significant number of companies waited those 3 months to invest, there would be no deflation. The deflation will be the same as the increase in a stock market index.

> If a significant number of companies waited those 3 months to invest, there would be no deflation. And little economic activities in the meantime (because all those investment deals wouldn't occur). At the equilibrium, you'll have zero deflation and a growth which is way below its potential (it could even be a recession, slowly converging toward zero growth). That sounds fantastic doesn't it ? I didn't understand y…

If a cryptcurrency grows large enough to be the size of an economy, the value of the cryptocurrency should grow or shrink with the economy, like a stock market index. At that point keeping money in the cryptocurrency should be similar to keeping it in an index fund.

Re: Fiat is Effective: fiat for the crypto crowd [pdf]

#272
post #191

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How’s that been working out? If only saving was incentivized. Bitcoin true believers have a positive view of increasing savings

Pretty well actually. There may be too much debt but debt is clearly a good thing. Also don't forget if you want to save, to earn interest means you need to lend so at the end of the day you're going to need debtors.

Not with a finite currency. Hodling in your own possession gives you a "return".

And even with some sort of smart contract placing your Bitcoin on deposit (payment channels might achieve this. Committing your Bitcoin to a channel and charging market rate fees), there's no fractional reserve banking so at least credit/money supply swings won't be so drastic and we can avoid the volatility in the business cycle we experience with fiat currencies.

Re: Fiat is Effective: fiat for the crypto crowd [pdf]

#273
post #206

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Bitcoin isn't the internet of money, it is an internet for money. With this distinction in mind, it would be foolish to think that the first cryptocurrency would be the last. It took many implementations and iterations of wide area networks to arrive at the Internet Protocol we have today. While Bitcoin doesn't share the same set of problems as fiat currency, it has its own burdens, and has proven completely ineffect…

Yes, it seems that human attention has become the ultimate luxury commodity. I think that a cryptocurrency derives a significant portion of its value from the mere fact that that a lot of people know about its existence. A lot of celebrities these days make huge sums of money in spite of being untalented. Being famous is valuable in itself. People (especially rich people) want to be loved and/or respected. The "why"…

Yes, and we can see the Oligarchical squatters who acquired large stakes in Bitcoin.

  In economics, the Gini coefficient is the standard measure 
  of how inequitable a society is. This is tricky to 
  determine for Bitcoin, as it's not quiet a "society" in 
  the Gini sense, one person may have multiple addresses and 
  many addresses have been used only once or a few times. 
  (The commonly-cited figure of 0.88 is based on one small 
  exchange in 2011.) However, a Citigroup analysis from 
  early 2014 notes: "47 individuals hold about 30 percent, 
  another 900 a further 20 percent, the next 10,000 about 
  25% and another million about 20%"; and distribution 
  "looks much like the distribution of wealth in North Korea 
  and makes China's and even the US' wealth distribution 
  look like that of a workers' paradise

  Dorit Ron and Adi Shamir found in a 2012 study that only 
  22% of then-existing Bitcoins were in circulation at all, 
  there were a total of 75 active users or businesses with 
  any kind of volume, one (unidentified) user owned a 
  quarter of all Bitcoins in existence, and one large owner 
  was trying to hide their pile by moving it around in 
  thousands of smaller transactions. (Shamir is one of the 
  most renowned cryptographers in the world and the "S" in 
  "RSA encryption")"
[1] via https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=davidgerard

Re: Fiat is Effective: fiat for the crypto crowd [pdf]

#274
post #69

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Zimbabwe had little to do with supply of currency, and more to do with supply of stuff. They forgot that our economies rely upon the magic of the pin factory. Unsurprisingly if you take land from a specialist farmer and give it to a load of people who have no such specialism, then you get a collapse in production. The result of that is obvious unless you ramp up taxes to colossal levels to kill the excess money circu…

Are you suggesting that a government, having regulated against specific capable farmer running farms, should raise taxes to colossal levels if they observe food shortages? I suspect you want to rephrase your comment. That argument seems to have a non-sequitur in it.

Not food shortages, price rises.

Food shortages are inevitable if you implement a policy that ignores the insight of Adam Smith.

So given that you need to shrink the money supply rapidly to fit your new subsistence economy.

Re: Fiat is Effective: fiat for the crypto crowd [pdf]

#275
post #35
post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There are project like MakerDAO that indeed use smart contracts (plus fiat price oracles and some other things) to implement monetary policy without any "pilot".

I think one of the problems is that there are now, what, a few thousand cryptocurrencies? The optics of the multitudes of ICOs? Those aren't good. No, no they are not. A part of me wonders if this popularity boom might actually be the reason it dies out. How many hacks, thefts, and scams have there been? Sure, those happen with real money but real money isn't the one needing to work on its optics. We already accept r…

Idk, we seem to live fine with thousands of fiat currencies, stocks, bonds, and derivatives, all non-pairwise-fungible. Markets could make it so that you'd just buy utility tokens when you need them, and only investors would need to care about owning equity-type tokens
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