Earlier quoted context omitted.
> The masses will be left with the NVidia monopoly, while large companies will be able to free themselves from that. My bet: if it really becomes clear what capabilities an AI accelerator chip needs and lots of people want to run (or even train) AIs on their own computers, AI accelerators will appear at the market. This is how capitalism typically works. My further bet: these AI accelerators will initially come from…
The capital costs are enormous, not even counting the CUDA moat. It takes years to start producing a big AI processor. Yet many startups and existing designers anticipated this demand correctly, years in advance, and they are all still kinda struggling. Nvidia is massively supply constrained. AI customers would be buying up MI250s, CS-2s, IPUs, Tenstorrent accelerators, Gaudi 2s and so on en masse if they wanted to..…
Can you order any of these devices online as a regular person? Anybody can order a $300 Nvidia GPU and program it. This is the reason why deep learning originated on the GPUs. Forget those other AI accelerators, even if you bought something like a consumer grade AMD GPU, you couldn't program it because it's restricted. The reason why Nvidia's competitors are struggling is because their hardware is either too expensive or hard to buy.