Look I am very ignorant about all this stuff but ... is there any downside to shorting a stablecoin? Please be gentle with me: Like if you short it and the price doesn't move (by design) are you out any money? The price won't go up (by design) because nobody's going to spend too much money from their reserves to support a price over US$1. But it's possible for the reserves to run dry in which case the price goes down…
You end up paying the transaction fees, which are insane. On top of the interest.
Top stablecoins shed $7B in May as traders redeem tokens en masse
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Re: Top stablecoins shed $7B in May as traders redeem tokens en masse
#262Look I am very ignorant about all this stuff but ... is there any downside to shorting a stablecoin? Please be gentle with me: Like if you short it and the price doesn't move (by design) are you out any money? The price won't go up (by design) because nobody's going to spend too much money from their reserves to support a price over US$1. But it's possible for the reserves to run dry in which case the price goes down…
i have been interested in shorting tether since 2017. if i had gone through with it, i would have paid 5 years of interest for close to no return, including in 2018 when crypto fell 90%. also, if enough people are levered short, crypto traders could short squeeze you. the price just needs to go up temporarily. also, there's counterparty risk. is the exchange you're trading on going to stay up if tether goes to 0? dep…
Re: Top stablecoins shed $7B in May as traders redeem tokens en masse
#263The big question with Tether has been, if they are holding commercial paper, whose commercial paper? Traders who deal in commercial paper of real companies that do real stuff don't see Tether present in that market. The dollar amounts are too big to hide. The suspicion is that their "commercial paper" is high-interest loans to other cryptocurrency companies. With the whole crypto sector in decline, those loans are at…
Very similar to Madoff's derivatives transactions. He was so big, but there little evidence of him transacting his main "strategy" in the market.
Re: Top stablecoins shed $7B in May as traders redeem tokens en masse
#264Earlier quoted context omitted.
In the UK, it is only a taxable event when the coin is exchanged to a "readily convertible asset", i.e. Bitcoin, Mainnet ETH.
Tether isn't readily convertible?
Re: Top stablecoins shed $7B in May as traders redeem tokens en masse
#265The moment I learned that people want to buy crypto as a means to get rich in (evil ;)) fiat money, I knew I had a ponzi scheme in front of me. The interesting idea behind crypto once was to have a totally different system. Yet in reality, with greedy apes on a spacerock, it was an unreachable Utopia
It’s totally possible the whole thing is unworkable and dies out. Another option is that it survives in some niche area that provides value or just becomes entrenched like HFT.
And it’s possible a world changing blockchain startup hasn’t been invented yet. Any tech breakthroughs with processing power or storage could have a huge effect on blockchain.
Re: Top stablecoins shed $7B in May as traders redeem tokens en masse
#266Is $7B a lot? Isn't Tether's cap alone around 10 times that? Is this an observable trend or just a small spike of an otherwise generally volatile phenomenon?
> Isn't Tether's cap alone around 10 times that? Tether's cap is not the same as Tether's available liquidity to redeem the token. We don't know what's the limit of withdrawals they can handle in reality.
Re: Top stablecoins shed $7B in May as traders redeem tokens en masse
#267Earlier quoted context omitted.
you can't do that with crypto either (and crypto likely will have higher transaction fees)
> crypto likely will have higher transaction fees If you are sending a fair bit of money, I very much doubt that.
Re: Top stablecoins shed $7B in May as traders redeem tokens en masse
#268Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think what OP meant was why would anyone hold Tether at this point instead of a more transparent and less fudded stabelcoin like USDC
The temptation is too great. If the stablecoin has a non-zero administrative cost, someone has to pay it. And if no-one wants to pay it, then it is going to have to invest a portion of the dollars it holds to make up the difference (and to ultimately reward the creators / seed investors). There are probably no 100% cash-backed stablecoins.
>Jeremy Allaire @jerallaire 3/ As of 12:00pm EST Friday, May 13, 2022, the USDC reserve consisted of $11.6 billion cash (22.9%), $39.0 billion U.S. Treasuries (77.1%), for a total of $50.6 billion (100%), and there were 50.6 billion USDC in circulation
Re: Top stablecoins shed $7B in May as traders redeem tokens en masse
#269It seems we have a serious problem with the first generation of cryptocurrencies being mainly a vehicle for scams and otherwise extracting value from gullible people. From what I've seen so far in most cases "stable-" isn't really stable and currency definitely doesn't work like one. Or am I just biased by sourcing my information from HN and only seeing the cases where crypto crashes and burns instead of all the succ…
USDC and DAI are both collateralized and doing fine at the moment and can operate as a decentralized currency and payment rail. It is never 100% risk free, though. The best way to maintain peg to dollar is just to hold the dollar. Many stablecoin holders are taking on this higher risk as they seek yield in protocols like Aave and dYdX, or to have ready liquidity to deploy this in the crypto investment market.
Re: Top stablecoins shed $7B in May as traders redeem tokens en masse
#270Earlier quoted context omitted.
Tether isn't readily convertible?
Not if we dont even know what it is backed by, readily convertible one minute, can't dump it for $.01 the next once it happens.