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Microsoft to buy Skype for $7 billion

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Re: Microsoft to buy Skype for $7 billion

#261

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1. Since eBay sold its controlling stake (they still own an amount of equity in the business) the investors now in control have got the rights to the whole thing where eBay didn't actually buy the rights to some of the code off the founders - this makes quite a difference. 2. The western world is slowly pulling itself out of a recession right now, rather than two years ago when we were on the other side and already s…

Hold on - did Ebay just score a win with this?

Maybe; eBay paid $2.6b in ~2005 (OP says 3.1b, WP says $2.6b), and then sold off 70% of it for $2b (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Skype#History). OP doesn't seem to specify how much MS is buying, but let's assume 100%, so eBay is selling its 30% too; 30% of 8.5b is $2.55b, so eBay sold its 2 chunks for 2+2.55 or $4.55b.

That represents a profit of 1.45 or 1.95b over 6 years or $320m a year. (If MS didn't buy eBay's share, then they are currently at a 0.6-1.1b loss on their Skype investment excluding whatever that 30% is worth.) Presumably eBay had better opportunities for 2-3b of capital.

Re: Microsoft to buy Skype for $7 billion

#262

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There really isn't anything better on Linux, sadly. I wrote a longer comment about this a few days ago, but the gist is that Skype is the only semi-reliable video chat/SIP client for Linux, even factoring in serious neglect from Skype Inc. for the platform. This acquisition probably is the final nail in the coffin for Skype's hypothetical open-source Linux client. I don't have high hopes at all that alternate version…

Huh? There are plenty of better voice-only Linux clients. It's really only in video that Skype has the edge.

Can you clue me in? I just tried several a couple of weekends ago and it didn't work out. Twinkle was good but hasn't been updated for years and doesn't work with PulseAudio. Everything else barely ran.

Re: Microsoft to buy Skype for $7 billion

#263
post #184

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This is getting way off topic, but of course companies have ethics. Just like they have core values, goals, and ambitions... A company is made up of people and those people can choose to make ethical decisions and can have a history of acting ethically or not.

The fact that employees have ethics does have an effect on the actions that the company takes, but that doesn't mean that the company itself "has ethics". At most we can say that a company employs ethical individuals - still - that won't necessarily lead to ethical decisions. Things like peer-pressure, the board of directors, profits, strategy, market pressure and so on can make good people do bad things. Historicall…

If companies can have cultures then they can also have ethics, as the two are closely related.

Re: Microsoft to buy Skype for $7 billion

#264
That means ebay is up $1.4 billion on the fiasco:

-$2.6b purchase + 70% of $2.75b on sale + 30% of $7b on Microsoft sale = $1.4b

Not sure if they got any cash from profits, and they probably spent a bunch of money on the purchases/sales and subsequent culture integration stuff.

Re: Microsoft to buy Skype for $7 billion

#265

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Hmmm... I would definitely be happy to pay somebody a few bucks to perform a reasonable independent valuation. I mean, seriously, whats 500K compared to 8.5 billion?

The counterpoint is basically, did you see what happened with the global financial crisis and valuations?

True that those working in the rating agencies should be ked in the eyesocket with rusty screwdrivers...

I see. Yes. An independent valuation would be nice, if you could trust someone to have the competence and integrity to do it.

Re: Microsoft to buy Skype for $7 billion

#267
post #165

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My mother, father, brothers and friends in 3 countries all have skype running most days. Skype have my credit card so I always have skype-to-phone available (I use it mostly to find my cell). It's been that way for me for about 7 years. That means I have skype running and I use it every day (but I only spend about $20 per year). It's not loyalty, but network effects and momentum count for something too. Not sure that…

From the estimates I have seen, Skype generates $250mm in EBIT per year. That would mean that Microsoft is paying 28x earnings. If we want to approximate EBIT as free cash flows (not the same, but this is back of the envelope) and assume a 10% discount rate, to break even Skype would need to be growing EBIT at 6.4% annually for the next 10 years or so. I don't know how achievable that really is, but maybe they could…

Growth that high -- 6.4% -- for the next decade would be huge for Skype and make this not just acceptable but a home run for microsoft.

At that 6.4% rate skype has twice the earnings in 10 years it has today.

Re: Microsoft to buy Skype for $7 billion

#268

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Really interesting reading that Joel on Software now. Had me thinking of the Jimmy Fallon skit where someone held up a QR code in the background that I scanned with my phone, opened in mobile youtube, and I was watching more content.

Off topic, but that was the one with Stephen Colbert singing Friday, correct?

Yes it was

Re: Microsoft to buy Skype for $7 billion

#269
post #156
post #154

Strange realization: I am relieved that Microsoft bought this, and not Facebook. Can't remember the last time I was relieved that Microsoft bought a company.

That's really strange. Not being a fan of either, I'd bet Facebook knows a bit more about Internet than Microsoft. Though in the end both are just money making machines with unethical practices. In either case you can expect Skype to become less geek-friendly and more like a surprise box with an evil clown inside.

Given Microsoft's investment in Facebook in 2007 (http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/25/technology/25facebook.html), can we expect a Skype for Facebook or some other sort of integration?

Re: Microsoft to buy Skype for $7 billion

#270

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Huh? There are plenty of better voice-only Linux clients. It's really only in video that Skype has the edge.

Can you clue me in? I just tried several a couple of weekends ago and it didn't work out. Twinkle was good but hasn't been updated for years and doesn't work with PulseAudio. Everything else barely ran.

Ekiga, Wengo, and Pidgin are the ones I've used; they all performed fine.
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