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Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

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Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#261

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This line of online questioning is the lazy dismissal of the 21st century. This comment has a positive score and even a child that agrees with it and yet it's akin to asking any theorist "do you have sources for that?" in response to them saying something wildly uncontroversial within their domain. It adds nothing to the discussion and only shows that the respondent is so wildly out of touch with the relevant mainstr…

> Hacker News supposedly has a rule against shallow comments and yet for some reason knee jerk requests for sources with no additional substance to drive the dialogue forward are considered 'reasonable'. Their statement begged the question, and it was asked. I wasn't asking out of hostility, but out of curiosity. If the point can be made, and as you say, there is overwhelming evidence, I'd like the self-described exp…

As far as I can tell from reading the (very well sourced) Wikipedia article on minimum wage, the general consensus amongst economists on the pros and cons is not at all what user "notidentified" to is claiming, and is backed up by plenty of actual studies.

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#262

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> nobody would be buying a million masks to hoard in a bunker right now. No, that's correct, because you can't (profitably) buy a million masks to hoard them right now. If you'd done it on January 1 though, you'd have been able to buy as many masks as you liked. Selling them now? Is this the height of the crisis? Perhaps. > Real people don't behave like this. They do, but most people don't have millions of dollars to…

> This is why I've not seen a roll of toilet paper on shelves in my local supermarkets or stores for three months now Three months ago was January 14th. Perhaps you are being a mite hyperbolic?

Maybe they were, a little bit. Two and a half months ago it was becoming obvious it's going to be a problem.

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#263

Speaking as an economist, I tend to get nervous when other economists talk about circumstances where "morality trumps economics." As a profession, we have a miserable track record on morality. Economists widely endorsed eugenics in the first half of the 20th century, for example. And many modern economists endorse a minimum wage, as eugenicists did then, but with even less regard for the harm it causes. Personally, I…

> Speaking as an economist, I tend to get nervous when other economists talk about circumstances where "morality trumps economics."

Krugman invokes Rawls:

> The classic argument here is, of course, that of Rawls, whose 1971 “A Theory of Justice” argued that we should evaluate social arrangements by imagining ourselves having to choose institutions and policy behind a “veil of ignorance”: what society would you prefer if you didn’t know who you would be?

* PDF: https://www.gc.cuny.edu/CUNY_GC/media/LISCenter/pkrugman/why...

* https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/1246432215422111745

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#264

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> Speaking as an economist, I tend to get nervous when other economists talk about circumstances where "morality trumps economics." Some examples where morality trumps economics that might help to calm you: - Child labour is illegal in the civilized world - Slavery is illegal in all or most countries (despite slave labour being more, um, economical than paid labour) - Emergency services like fire, police, paramedics…

Slavery isn’t a good example because that requires government enforcing the ability for people to own people as property.

That makes no sense. People can enslave others without any "government" being involved, and they have done so for thousands of years. The people enslaving the others just need bigger weapons so the slaves cannot revolt.

Government can prevent people from being enslaved. But without a government being involved, slavery will still happen. In fact, it will happen much more often as is evidenced by the fact that modern day slavery happens primarily in countries where governments are not powerful enough to stop it.

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#265

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Buying for resale doesn't magically create TP. The amount of TP available to consumers is the same, the amount of money made by TP producers is the same. But consumers have to spend more money, because there's a parasitic layer of resellers introducing friction into the system.

I would rather people buy to resell, than buy to hoard "just in case". The former does increase the amount available to consumers.

I would rather people neither buy to resell, nor buy to hoard "just in case."

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#266

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You aren't seeing a "free market" because all of these big corps are scared to death of being accused of "profiteering" on supplies (with potential liability from anti-"gouging" laws), so they can't raise prices. Their only other option is to restrict the buyer's quantities.

They can raise prices moderately on everything to make up for it, and/or stock things that are slightly less appealing in normal times to slow turnover and bias sales towards those more in need. For instance, the pasta section was about 5% full and almost entirely things like whole wheat, cauliflower gluten-free, or turmeric. But that's fine with me. Your tone is that this is not the optimal solution and some misguid…

I think the core belief is that supply and demand is a force that can actually cause more supply to come into a market where there is imbalance. IOW: rather than curtail the expression of demand via rationing, actually increase the supply.

If the marginal profit on TP is $0.10/roll and the price is not allowed to increase in time of excess demand, you’re likely to see factories optimize to squeeze every efficiency out, trying to eek out another penny per pack of 6 rolls.

Imagine instead a world where prices rise in times of excess demand. Producers now have an incentive to maintain flexibility in monthly production, not squeezing the last fractional penny out and instead allowing flex to over-produce when demand is high (and prices/marginal profit is higher).

Likewise, warehouse and distribution adapts to capitalize on high prices, using those high prices as a signal to get more goods to flow to those demanding the goods. In other words, more toilet paper is available for people who want toilet paper.

Instead of today’s world where I have to shop twice a week instead of once, or can’t add a more vulnerable neighbor’s shopping to my own, because we are limited to how many eggs I can buy in a single trip. How does that help anyone’s health?

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#267

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"But that guy who was trying to buy a thousand? He's thinking twice." Why wouldn't he just borrow the money to pay for it, hoard the supply and then flip it back onto the market when the price hits $40? You're assuming a finite amount of money, but the monetary system is necessarily elastic. Then the hoard, because it has gone up in value, becomes collateral for more loans. Whereas rationing necessarily solves the di…

Because at some point, TP will go back to $0.50/roll essentially permanently. You can’t be sure that you’re buying on a sustained upswing in prices.

And yet this doesn't deter people from buying stocks.

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#268

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because at some point, TP will go back to $0.50/roll essentially permanently. You can’t be sure that you’re buying on a sustained upswing in prices.

And yet this doesn't deter people from buying stocks.

It does serve as a limiting function for buying shares during hyperbolic up moves. Tesla had one earlier this year. It was the most comfortable short I’ve ever put on. My only concern was trading small enough to ensure I could fade the rest of the upward movement.

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#269
post #201

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If ramping up production were as simple as hiring 100 more people, it would have been done even if there weren't a crisis. Capacity for manufacture is not infinite and it cannot be changed at a moments notice. It takes months or years to establish supply chains, facilities, machinery, and expertise needed to increase manufacture, and by that time the crisis is over and the extra demand is gone.

How do you know that? What if there was a factory running at less than 100% physically capacity? You could in theory ramp up production very quickly simply by hiring more people, but you won’t, because doing so incures costs (training them, giving them PPE, ...) and you can’t be sure about your income (price rises are banned, exporting is outlawed, your product might even be confiscated).

Because there were PPE manufacturers giving interviews in the press in which they pointed out that the last time they did expand their production during the crisis, the crisis ended and the demand evaporated before they've managed to recoup their investment - so they're reluctant to do the same now, unless governments sign on with long-term repeat purchase contracts.

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#270
post #216

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A counterexample: After WWII in Poland, Moscow installed a communist government in Warsaw, which promptly started implementing communist policies. One of the biggest ones was collectivization of farming - taking pieces of land and joining them into massive, state-run farms. After around 10 years of this, the studies started showing that this collectivized farming is so much less efficient than private farming (which…

Every economy that has tried collective farming, from small to large, has never been able to achieve self-sufficiency in food. The US economy around 1800 was the first economy in history to produce a consistent food surplus. You can see the results of this in the astonishing increase in the average height of Americans throughout the 19th century. In the Great Depression, the government ordered the slaughter of millio…

> The US economy around 1800 was the first economy in history to produce a consistent food surplus.

Can you provide a source for this claim? Thanks.

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