Live data from Hacker News

SEC Rejects Rule Change for Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund [pdf]

sec.gov

261–270 of 357 posts

Re: SEC Rejects Rule Change for Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund [pdf]

#261
post #251

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Generally speaking, it's a bad idea to use currency as a store of value. The unwavering stability of the almighty US Dollar is a massive historical outlier. For most of history the wealthy didn't keep Scrooge McDuckian piles of cash around, they converted their cash into hard goods and investments like loans, which won't evaporate if hyperinflation occurs. Even today, the smart thing to do is to store most of your va…

Except it's not stable at all. If you hold USD long term, because of the inflation target of the FED, you'll be able to buy less and less. USD lost a massive amount of value in the previous century alone, despite the massive advances in every field of human activity. https://www.measuringworth.com/uscompare/relativevalue.php

Warning: Division by zero in /home2/sam/public_html/m/calculators/uscompare/relativevalue.php on line 156

Re: SEC Rejects Rule Change for Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund [pdf]

#262
post #237
post #80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Bitcoin just went from a high of 1327.1926 to 995.9575 in the blink of an eye. That is a loss of 25% of its value. This announcement does nothing to hurt the utility of Bitcoin or its application as a medium of exchange. That drop certainly seems like a speculative investment bubble popping.

" That is a loss of 25% of its value " Update as of 11 March 01:44 UTC (4h43m after the SEC decision): BTC fully recovered! It now stands at $1140, which is the level it was trading at just 2 days ago. From 09 March 00:00 UTC to the SEC decision on 10 March 21:01 UTC it gained +12% due purely to speculation ($1140 to $1280) and basically retraced these 12%: http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitstampUSD#rg10zig30-minzcz…

Alternatively: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dead_cat_bounce

Re: SEC Rejects Rule Change for Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund [pdf]

#263
post #248

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am not sure why you put the word currency in quotes. There have also been many state issued currencies that have done similar - see Thai Baht, Argentine Peso, Russian Ruble, Venezuelan Bolivar etc.

Volatility isn't the issue. Bitcoin isn't technically a currency because it can't currently be used directly to pay public debts or taxes in any nation state. Bitcoin is just another commodity like copper or crude oil.

I understand the quoting now, thanks. I agree with you that its not technically a currency since it's not issued and circulated by a government but I disagree with the OP that it is not ready to be a "store of value" because of a single volatility event.

There are many who would argue it is a good store of value since it can't be manipulated by the issuing state's monetary policy or susceptible to the poor fiscal management of the issuing state.

Re: SEC Rejects Rule Change for Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund [pdf]

#264
post #165

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You must be unfamiliar with financial markets. Many assets have lost 25% in minutes and still considered perfectly acceptable store of value: stocks, commodities, etc.

Don't forget the euro a couple years ago reached parity with dollars in a couple months and people like ma that were saving to emigrate got thousands dollars in flames.

The Indian Rupee ha lost ~40% of its value after 2011.

Re: SEC Rejects Rule Change for Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund [pdf]

#265
post #223
post #173

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The only way it reduces its future potential value is by making it harder to speculate on its future potential value. Nothing about the currency actually changed.

If an official decision from the agency that regulates financial assets for the most powerful economy in the world doesn't count, then when does "something about a currency actually change"?

Anything that prevents Bitcoin from:

- being a good anonymous currency

- being a truly global currency for irreversible online transactions

- being a currency that's easily programmable

That's the three main use cases for Bitcoin. There are contenders for #1 (Monero, Dash), and for #3 (Ethereum). For #2 it's still the easiest because of the huge network effect behind it.

Traditional currencies can't compete with crypto for neither of the space. They are attached to systems that prevent transactions from being anonymous, global, irreversible or programmable.

Re: SEC Rejects Rule Change for Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund [pdf]

#267
post #43
post #37

Here's the basic thing: Bitcoin is fatally flawed. Is it meant to be a payment method (in which case an ETF or otherwise treating it as an investment vehicle is roughly as nonsensical as having an ETF that deals with blank checks) or is it an investment (and if it's an investment, what on earth are people investing in?). The volatility of Bitcoin plus the constrained supply leading towards upwards pressure on the pri…

How is Bitcoin significantly different from gold? I suppose gold does get used for something.

Bitcoin is time delimited and finite whereas gold is finite. If major financial systems were to fail, the values of both would skyrocket, although bitcoin would make a better medium of exchange because of portability, in my opinion.

Re: SEC Rejects Rule Change for Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund [pdf]

#268
post #128

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can you go into more detail on what kinds of market manipulation ploys exist?

Buy coins, create positive news & watch the price go up, sell coins at the new high. Sell coins, create negative news & watch the price go down, buy coins at the new low. Same as what unscrupulous people have been doing since the beginning of commerce.

Back when bitcoin was pennies, I bought BTC and then listed a bunch of nonexistent desirable drugs shipping from a convenient location for sale on the silk road, then dumped the BTC a few cents higher, without ever taking an order.

I only made a few bucks, but I was curious if it were possible then to move such a tiny market. It was.

Re: SEC Rejects Rule Change for Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund [pdf]

#269

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That wasn't a swing in the value of the dollar, that was a swing in the value of those goods. The price of a christmas tree drops precipitously the ~9PM on christmas eve every year, that says nothing about the value of a dollar.

Well, to be fair, the value of the dollar is determined by its buying power. If goods widely increased in cost, then the effective value of the dollar has decreased. Not saying that's what did or didn't happen on 9/11, though.

Yes, if all goods widely increased in cost (or at least, most). If it's only the goods that people buy in anticipation of (e.g.) a catastrophe, or goods that rely on those aforementioned goods to be manufactured and/or delivered, then the above comment is correct.

Re: SEC Rejects Rule Change for Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund [pdf]

#270

Bitcoin just went from a high of 1327.1926 to 995.9575 in the blink of an eye. Wow. From the ruling.... > First, the exchange must have surveillance-sharing agreements with significant markets for trading the underlying commodity or derivatives on that commodity. And second, those markets must be regulated. > Based on the record before it, the Commission believes that the significant markets for bitcoin are unregulat…

The next step seems to be to create a regulated market - anyone know what that means, or whether there is something inherent to Bitcoin that doesn't allow it? Coinbase has KYC, banking relationships and tax integration, I'm sure that can be extended to an exchange.

Lykke.com is applying for MTF license in the UK. no exchange so far is regulated as a market.
Post reply on HN