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San Francisco Bubble

blog.larrold.com

261–270 of 393 posts

Re: San Francisco Bubble

#261

Earlier quoted context omitted.

$7 beer? Frugal? In Berlin a beer costs $1 from the shop and maybe $2-3 from a bar.

You'll pay $7 for a 20oz point of something nice at a bar. You can buy 6 packs of good craft beer for $7/$8 at any grocery store.

Grocery store prices are not adjusted to local rental rates?

Re: San Francisco Bubble

#262

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I've never written anything that lives in a real production environment You've never maintained a production app and you're getting offers as director of engineering?

A good friend (and ex boss) is a VP of engineering at a very large publicly traded "ex-startup" he has no engineering background outside of what he's picked up managing engineering teams (and I've seen him hack around every so often). At the Director or VP level in many companies managing engineers doesn't always mean you're actually an engineer, and in fact you may not want your best engineers in those roles.

I would've thought having technical experience and the ability to get your hands dirty would be a requirement of being VP of Engineering (or similar). Two things that immediately come to mind is the ability to make competent technical decisions and estimate required time/resources required. Strong engineering/technical background is a requirement for the two. How do you even get into this leadership role without having the foundation?

I completely agree that you may not want your best engineers in this role because interfacing with and leading people is a completely separate skill, but I would still think any competent exec with a technical title will have some technical experience.

Re: San Francisco Bubble

#263
post #97

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Hey, you know that the vast majority of businesses are not very friendly to remote work, and moving away from these areas frequently means a pay cut or sometimes inability to find work? I'm not defending this at all, as I think it's stupid, but they are not "rich". They are frankly just less screwed than other middle class folks.

The median household income in the US is $51,939 (2013). You seriously think having double or probably triple from just one salary isn't rich? And where exactly are all your caterers and cleaners and gardeners and nannies and baristas and tavern workers and shop people living and buying their food with their minimum wage in the bay area? Obviously they aren't remote working. Perspective is a bitch.

SF has the highest CPI and rent index in the entire U.S., so comparing it with median salary of the U.S. is non-sequitur.

...Especially when talking about perspective.

Re: San Francisco Bubble

#264

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's the dotcom stuff all over again. I remember interviewing some guy who wanted to be my VP of engineering. Have you ever fired anyone? "Nope" Have you ever shipped a product and supported it for more than a year? "Nope" Do you have any quality engineers that would come with you? "Nope" Have you ever managed a manager? "Nope" I noped his ass out the door. Fear not, this craziness will pass.

What does any of that have to do with 'dotcom stuff' or bubbles? People apply to jobs they're unqualified for in every field all the time.

> apply

Because they got the job.

Re: San Francisco Bubble

#265
The most ironic thing about this article is that it sounds like he's complaining about tall the niceties of living in SF but he himself works at an ad tech company and is currently on sabbatical and wants to write a new blog entry once a day. WTF???

Re: San Francisco Bubble

#266
post #218

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ok, as a perennial voice for free markets I agree with your observations, but not your point. Having lived through it I see the damage it is doing to individuals who will take years to recover. Too many engineers today, perhaps like sports players, take a big salary, project it across 30 years and then say "Wow I've got millions headed my way, do I really need to bag my lunch?" I've watched as they became both broke…

I agree with everything you said but I think you're underestimating the importance of fighting lifestyle inflation at all costs. It's incredibly hard to justify a six-figure burn rate under any circumstances, even in San Francisco. If you've got a job making multiples of the median household income in the US, it's incredibly irresponsible to live in a manner that wouldn't support a pretty major pay cut at any point.

A 6 figure burn rate is what's required to own property in or near sf. Take a modest $900k 3 bedroom condo: it costs nearly $5k/mo in mortgage (even with a sizable downpayment), insurance, taxes, and maintenance. And you haven't eaten yet, or owned even a single car.

Re: San Francisco Bubble

#267
post #62

This is why the free market is so great. 1. Everything too expensive? Good, don't live here, eventually enough people will leave to drive all of the costs back to other market norms. 2. Dumb startups? Good, they will fail, people won't be able to afford to live here and they'll leave. 3. People are spoiled? Uber is cheaper and more convenient in some cases than taking the local transportation. When people stop taking…

What about the people who have already lived there, who aren't on engineering salaries and work service positions? I think it's fun to be flippant, but there still certain demographics that are being displaced and negatively impacted by the bubble.

Coming from a family of immigrants that had to move around to find work, it's interesting to hear about people's sense of entitlement to a certain lifestyle. Especially the expensive beachside living lifestyle. Am I wrong for not feeling sorry for them?

Disclosure. I tried living in SF. The cost of living was too high. I left. Problem solved. Ta da, no bitching required

Re: San Francisco Bubble

#268
post #62

This is why the free market is so great. 1. Everything too expensive? Good, don't live here, eventually enough people will leave to drive all of the costs back to other market norms. 2. Dumb startups? Good, they will fail, people won't be able to afford to live here and they'll leave. 3. People are spoiled? Uber is cheaper and more convenient in some cases than taking the local transportation. When people stop taking…

Your comment is valid if we lived in a totally free market. We do not.

1) Want to build a skyscrapper? Having the same housing density as Tokyo or Manhattan? No .. sorry .. think of the traffic or view or ... whatever.

2) The place you live in has become very valuable. Pay the appropriate property tax. Umm .. no .. sorry. We don't want to make live unaffordable for seniors or umm whatever.

The reality is just wealth distribution. Away from people who are young and new to the area and towards those who were here before.

Re: San Francisco Bubble

#269

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Advertising is a necessary part of selling a product. Selling a product is a necessary part of being profitable. Why hate on that? Way better than waste-my-time Farmville or an enhanced "like" button. Adtech actually helps commerce.

Many products succeed with zero advertising.

Facebook stock value is doing well and it is because many products are using it to advertise

Re: San Francisco Bubble

#270
Well all we need is to look at historical facts to understand what is going on in SF: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Mansions_of_the_Gods

Seriously though, this movie does touch many aspects related to gentrification and what happens when supply stays the same but demands spikes sharply ... chuckles all around.

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