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Where is the AI jobs crisis?

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Re: Where is the AI jobs crisis?

#251

Post by GJim »

heathrow83829 wrote: post #121
gruez wrote: post #102

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> if they're using the CPI then it can be very misleading. One need only compare nominal wages vs nominal rents per square foot for the last 50 years to see that actual wages have dropped by 30% and yet the "real" hourly average wage calculated via the CPI is flat, falsly implying that actual wages have not dropped. Yes, if you get to pick prices of arbitrary items to compare against, it's easy to come to whatever co…

shelter isn't just a cherry picked item. It's by an far the largest spending category, that and healthcare. I couldn't care less about all the other categories, personally.

> that and healthcare

Careful.

Much of the western world has healthcare that is free at the point of use and paid for by taxation; one cannot extrapolate consumer inflationary healthcare costs in quite the manner the USA does.

Re: Where is the AI jobs crisis?

#252

Post by throwwwll »

lesuorac wrote: post #213
alexsmirnov wrote: post #201

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I more like my high school math teacher explanation: "Put your one hand on dry ice, another in the boiling water. On average, you feel warm and cozy"

Except dry ice is -100 and boiling water is 200 so you feel hot and not cozy.

American education

Re: Where is the AI jobs crisis?

#255

Post by queenkjuul »

Ferret7446 wrote: post #228
mindcandy wrote: post #170

AFAICT, the "Rising layoffs year after year" news lately has been an intentional misreporting of "Layoff rates slowly returning to normal after the hiring spree during COVID stimulation" https://blog.glassdoor.com/site-us/wp-content/uploads/sites/... https://www.glassdoor.com/blog/worklife-trends-2026/ But, CEOs figured out that if they blame layoffs on AI, stock go up a lot. Reporters know that anxiety about AI driv…

I think this is a cope. It is not only the tech sectors facing poor labor market, it's everything. People can't find jobs

Idk why you're downvoted. Practically everyone i know is unemployed, underemployed, or failing to find a new job to replace one they don't like/isn't paying enough/has bad prospectus.

Lucky engineer types like me in the last group, but many of my college educated friends in that middle group. Shit is rough

Re: Where is the AI jobs crisis?

#256

Post by queenkjuul »

heathrow83829 wrote: post #211
gruez wrote: post #138

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>shelter isn't just a cherry picked item. It's by an far the largest spending category, that and healthcare. The BLS agrees. That's why "shelter" is weighted 35.6% in the CPI basket, by far the biggest item. > I couldn't care less about all the other categories, personally. If we're going by what people "care" about (whatever that means), the basket would probably be like 70% gas prices, 20% grocery prices, and 10% f…

yeah, staggering. it's utterly amazing how much people care about gas prices. i can't wrap my mind around it. I mean, would people really rather be out on the street rather than get an EV or god forbid a hybrid?

Gas prices affect very nearly everyone in America. High housing prices benefit the most vocal middle class constituencies (ie boomer homeowners)

Rent is a bigger consideration for most people i know, but most people i know take public transit.

Also keep in mind: people's rents don't suddenly triple in the span of a month when the president starts another illegal war... The shock value of gas, uh, shocks makes it easier to talk about than the slow relentless squeezing of the working class via rent increases that outpace inflation and wages

Re: Where is the AI jobs crisis?

#258

Post by colesantiago »

Daishiman wrote: post #239
colesantiago wrote: post #147

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We replaced most of our juniors and seniors at my company with AI. We only have like 2 seniors down from 30 and they are more productive than ever. I expect with Mythos we can get this down to at least 1 highly paid senior engineer and the rest a swarm of agents they are managing.

What exactly was your company doing such that the concurrent development of features and infrastructure by 30 people is now done by 2? Each engineer is monitoring 15 Claude swarms?

We just have regular web, backend, search, ingestion, frontend and mobile codebases.

Turns out we didn't need these engineers and you can just have one or two strong seniors on this.

They are more productive than ever.

Re: Where is the AI jobs crisis?

#259

Post by queenkjuul »

james_marks wrote: post #162
sp1982 wrote: post #30

I run a job search site and I don't see a crisis in terms of job openings even for SWE - but there is very clear signal that AI is deeply getting embedded in every SWE job. https://corvi.careers/blog/global_software-engineering_jobs_...

In the news I hear about tech layoffs, but I am having a difficult time trying to hire high quality senior SWE's. Perhaps it's not the senior's that were hit by the layoffs, or I'm just looking in the wrong places. The big job sites feel rife with unqualified applicants and outright fraud, leaving me frankly unsure how to proceed. It feels like a crisis of candidates-to-job-openings matching, and AI has made it much…

I see dozens of senior postings, i apply for them, i get automated rejections. Wash rinse repeat for 6 months.

Re: Where is the AI jobs crisis?

#260

Post by shantnutiwari »

Like others, let me call bullshit on that graph.

It just gives a general "job" going up, but

* how many of those are real jobs? I've seen the amount of scam/fake jobs go up a lot since 2022

* How many are jobs only for PhD with 20 years expereince?

* How many jobs for actual juniors / newcomers?

Just taking the aggregate is a bit scummy

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