Earlier quoted context omitted.
? More samples reduces the variance of a statistic. Obviously it cannot identify systematic bias in a model, or establish causality, or make a "bad" question "good". Its not overrated though -- it would strengthen or weaken the case for many papers.
If you have a strong grip on exactly what it means, sure, but look at any HN thread on the topic of fraud in science. People think replication = validity because it's been described as the replication crisis for the last 15 years. And that's the best case! Funding replication studies in the current environment would just lead to lots of invalid papers being promoted as "fully replicated" and people would be fooled ev…
HN is very tedious/lazy when it comes to science criticism -- very much agree with you on this.
My only point is replication is necessary to establish validity, even if it is not sufficient. Whether it gives a scientist a false sense of security doesn't change the math of sampling.
I also agree with you on quality issues. I think alternative investment strategies (other than project grants) would be a useful step for reducing perverse incentives, for example. But there's a lot of things science could do.