251–260 of 329 posts
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This is pretty hyperbolic. Great products that were much better than what they replaced or competed with, but "beyond wild dreams of millions of people"? You'd think they cured cancer in 2003 or something...
Google maps has and had a tremendous effect to millions
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I don't doubt your experience, having been frustrated many times myself, but in case anyone is curious, my first and most obvious guess worked: https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=convert+5+mpg+to+L%2Fkm
It’s per 100km. I tried a few prompts, wolfram didn’t get it right!
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Bard opened to a US-only audience. For being the engine in applications that might propel an LLM ahead of the others, I fail to see that this would be advantageous for opening markets and greeting new customers. As an example [of the contrary], I noticed Swedish Klarna among the partners that OpenAI revealed when announcing their plug-in API today.
Bard speaks only English + is very limited, so that explains much why it's not widely deployed worldwide.
Very cool. Effectively, ChatGPT is using tools now. I wonder how much longer before it evolves opposable thumbs :)
How long until someone instruments it to compile code, spin up Azure instances, and run it? I'd wager it's already been done.
“Run it yourself”
And it does
It will not matter what ChatGPT (et al.) will cost in the future. If you don't have it you're toast.
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OpenAI has demonstrated that copyright no longer matters given its commercialization of the content of the Internet without attribution or royalties.
As much as I hope that's the case, it's also likely that it only seems that way because legal processes are slow especially when it comes to issues with almost no precident that fundementally challenge the assumptions of US law
For small companies and individuals, however, it’s still very much alive. Napster isn’t coming back.
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Any profession which involves digesting, analysing and organising information will be heavily affected by GPT. If you are the guy manually writing code to extract and interpret information from CSVs or articles, it might take you hours longer than the guy who gets the chatbot to do it in seconds. I predict GPT will be a necessary tool to stay competitive in most middle class jobs within the next year
But how can you verify what you find?
how does anyone verify the work they've subcontracted out? They see progress and they call it good enough.
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I didn’t dismiss anything. I didn’t say anything was alarmist. Please don’t put words in my mouth. You didn’t say anything about societal problems. You wondered if the growth will ever stop, and I tried my best in good faith to give the reasons why I believe that it will. If the question is “when will the models be powerful enough to cause societal problems”, then that is a completely different question and I think t…
> I didn’t dismiss anything. I didn’t say anything was alarmist. Please don’t put words in my mouth. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35276186 "We’re still decades from AGI in my opinion, and the Chicken Little types ought to pace themselves, is all I’m saying. "
I see now you were making reference to a comment I made in reply to someone else.
Yes, that was something that I said and I stand by it.
I do not see any reason to be concerned about AI as an existential threat at the present moment.
I have explained in my previous comment why I feel this is the case; if you feel that this view is recklessly dismissive and wish to change my mind, then I invite you to do the same.
Edit: I’m sorry for any excessive crispiness or combativeness in my tone; I can see now from your post history that you are likely arguing in good faith.
I have grown weary of arguing against concern trolls lately on this topic, so I may have misjudged your initial comment based on its brevity. Sorry about that.
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If wonder if it will drop off.
I cannot imagine a scenario where it doesn’t drop off. The massive recent improvements in GPT’s performance are a result of giving the model enormous numbers of parameters and a wealth of training data. That’s it. Surely this paradigm cannot scale up indefinitely. Moore’s law is moribund. Are we going to build a supercomputer that encircles the globe just for the purpose of trying to make the biggest LLM we can? Also…
extremely dismissive of the labor that went into converting AGI from "impossible" to "expensive"
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It needs us as meat robots to maintain the power grid and other industrial infrastructure.
In the opinion of a fish humans would be considered no threat because humans can't swim, nor do they have sharp teeth. You're making an assumption at best based on limitations you believe it has with an incomplete model of the universe. But more dangerously, you're also assuming that an AGI would even care about self preservation. Arguably the most ethical thing a super intelligence could do should in find itself sud…