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$130B wiped off crypto markets in 24 hours

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Re: $130B wiped off crypto markets in 24 hours

#251
post #225

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's backed by mathematics instead of a country. That doesn't make it better or worse, just different, and diversity is generally what people want in their portfolio.

It's not backed by mathematics any more than gold is backed by chemistry.

So, quite a lot then?

Making gold has always been the holy grail of chemistry. It's only valuable because chemistry says you can't make it easily.

Re: $130B wiped off crypto markets in 24 hours

#252
post #9
post #2

Okay? And 1.5 trillion was wiped off of the US equity market.

Over the last month: VTSAX is down 9%, AMZN (hardest-hit Big 5) is down 16%, BTC is down 34%.

Yup - there are other factors that affect what investors think of tech stocks and crypto, but they are also on the riskier end of the spectrum, so when the general market sentiment swings, they swing too, and to a greater degree.

Re: $130B wiped off crypto markets in 24 hours

#253
post #63
post #12

That's all the point of crypto-currencies, they need to go up and down to enable speculation. Pump and make it go up. Dump and it goes down. Someone is cashing the difference. A stable crypto-currency will not attract so much speculative investment.

A stable crypto-currency will not attract any investment. Crypto is useless for anything but money laundering and speculation.

How else will you get paid for your ransomware?

Re: $130B wiped off crypto markets in 24 hours

#254

There is no much point in arguing with a cult. This phenomenon will have to work its way through the susceptible demographic, meaning that the large majority of "speculators" will have transferred their disposable wealth to a minority of shrewd operators. The masses will subsequently be "seasoned", or immunized and will no longer participate, at best disappointed, disgusted and mildly embarrassed, at worst suffering…

I have no idea what future crypto prices will do, but you do realize that smart contracts allow people to bank, from their browser with nothing but a MetaMask extension, without a bank, right? There's heavy dose of speculation present in any emerging market, but crypto, especially its smart contract sector, is not just speculation.

Wasn't there an article recently, that basically revealed that "from their browser/device" basically means just using the API to access the blockchain? So you're still using "a bank", just that the bank is the API provider. A bit more modern, but not a game changer.

Re: $130B wiped off crypto markets in 24 hours

#255
post #168

Earlier quoted context omitted.

70% of Bitcoin holders bought in last year. A continuous stream of greater fools is necessary for its price to even remain at the current level Also, every ponzi scheme gives amazing returns, before it inevitably collapses. For example Madoff was able to give decent returns to his investors for 17 years! 'Number go up' is not a refutation of a ponzi scheme.

Yeah but with a Madoff/Ponzi scheme the thing collapses, Madoff goes to jail, it ends. Bitcoin seems more like other assets that don't make things, stuff like fiat money, gold, fine art and so on.

> stuff like fiat money, gold, fine art and so on.

This comment is a great example of how little bitcoin enthusiasts tend to understand about investing. One of this things is very much not like the others.

"Fiat currency" is virtually never used as an investment asset. Even in the FOREX market you purchases pairs of currency rather than just a big pile of dollars. In your 401k when you want to go all "cash" you very often end up choosing investment vehicles that track cash.

The entire function of a currency is as a medium of exchange, it only has value in the process of exchanging. It makes no sense, at the individual investor level, to 'hold' dollars.

If you don't understand how a fiat currency differs from gold and fine art then you absolutely should not be "investing" in bitcoin.

Re: $130B wiped off crypto markets in 24 hours

#256

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What's the catalyst for all this? Did it start with Netflix?

Rates are going up, so stocks are being cashed out to be invested in better yielding bonds

What rate are you getting on bonds today?

What did you get last month?

Re: $130B wiped off crypto markets in 24 hours

#257

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not useless though. It works just fine as a currency. It's just that nobody is using it. Like how Signal is more trustworthy than WhatsApp but nobody I know uses it so it doesn't matter.

Sadly currencies rely on network effects even more than instant messengers to be really useful. The fact that most people look at cryptocurrencies just like they were stocks and comparing against a buying/selling price in USD should be pretty clear. I know that people also invest in currencies and gain money on exchange fluctuations but it's more a "side effect" than the main purpose. With cryptocurrencies is the oth…

Which is why I decided to accept XMR. I thought maybe that'd start something. The system is literally right there just waiting for us to use it.

I also remember seeing at least one artist accepting XMR for cryptocurrency-related art. Plenty of people were spending XMR on that person.

Re: $130B wiped off crypto markets in 24 hours

#258
post #168

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah but with a Madoff/Ponzi scheme the thing collapses, Madoff goes to jail, it ends. Bitcoin seems more like other assets that don't make things, stuff like fiat money, gold, fine art and so on.

It literally is just fiat currency. Bitcoin is a way to make fiat currency independent of government.

...but dependent on the price of electricity and computers.

Guess which governments have the most of both.

Re: $130B wiped off crypto markets in 24 hours

#259

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The only difference in investing in currency than other asset classes is that the value of currencies is entirely relative to other currencies in ways other asset classes aren’t. In practice that doesn’t make a difference because all the mechanics are the same as any other form of investment decision.

First of all I should be convinced that cryptocurrencies are currencies and secondly I don’t see how this asset can be used by treasury to hold any cash for operational purposes. Besides I am not sure that is investing per se.

I personally wouldn’t hold crypto as part of an forex portfolio mix for a corporate treasury largely because they are currently not really currency equivalents but there might be treasury groups that do & the mechanics of holding them isn’t much different than any other fx holding.

As far as whether treasury asset allocations are investing or not is largely in the eye of the beholder but companies very frequently prefer to hold “cash equivalents” beyond their immediate operational requirements. If a treasury buys us tbills that is both a traditional investment & a fx position (in that it’s a usd we are viewing preferentially over other currencies in our portfolio).

Re: $130B wiped off crypto markets in 24 hours

#260
post #80
post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you own cryptocurrency, and its all gone down, you're invested and can do two things. You can keep hold of your assets, or you can sell. If you sell, you can decide to share such or not, but since you are no longer invested, there's no incentive to share such (and if you're part of a pump and dump scheme, you don't want people to lose trust so your incentive is to say HODL while doing otherwise). So it makes sense…

Bitcoin is probably the first Ponzi scheme where everyone in it knows it is a Ponzi scheme. So I agree with your take here.

I don't think it really qualifies as a Ponzi scheme, functionally it's not all that different from any other speculative asset. You're not giving your money to the 'blockchain' expecting it to give back X amount of dollars, you're trading your money for bitcoins and that's the end of it. Whether you want to keep your bitcoins forever, or attempt to find someone else to sell them to is up to you.
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