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u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

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251–260 of 554 posts

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#251

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is no free money. The IV on options like long calls to hedge a short is astronomical. Line numbers I've never seen.

The prices on puts go up even when the price skyrockets - it’s crazy!

I saw an IV yesterday that was 1000%. I’m not sure I’ll ever see that again in my lifetime.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#252

On wsb u/deepfuckingvalue showed he still holds 50,000 shares and 500 deep ITM call options. He has secured a profit of $13.8 million dollars, and his remaining open position is valued at $45 million. I would caution people to not quickly fall into the "if he's still in, I'm still in" meme. He has secured a $14 million bag, regardless if the stock goes to zero he's already secured a life changing amount of money, he…

Imagine if you’re his wife (and I believe he has a young daughter) and saw that your husband is leaving a $11M trade on a 8 sigma type of event? I want to ask him so many questions. Like when did you tell your wife? How did she react? Did she force you to take some profits? They need to make a movie about this whole thing when all the details spill out.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#254

Looking back at (u/deepfuckingvalue) Keith Gill's comments on r/wsb, it looks like they had a solid theory to cash out by Jan 2021 for $8+ a share (most of their calls starting June 2019 were 80 cents a share or less [0]). This was by no means a strategy to make money by squeezing the short, though one user, conspicuously named u/burrym, speculated that it ought to be [1]. [0] https://archive.is/Y953e , https://archi…

For those out of the loop like I was, Michael Burry is the guy from the Big Short, who also owned 3 million shares of GME before the squeeze began. [1] [1] https://www.businessinsider.com/gamestop-michael-burry-big-s...

Oh and here I though it was short for Burry 'm. That's some weird coincidence.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#255

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Any stock that does not pay dividends _has no fundamentals_. It's just supply / demand.

Berkshire Hathaway? Do you understand the tax-reasons why a company would buy back shares instead of issue dividends? What about book value, where a company could have $1b in assets (real machinery, tractors, factories, etc), no debt, and no dividend? Does that mean it still has no fundamental value?

A stock has value if someone ultimately can extract value from it. As far as I know, there are only 2 ways, dividend and gaining control of the assets.

A stock where neither of both are possible ever (now and in the future) has no fundamental value since you have no way to extract value from it, it's pure speculation. Stock buybacks only have value because something else gives the stock value.

Of course, I don't think the situation described above actually happens in the real world, dividends or ownership will (or at least can) happen at some point.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#256

Looking back at (u/deepfuckingvalue) Keith Gill's comments on r/wsb, it looks like they had a solid theory to cash out by Jan 2021 for $8+ a share (most of their calls starting June 2019 were 80 cents a share or less [0]). This was by no means a strategy to make money by squeezing the short, though one user, conspicuously named u/burrym, speculated that it ought to be [1]. [0] https://archive.is/Y953e , https://archi…

It looks like by the time mburry was posting here, he had already publically announced a 3M share long position in GME (https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20190819005633/en/Sci...)

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#257
post #86

Earlier quoted context omitted.

GME is absolutely going to crash and everyone knows it. There was a mod post just today reminding everyone to be ready. The stock is worth $10-20 on it's merits and that's where it will land. We just don't know when. The chance of this as a contagion that brings down indexes seems very unlikely.

I think this whole episode might cause the next market sell-off: (1) fund degrossing as the initial driver - already happening (2) everyone is being reminded of 99/00 mania (3) uncertain regulatory environment surrounding trading (4) worries of systemic risks created by bubble GME going higher is likely to trigger it more than it dropping off right now

> (1) fund degrossing as the initial driver - already happening

I saw a tweet that I cannot find right now, unfortunately. It showed that de-grossing M-W of this week was nearly at the same level as March of 2020.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#258

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I hope one day we will see an IPFS link

Why do people constantly have to re-invent the wheel? :( Freenet [0] has been providing censorship-resistant, anonymous, decentralized hosting for 20 years - and is still in active development! You could upload it to Freenet without any server whatsoever and it would stay online for as long as it is popular, even if your machine goes offline. And you'd be anonymous while doing so! [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fr…

IPFS has the benefit that anyone can pin the content and then even the original author can not take it down.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#259

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I thought bankruptcy would still mean the brokers are on the line for the money?

They are. That’s what collateral, broker risk management, and (if the broker fails) DTCC is for, to derisk counterparty failure risk. Someone is paying up.

This is as I understood it. There is a lot of misinformation from folks who believe to understand the entire situation from all players' perspective. I am not able to comprehend the situation well enough. If anyone has seen a good non-biased write up on what has happened so far and what may happen, I would love to see it.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#260
post #103

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Are speculators making money on ipfs? How? This is news to me.

via Filecoin: "In short: IPFS addresses and moves content, while Filecoin is an incentive layer to persist data." https://docs.ipfs.io/concepts/faq/#ipfs-and-filecoin

Are they separate layers? Could I use IPFS in my own project, or is it intrinsically tied to Filecoin?
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