Earlier quoted context omitted.
The problem with the 100LL phase-out is that you have over 70 years of engines and fuel systems designed to work with leaded fuel. In order to complete the phase-out you either need to: force people to put a new $30K+ engine into a The FAA has been attempting the second route for some years, but to date has not been terribly successful. The first route has been done successfully in other regions such as the EU, but I…
You have a sensible third option which is how automotive changed for the most part. Grandfather in current planes and mandate new models to use new fuel only. Over time, perhaps lot longer than cars(planes do have longer life) you will have changed all of them. Had they started it in 80's and 90's same time as auto-mobiles, most planes would have changed by now. Every industry faces the same challenges to transform t…
You're underestimating the age of the fleet.
The average GA aircraft is 50 years old, and that is likely to increase in the near-medium term as production of GA aircraft is practically zero.
Source: https://www.ainonline.com/aviation-news/business-aviation/20....
(Cirrus, mentioned above, produces about 300 aircraft a year - compare to the 100,000+ Ceessnas on GA fields, almost all of which are over 40 years old.