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536 was ‘the worst year to be alive’ (2018)

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Re: 536 was ‘the worst year to be alive’ (2018)

#251
post #144

The worst year to be alive _so far_

"How Are Things? Better. Better Than Tomorrow, Of Course—Worse Than Yesterday" - Credit to Eugene Volokh who posted this old saying from Soviet Europe this morning.

A CEO said last November '2020 Is Going To Be Better. It Has To Be'.

I'm pretty sure everything that's happened is his fault.

Re: 536 was ‘the worst year to be alive’ (2018)

#252
post #138

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Thanks. It's hard to get nation-wide reports by chain. All I see are pictures on social media of outraged people going: "Why don't we have any sock-eye salmon? And Look! The shelves are empty!". Surely data are the aggregate set of anecdotes, but while I see a lot of spot anecdotes, I don't see much data.

What I'm seeing in the NY state capital is that the stuff that was out of stock early on like toilet paper, paper towels, kleenex, flour, etc. returned some times ago, but seems to still be rationed to one or two per person per day. I don't find this to be a hardship, but I don't shop for a big family. However, I just saw packets of yeast for sale again. That was the last thing that I had trouble finding. But take my…

Thanks.

Makes sense. I never drive or shop, so I am kind of used to people bringing me off-brand stuff. And I buy in bulk, so I am already set regardless, but I am told by friends that the shelves are full (sometimes they even send pictures!)

Maybe we are lucky that so much is semi-locally sourced.

Re: 536 was ‘the worst year to be alive’ (2018)

#253
post #85

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Edit: don't take my word for it, apparently this is a popular myth Read up on Yellowstone, for example -- AFAIK it's "due for a big one" but it blows up so infrequently and so catastrophically that there's no real plan other than "maybe think about not living in North America." But hey, volcanic ash is a coolant for the climate -- a few well-placed eruptions could do some good, on a global scale (sorry about the loca…

Don’t think it’s “overdue”[0]. I think that’s just a myth in popular culture. [0] https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/yellowstone-overdue-eruption-when-...

If experts say we don't have good reason to think an eruption is close, then that sounds eminently reasonable.

But that's not the same thing as saying we have good reason to think an eruption is not close.

The link in fact says that predictions of an eruption are based on numerology and nobody knows.

Re: 536 was ‘the worst year to be alive’ (2018)

#254
post #40

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> What's.......our intended process for dealing with this? The extent of the USA's preparedness, from the federal agency in charge handling Emergencies, is a website with a bullet point list of what you should have in a first aid kit in your house: https://www.ready.gov/kit I'm being only partially facetious. There are of course multiple agencies at the federal, state, county, and local level with their own plans and…

Spot on. We no longer have a government for the people, by the people, of the people. Just take a look at the net worth statistics of our congresscritters and their voting records. In fact, we never really have. Initially, only free, white landowners could even vote ! Edit: ah, found yet another “thing you can’t say on HN,” I suppose. :) Talk about lack of TP in stores: +6. Talk about how our “representatives” don’t…

"thing you can’t say on HN"

This seems like a thing that people are suddenly saying a lot on HN.

Why can't you talk about lack of TP in stores? Where? I thought that was over a few months ago?

Re: 536 was ‘the worst year to be alive’ (2018)

#255
post #146

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Using renewables would be more cost effective, even up to 100% replacement of fossil fuels. Cost of storage does not change this conclusion.

There is zero chance of 100% replacement of fossil fuels with renewables. Zero. Without a Thanos solution. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gkj_91IJVBk&list=WL&index=5&... EDIT: I mean, you guys are downvoting these comments, and I'm sorry to tell you things you don't want to hear, but would prefer that you respond with contrary information rather than downvoting. Happy to alter my views and engage in information shar…

They will eventually - at the moment Sun is radiating the was majority of it's energy into basically empty space. There is no reason not to put all that energy to good use by a Dyson swarm.

Re: 536 was ‘the worst year to be alive’ (2018)

#256
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Doesn't "not good" in this context mean NEVER. Are there any native tribes/peoples that had a writing system before European contact? AFAICT, it's one of the main causes so many native languages are dying/extinct.

Writing developed in America long before Europeans showed up and continued to be used until Europeans showed up, but the Europeans destroyed most books they could find and forced the natives to learn the colonizers' languages. That's the main cause why so many native languages are dying/extinct. Further reading: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mesoamerican_writing_systems

The article says near the top:

"An extensive Mesoamerican literature has been conserved, partly in indigenous scripts and partly in postconquest transcriptions in the Latin script."

It also says:

"The Florentine Codex, compiled 1545-1590 by Franciscan friar Bernardino de Sahagún includes a history of the Spanish conquest of the Aztec Empire from the Mexica viewpoint"

Re: 536 was ‘the worst year to be alive’ (2018)

#258
post #97

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> To me this is the main reason that going multiplanetary or space habitat based is basically the only way to escape this inevitable doom I disagree with this. Leaving the Earth doesn't remove random acts of doom from happening, and in fact, they are more lethal in unfamiliar and hostile environments. If we do not figure out how to handle such black swan events on our home planet, we have no chance of handling them i…

The idea is not to avoid black swan events entirely, it is to have pockets that are missed by a given event. Earth goes cold? Well, good thing the moon base can preserve technology and knowledge for a hundred years. Solar flare? Good thing we have the under-ice base on Europa. Europa explodes? Good thing that we are still on Earth. Now if they all happen at the same time, like the sun dying, then that is why you want…

Not only that, sufficiently advanced off-world infrastructure could be helpful for handling dangerous events.

Yelowstone blows up unexpectedly - orbital rescue forces do a quick drop, help rescue survivors in the immediate area. Later on food supplies from orbital/Lunar farms help cover food shortages and teraforming techniques can be used to fixup the biosphere.

Re: 536 was ‘the worst year to be alive’ (2018)

#259

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not possible for a gamma ray burst to 'screw' the entire solar system. It's already an incredibly unlikely event to occur near enough to do damage. Then the beam would have to be directed in our direction. And the beam would have to essentially hit the solar system edge on or face on, but not at any other angle. Even if all that happened, underground bases would be protected, as would above-ground or in-space ha…

How long would such a burst be expected to last? Because at least momentarily, one half of the earth will remain pretty safe.

Most of them are very short lived (think seconds at most), but they can be as long as a few hours. No part of the Earth will really be 'safe' for humans in sense of 'unaffected' like other places could be, but yeah, lots of people would only suffer from the after effects.

Re: 536 was ‘the worst year to be alive’ (2018)

#260

How susceptible are we to another catastrophic volcano eruption? After COVID-19 shut down supply chains, there were some problematic delays, but seems like we quickly recovered. If the entire planet's crops were wiped out, we're all just SOL if we don't get canned goods in time? If we had 12 months notice, could we as a planet get it together? 6 months? 3 months? Is there forecasting for volcanoes? (looks like yes: h…

I'm going to plug a charity here, Allfed, working to develop technologies to let us survive the loss of conventional agriculture for a period of years by working out efficient and economical ways to convert things like, e.g., dead trees into digestible calories and the plans to deploy them in the event of a large volcanic interruption or asteroid strike or nuclear exchange. https://allfed.info/

That's very interesting. But if we're talking about O(10 years), isn't a more foolproof and probably cheaper plan just to stockpile dried and canned food?
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