A currency with no mechanism for monetary policy is not going to be adopted. Bitcoin is purely deflationary for more reasons than just people losing their keys. For example, a fixed reward split between a growing group of miners will also cause a rising price floor. The miners will not sell for less than their electricity costs, which makes the smaller piece of the block reward they receive have a higher price. So yo…
Bitcoin automatically adjusts the difficulty of mining, targeting ten minutes per block. If the price drops, then some miners will find themselves unprofitable and shut down, blocks will take longer to produce, and the difficulty will drop. Mining effort follows price, not the other way around.
Bitcoin's Use in Commerce Keeps Falling
251–260 of 369 posts
Re: Bitcoin's Use in Commerce Keeps Falling
#252Earlier quoted context omitted.
I disagree with several of your statements. First, bitcoin has a monetary policy, and the key is that it cant be changed, which is very appealing: more appealing that storing gold vs fiat, since gold has a less predictable monetary policy. Gold had been chosen as currency for most of history, across cultures and languages. In countries where the currency breaks down, things like chocolate, potatoes or corn get into c…
Bitcoin monetary policy can be changed. If there is a significant consensus then you can move to any set of rules. Bitcoin monetary policy cannot be unilaterally changed. Consensus is difficult and slow, but when it comes to the world economy, that's probably the least-bad solution.
People can fork bitcoin with a different monetary policy. I, and many others will continue to support the monetary policy as set out in the original white paper. Not much in bitcoin is sacrosanct, but 21 million coins is what makes it bitcoin for me.
Re: Bitcoin's Use in Commerce Keeps Falling
#253Earlier quoted context omitted.
>nobody uses it for the kind of decentralized transactions for which it was originally pitched You're misinterpreting absence of evidence as evidence of absence which is a logical fallacy. clearly there's enough of a market for trustless wealth storage enough to support a $100 Billion dollar market cap. Maybe you think that the world will need less and less trustless wealth storage in the future and you're short bitc…
1. Before accusing other people of logical errors, check to make sure you’re not making one of your own, such as assuming that the current market cap of something is completely backed by real value. Pets.com and Webvan had plenty of market cap right until they didn’t - and a pure fiat currency like Bitcoin has a floor of zero because the only value is the network of people who continue paying to operate it. 2. If a s…
Re: Bitcoin's Use in Commerce Keeps Falling
#254When can we call Bitcoin a failed experiment? And don't tell me it was "always about storing value", that's not in the original paper.
>that's not in the original paper. Bitcoin the protocol != bitcoin the paper. The main point of the paper was show that you can solve the byzantine generals problem in a completely untrusted. This contribution built on prior distributed-system designs such as Paxos. >don't tell me it was "always about storing value" Bitcoin was always about a fixed-scarcity asset/currency given that the controlled supply algorithm wa…
Re: Bitcoin's Use in Commerce Keeps Falling
#255Earlier quoted context omitted.
One of your points is of dubious validity: fees may not be higher. Fees went very high when the network became congested; but when it’s not congested, they’re much lower than credit card systems are for normal businesses. https://bitcoinfees.earn.com/ suggests that right now, what equates to about nine US cents is sufficient for a basic transaction. And if you’re happy to wait an hour, then two cents ought to do you…
> but when it’s not congested, they’re much lower than credit card systems are for normal businesses. It's extremely americanocentric to assume All Of The World either uses credit cards or x-gen Kriegerands.
Re: Bitcoin's Use in Commerce Keeps Falling
#256Earlier quoted context omitted.
Are you talking about credit cards or debit cards? There is a big difference when making a comparison to bitcoin. The reason why bitcoin doesn't have these features is that there isn't a bank sitting between the two parties doing business. To exchange a bitcoin with somebody, you are essentially trading "in cash". When you do business with somebody directly in cash, the same kind of shortcomings are involved, especia…
Both credit and debit? The reason why bitcoin doesn't have these features is that there isn't a bank sitting between the two parties doing business Yes I know, that's why we should make fairer comparisons..
Re: Bitcoin's Use in Commerce Keeps Falling
#257A currency with no mechanism for monetary policy is not going to be adopted. Bitcoin is purely deflationary for more reasons than just people losing their keys. For example, a fixed reward split between a growing group of miners will also cause a rising price floor. The miners will not sell for less than their electricity costs, which makes the smaller piece of the block reward they receive have a higher price. So yo…
I disagree with several of your statements. First, bitcoin has a monetary policy, and the key is that it cant be changed, which is very appealing: more appealing that storing gold vs fiat, since gold has a less predictable monetary policy. Gold had been chosen as currency for most of history, across cultures and languages. In countries where the currency breaks down, things like chocolate, potatoes or corn get into c…
isn't this true for all currencies, virtual or not?
Re: Bitcoin's Use in Commerce Keeps Falling
#258Earlier quoted context omitted.
I mean, what advantage does it have over gold? Advantages of gold vs. Bitcoin: - gold is pretty easy to find, not that hard to buy for the average consumer; BTC is anything but - gold is physical in form and securing it is not hard; BTC is not physical, exchanges get hacked with losses to accounts, in the event of a natural disaster or some event where power generation and internet is lost you lose access to BTC. (So…
Can't figure out if this is sarcasm...
"gold is pretty easy to find, not that hard to buy for the average consumer; BTC is anything" ... You can buy BTC with your credit card no KYC needed or you can mine it yourself. Are you gonna start mining gold? If you want to buy to gold you need a trading account, or you order gold and it gets delivered to you, not as simple as buying BTC at all.
"gold is physical in form and securing it is not hard" ... You need a safe and/or insurance, much more complicated then using a password/cold wallet.
"gold at least has some kind of floor value" ... The floor value is really small if you remove the speculative aspect of gold.
Re: Bitcoin's Use in Commerce Keeps Falling
#259Earlier quoted context omitted.
I disagree with several of your statements. First, bitcoin has a monetary policy, and the key is that it cant be changed, which is very appealing: more appealing that storing gold vs fiat, since gold has a less predictable monetary policy. Gold had been chosen as currency for most of history, across cultures and languages. In countries where the currency breaks down, things like chocolate, potatoes or corn get into c…
> being deflationary predictably is better than unpredictably inflationary. Unpredictable deflation is what bitcoin does, and with a fixed policy it can never do anything else. The amount of wealth generated by an economy grows in an unpredictable manner, and fixed monetary policy translates that fluctuation directly into the value of the currency. We learned this with metal currency. It didn’t go well.
Re: Bitcoin's Use in Commerce Keeps Falling
#260Earlier quoted context omitted.
1. Before accusing other people of logical errors, check to make sure you’re not making one of your own, such as assuming that the current market cap of something is completely backed by real value. Pets.com and Webvan had plenty of market cap right until they didn’t - and a pure fiat currency like Bitcoin has a floor of zero because the only value is the network of people who continue paying to operate it. 2. If a s…
Pasted from another thread: If you think that Bitcoin's value is $0 long term, why not go short and make reams of money? After 10 years the market has shown that owning 100 btc has preserved more purchasing power than owning 100 USD, What's your call for the next 10 years?
"Markets can remain irrational a lot longer than you and I can remain solvent."