> Other cities affected by the contagion of war, such as Budapest and Warsaw, saw their stability scores slip as geopolitical tensions increased. Meanwhile, kids in American schools are getting shot at, but yeah, Warsaw is definitely less livable than any large US city.
Wars kill far more people than school shootings, just not in the US and just not lately. I don't think Poland and Hungary have a high probability of entering a war, but it is a small percentage increase multiplied by a devastating outcome.
I agree it doesn't seem that likely, but keep in mind that Poland's entire eastern border is Russian or Belarussian territory, with a speck of Ukraine in the southeast. The probability is still low, but it's higher than a year ago.