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Solar generates more energy in US than coal for first time

theguardian.com

231–240 of 260 posts

Re: Solar generates more energy in US than coal for first time

#231
post #58

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LFPs are cheap and safe, with very good cycle counts. Sodium seems to be actually hitting real commercial production volumes (ex - GM just announced a sodium ramp up days ago, CATL has been producing them for a while). I expect we'll see sodium mature a good bit over the next decade (right now - it's just not quite as good as LFP, but it has a lot of promise in temperature extremes and cheap input materials) So sure…

I read some interesting things about crazy sounding technologies like vanadium flow and iron batteries. I think we're at most 10 years away from storage being not fully solved, but becoming an enabler more than a bottleneck.

What data make you think storage isn't fully solved now?

Re: Solar generates more energy in US than coal for first time

#232

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Cooling doesn't really take more energy than warming, because cooling is warming if you have a heat pump. Are you not just observing here the usage of fossil fuels for heating, which is extremely common?

How common are heat pumps in the states now - and is this something your average worker can afford? I looked into it some time before I moved - and before they were as popular - and installation costs were prohibitive. Moved to Norway over a decade ago. Heat pumps are popular but most homes don't have them here, especially in the cities. I can't imagine that rentals are upgrading, considering its rare to even update…

Heat pumps are in most new construction in major cities now - Seattle's required them for years, other cities do too. They aren't significantly more expensive than any other method now, especially with a lot of local utility rebates.

Re: Solar generates more energy in US than coal for first time

#233

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> have little black particles all over it. Nobody likes that, no matter what the President says. Should you live near one of those big noisy "freeway" things you may note the little black particles over everything in the surroundings but nobody likes to tear down the interstate.

I have two things to say to that. First, I live 150 yards from a major freeway - I-90 in WA, it's three lanes in each direction here. There are no tiny black particles over everything in surroundings, and my outdoors AQI (from my own sensor) is normally in single digits and basically only ever gets above 50 if it's wildfire smoke or the neighbors are burning something. But second, if we developed a reliable and cheap…

Note the use of 'may'; the details of the car-hell vary. Perhaps the I-90 pollution instead spills into the lake and then bioaccumultes into larger organisms, Bon Appétit! My anecdote was a bit southwesterly of the I-5 bridge where there was, besides the horrific noise pollution, definitely a greyish black soot to clean off everything. A fine result of rolling a natural one and automatically failing the skill check for "copy the autobahn", probably.

As to why some beings need to be whisked hither and yon with such haste, and thus spend quite a bit of time (and energy) trying to be somewhere, anywhere else, well, are they hungry ghosts? Or maybe they min/maxed for wizard and ended up with only three points in wisdom?

Re: Solar generates more energy in US than coal for first time

#234
post #100

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The numbers for 2014-2024: https://www.eia.gov/electricity/annual/table.php?t=epa_03_01... I doubted what you wrote, but everything you said is correct (for the last 10 years, at least). Over the time period, natural gas increased 740 TWh/year (to 1870) and coal decreased 940 TWh/year (to 650). Electricity production is up ~7%, but that's quite low compared to the growth of everything else. > This administration swap…

Biden also put out a bunch of incentives in the IRA to encourage domestic solar panel production.

Dumb waste of money, paying an order of magnitude more.

Re: Solar generates more energy in US than coal for first time

#235
post #109

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Plenty of blame to go around, my understanding of the timeline is: Trumps first administration put in solar Tariffs with China (25%), Biden administration increased them with China (50%), 2nd Trump administration increased those and applied solar Tariffs to other countries. Though honestly I’ve largely stopped paying attention at this point. Solar adoption increased through all of that.

I think the issue is that the tarriffs just don’t really matter anymore because the panels are so cheap that they’re dwarfed by the “balance of system” costs — installation, racking, inverters, cabling, etc.

It matters because of opening up cheaper ways to install them. For example, in some Scandinavian country they're cheaper than fence panels, so they just use them for fences, and the power they generate is a nice bonus.

Re: Solar generates more energy in US than coal for first time

#236
post #222

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But the correct term is West Asia and not middle east (I live here and yet I didn't know it until this was shown as West Asia war on the news)

The entire region needs a better name. It's own name, something that's not meant to be "in the middle, between more important regions", "west of what people consider more important". I was actually thinking about that and stuff like "Fertile Crescent" would be more neutral (but it risks not covering places like Arabia). I wonder if locals have a generic name for the entire region that's more appropriate.

I suppose West Asia is the default name for that region just like South Asia is for India and neighbouring countries

Re: Solar generates more energy in US than coal for first time

#237
post #108
post #62

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Gas is faster to respond, coal, not so much. From the Goog: Starting up a coal-fired power station depends heavily on the plant's current temperature, taking anywhere from 2 to 48 hours to reach full operational capacity. Because of massive metal boilers and turbines, the heating process must be slow to prevent severe thermal fatigue and equipment damage. [1, 2] The startup time is broken down by the plant's previous…

We can keep some of that coal-fired stuff around and use it periodically. It's OK. Winter happens every year. When the market needs that power, then the market will have to pay for it.

With coal, we should use what we have when needed, but absolutely should not invest a penny more in its development.

Instead, that money should go into geothermal which can provide clean baseload power and provide a path for the oil industry to pivot their work to. Everybody wins, except for the coal mine owners and their workers.

The workers should be trained to likewise pivot to geothermal and other renewables. The mine owners can get fucked.

Re: Solar generates more energy in US than coal for first time

#238
post #234

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Biden also put out a bunch of incentives in the IRA to encourage domestic solar panel production.

Dumb waste of money, paying an order of magnitude more.

Either you want to secure the full energy chain or you do not. There are many comments in this thread about how the solar panels come from China. If that bothers you, there needs to be some financial reason for a domestic factory to open.

Re: Solar generates more energy in US than coal for first time

#239

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> They typically generate 10-25% of their maximum output on the cloudiest of days. Most cloudy days are not maximally cloudy. If you're at higher latitudes, this is notably less of a drop-off than you see between high/low season. My friends with residential solar see <10% overall output in January vs July. (~60% drop from fewer sunshine hours, ~80% drop from decreased solar irradiance.)

There's also the angle of the sun to consider, it changes quite a bit in higher latitudes between summer and winter so if you want maximum efficiency you need to tilt the cells accordingly. But I don't think most residential solar does that.

The way the math works for grid-connected residential here, if you're not adjusting the angle, between seasons, you'd be best off leaving it at the optimal winter angle all year, which would minimize the difference between peak/trough generation.

Re: Solar generates more energy in US than coal for first time

#240
post #227

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Tariffs on solar panel imports should stimulate domestic solar panel production, but only when they are high enough and applied long enough to justify investments into new solar panel manufacturing facilities.

You can do it with targeted tariffs with assurances they'll last but these broad tariffs make it harder to get the base materials you need to build the panels out of in the first place plus they're so crazy they're almost guaranteed to be wiped out in a few years if not sooner so as a manufacturer they don't have the confidence that the cost equalization of the tariffs will be around long enough to not bankrupt them.…

It's important to tariff the basic materials Polysilicon, wafers, if you want to spread solar production around the world, not only in a single country.

https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/solar-pv-manu...

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