Where is the AI jobs crisis?

Post by stevenhuang » Wed, Jun 10, 2026, 2:52 AM UTC

emp17344 wrote: post #134

atleastoptimal wrote: post #69

It's crazy that so often I see articles, here on HN and elsewhere, where some pundit claims that there is no AI job crisis, AI isn't replacing any jobs, that layoffs are actually due to post-pandemic ZIRP overhiring, etc. But then people who work in actual tech companies come in and explicitly say they are not hiring any juniors anymore specifically because AI is good enough to do most of what juniors do, and that se…

If you’re so confident, show us some data to debunk the article. You have a weird chip on shoulder, but no economic evidence to justify it.

Post by emp17344 » Wed, Jun 10, 2026, 3:24 AM UTC

MoonWalk wrote: post #214

emp17344 wrote: post #134

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you’re so confident, show us some data to debunk the article. You have a weird chip on shoulder, but no economic evidence to justify it.

I think that's coming at it backward. The article lacks data. Nobody should be expected to run around writing the article that's not there. As it stands, it's unsubstantiated junk.

Post by dwoldrich » Wed, Jun 10, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC

darth_avocado wrote: post #194

dwoldrich wrote: post #113

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There are upward and downward revisions this year at least, it seems like a mixed bag with many policies juicing the economy. [1] Job opportunities differ by state and de-growth hostility to business policies and crony investments. Where I am, layoffs and offshoring continues. I hear new grads are increasingly opting for the skilled trades, which is interesting given they aren't getting use out of their degrees. [1]…

> There are upward and downward revisions this year at least, it seems like a mixed bag with many policies juicing the economy Since Jan 2025, the only two upward revisions have been in the last 3 months. So we’re both correct here. This year (3 months of data), has been a mixed bag. But on a longer time horizon (last 6, 9, 12 months) the revisions have mostly been negative.

Post by throwaway27448 » Wed, Jun 10, 2026, 3:33 AM UTC

bwestergard wrote: post #99

throwaway27448 wrote: post #60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's quite frustrating that they track average rather than median wages. As wealth inequality increases, average will be less and less representative of worker health.

They do track median and 25th/75th percentiles.

Post by Daishiman » Wed, Jun 10, 2026, 5:19 AM UTC

colesantiago wrote: post #147

Daishiman wrote: post #107

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As long as architectural decisions have long-term costs and you need human taste and judgement to speculate on what business needs will come about in the next few years you'll still need human engineers.

We replaced most of our juniors and seniors at my company with AI. We only have like 2 seniors down from 30 and they are more productive than ever. I expect with Mythos we can get this down to at least 1 highly paid senior engineer and the rest a swarm of agents they are managing.