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The Anthropic Economic Index

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231–238 of 238 posts

Re: The Anthropic Economic Index

#231

This more or less confirms what I imagine most of us thought, AI is mostly used by engineers, or for engineering tasks. Makes sense, I wonder how much traffic comes from automated tasks (co-pilot, etc). Every time I read a report like this I do wonder if we'll ever see an ROI on LLMs. HUNDREDS of billions of dollars of spend, and 3 years in its still primarily the same crowd using it, and has yet to create a "killer"…

I would agree that the products coming out so far lack imagination, but hard disagree on the impact. LLMs have completely transformed multiple industries already. In SWE, I would estimate that junior positions shrank by 70-80%, but even that is less extreme than what is going on in other industries. In marketing, the entire low-end to mid-tier market is gone. Instead of having teams working on projects for small to m…

>LLMs have completely transformed multiple industries already.

If this was true we would see the results in productivity and unemployment stats. We don't though, so far the effect hasn't registered.

Re: The Anthropic Economic Index

#232

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I didn't mean the professional license, rather the ensemble of practices, tools, etc. It is practiced in safety critical domains.

I'm self-taught and had a job in the autonmous vehicle industry writing software that included safety-critical functionality. I had about 12 YoE at the time, and my manager didn't realize I didn't have a degree until after I was hired. Apparently it hadn't affected my offer, and he was more impressed than anything. You say: > SE is the set of techniques, practices, tools that we have collected over decades for produc…

this is a challenging point of view.. on one side, a "a job in the autonmous (sic) vehicle industry writing safety critical software" sounds like one of the most slave-ish jobs in the world. This person had a 100 other people checking every tiny result, plus automated testing frameworks and hundreds of pages of "guidelines" .. in other words, the least creative and most guard-checked software possible.

On the other hand, an open and level playing field does not exist in the thirty-some odd years of open markets software development. No one since Seymour Cray has done complete systems design, really.. it is turtles all the way down. You have to get hardware to run on, and the software environment is going to have been defined for that.. CPU architectures and programming languages. People who write whole systems generally do it in teams.

The arrogant and self-satisfied tone of the corporate worker-bee says that there is no such thing as real software engineering skills?

like defining "health" or other broad topics.. the closer the topic is examined, the more holes in the arguments. I am glad I never punched a time clock for Elon Musk, however, all things considered.

Re: The Anthropic Economic Index

#233

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm self-taught and had a job in the autonmous vehicle industry writing software that included safety-critical functionality. I had about 12 YoE at the time, and my manager didn't realize I didn't have a degree until after I was hired. Apparently it hadn't affected my offer, and he was more impressed than anything. You say: > SE is the set of techniques, practices, tools that we have collected over decades for produc…

this is a challenging point of view.. on one side, a "a job in the autonmous (sic) vehicle industry writing safety critical software" sounds like one of the most slave-ish jobs in the world. This person had a 100 other people checking every tiny result, plus automated testing frameworks and hundreds of pages of "guidelines" .. in other words, the least creative and most guard-checked software possible. On the other h…

You write too poorly to be this condescending.

Re: The Anthropic Economic Index

#234

Earlier quoted context omitted.

this is a challenging point of view.. on one side, a "a job in the autonmous (sic) vehicle industry writing safety critical software" sounds like one of the most slave-ish jobs in the world. This person had a 100 other people checking every tiny result, plus automated testing frameworks and hundreds of pages of "guidelines" .. in other words, the least creative and most guard-checked software possible. On the other h…

You write too poorly to be this condescending.

this is my real reaction to the post .. but conversation here could be more inquiring.. to find insight. My bad.. no happiness

Re: The Anthropic Economic Index

#235

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You write too poorly to be this condescending.

this is my real reaction to the post .. but conversation here could be more inquiring.. to find insight. My bad.. no happiness

Digesting your thoughts before vomiting out a reaction is allowed.

Re: The Anthropic Economic Index

#236
post #85

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Coffee for $5? That's a steal in this economy!

The coffee is made with the assistance of AI, which means some nonzero portion will be something other than coffee, but at least it means every sip is an adventure.

Isn't there an SCP where occasionally it spits out liquid magma or strange matter or something?

Re: The Anthropic Economic Index

#237

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But it ignores them equally throughout the year… It’s not an exact measure, but that doesn’t mean it’s not a useful metric. So long as the measurement is unbiased and captures enough of the traffic, it can still be useful. The troughs in that graph are all during prime US school/college vacation times: Summer, Winter, and Spring breaks. And then magnitude of the fall corresponds to how long the breaks typically are.…

Yeah but it's old. There was no dip in 2024, only a steady increase.

It seems like there was a dip in mid-May and that it didn't go back up until mid/late-August? That corresponds pretty closely to US summer breaks. Also a huge spike in early December followed up a huge drop, final exams and then winter break?

Re: The Anthropic Economic Index

#238

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah but it's old. There was no dip in 2024, only a steady increase.

It seems like there was a dip in mid-May and that it didn't go back up until mid/late-August? That corresponds pretty closely to US summer breaks. Also a huge spike in early December followed up a huge drop, final exams and then winter break?

I was going off visits to the site - https://www.similarweb.com/blog/insights/ai-news/chatgpt-top...
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