Earlier quoted context omitted.
If Kmart is on the list, Sears obviously should be as well.
For sure, these are just a sample of companies that failed to maneuver the tech disruption or economic shifts.
This time, it feels different
231–240 of 249 posts
Re: This time, it feels different
#232Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's probably accurate, and of course there are issues with socialized medicine as well. I have an interesting POV because I actually had my first relapse while I was living in Canada - I wasn't allowed to stay due to my disability but I have some experience with both systems. The waiting is definitely a problem - I didn't get into a neuro before I had to leave the country 9 months later, but at the same time I never…
Yeah, totally agree. The American system seems to have, despite its amazing innovations and advances, that we all benefit from sooner or later, the worst of both worlds: neither an efficient market-driven approach not a particularly socialised one either. And that's despite the US government spending more per head than I think any other country on healthcare. The ties between government, big pharma, insurance compani…
Add that to America disintegrating into a low-trust society where one almost has to assume that any stranger one meets is out to scam you/get your money somehow and it results in a country where it's terrible to be vulnerable. Which is one of the ways we grow as people, thus leading to emotional stunting amongst the populace, which in turn makes us less resilient and willing to act (particularly since we can't cooperate anymore) and therefore in my opinion sow the seeds of our own destruction.
Re: This time, it feels different
#233Geez people. Please learn to identify hypes, but most importantly the causes of hypes. LLM is fundamentally information processing technology. Not the path to AGI, not an emerging sentience. The reason "this time" feels so amazing is that the unwashed masses suddenly got access to new information processing technology in a context where their tools been stagnant for decades . Not because it was not possible, but beca…
I don't agree with this premise.
'This Time Is Different' because the LLMs have enabled AI to cross a material threshold.
The AGI hype is overdone, but AI promise, unlike just 3 years ago, will be fulfilled across a number of industries.
A lot of things are going to change.
Notably, I wonder if 'AI companies' will doing much of it, rather 'AI will be utilized'.
One thing is that 'help and instructions' are finally going to work for a broad array of applications.
Re: This time, it feels different
#234Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think that's moot: based on the universal approximation theorem [1], a big enough model is indistinguishable from the human brain, regardless of whether the mechanism of action is fundamentally the same or not. I believe this applies to anything that can somehow be modeled with a continuous function - whether that's possible for the human brain is an open question, though we only need a certain fidelity to be usefu…
This is not the unchallenged, consensus position, though. A competing position within cognitive science is that intelligence requires embodiment, perception, metacognition, curiosity, etc., and that these factors that allow for the emergence of intelligence are indispensable, more or less. See, e.g., https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/embodied-cognition/ I won't claim to know which is correct, or even if some other a…
Seriously. How does a bag of random particles have those things?
It cannot, by our own definition.
Hence the metaphysical problem of 'consciousness' as it relates to our variation of scientific materialism.
I suggest the pragmatic approach is along the lines of what the OP said aka 'sufficiently large neural net will be indistinguishable from human' and that's it. We will see things that we can de facto contemplate as 'curiosity' 'perception' 'meta-cognition' if we want to, especially if we start to develop a more meta understanding of these systems, or not, and that's it.
We'll probably be arguing about 'cognition' long, long after we have variation of AI that kind of seem to be AGI. By many measures we are already kind of there Chat GPT will fool humans probably most of the time and that's that.
Re: This time, it feels different
#235Earlier quoted context omitted.
lol, really? Me: Can books be fluorescent? GPT-4: While the term "fluorescent" is typically used to describe substances that can absorb light and then re-emit it, often at a different wavelength, there's no inherent reason why a book couldn't be made with fluorescent properties. This could be achieved by using fluorescent ink, dyes, or paints on the cover or the pages, or by incorporating fluorescent fibers into the…
This exactly illustrates the problem of ChatGPT. I asked the same question, phrased slightly differently, and it said no. It also not unlikely my question was used to train CHATGPT further.
Re: This time, it feels different
#236Earlier quoted context omitted.
We shouldn’t keep jobs around just to keep people employed. This kind of insane careerism is probably what’s responsible for the current climate of regulations that makes it difficult for many people to find new work and for companies to open more positions. Changing jobs is a good thing, you would think someone on HN would know that.
What are these better jobs that the grunts laid off at the call center will land on? They live paycheck to paycheck so anything handwavy is not going to pay for their food and shelter.
Re: This time, it feels different
#237> I have come across people who do programming, legal work, business, accountancy and finance, fashion design, architecture, graphic design, research, teaching, cooking, travel planning, event management etc., all of whom have started using the same tool, ChatGPT if I found out my lawyer/account/tax advisor/broker had fed my privileged information into ChatGPT I'd be reporting them to their regulator and they'd be st…
I work at big law. Law firms plan to purchase specialized closed LLMs. OpenAI's Harvey exactly aims this.
Re: This time, it feels different
#238Earlier quoted context omitted.
When someone compares LLMs to crypto you know they've lost the plot.
Tell you what, I'll go ahead and favorite this response and see what happens in about two years. By then I have a feeling I'll be vindicated and companies will have moved into the next Big Thing. Much like every other radical revolution that's been claimed in the past 10 years (Crypto, NFTs, Metaverse etc).
Consider that your BS barometer needs a good recalibration, I'll just leave it at that.
Re: This time, it feels different
#239Will current developments in generative AI eventually result in a social revolution in human affairs? Technology has played a role in similar transitions in the past. Mechanized agricultural production mosly eliminated the need for a large agricultural workforce for producing staple crops, a workforce that historically was organized and controlled via systems like serfdom and slavery, which were mostly eliminated as…
Please don’t post AI-generated comments on HN.