Earlier quoted context omitted.
Tangent: How did people hear about FTX? I've been interested in/holding crypto for a few years, and the big player was (and I assumed still is until recently) Coinbase, or Coinbase pro if you wanted better rates. There was bitcoin, Etherium, and some smaller coins like Bitcoin Cash, XRP, and Litecoin. I had a mix of coins, then rebased in ~2019 to a 50/50 Eth/Bitcoin split. As an alternative to Coinbase, you could us…
No, Coinbase is not the big player for actual crypto to crypto trading pairs. That’s Binance. FTX was #2 on that list. Coinbase is the USA’s #1 fiat on-ramp. Fiat on-ramps are a different category. You are an investor. The people using Binance and FTX are traders. Traders are looking for exotic pairs, more leverage, more derivatives, and lower fees. Whether or not Coinbase is even a tenable business long-term is actu…
Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
231–240 of 255 posts
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#232Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think you are assuming way too much here. She's not the queen of anything, she's a fraudster that will spend a long time in jail and that has probably much less understanding of the mechanisms involved than you give her credit for. If she did she wouldn't be in the position she's in. The last thing we really need is for people to start lionizing her.
That ship has long sailed. She's coming out of this with a slap on the wrist because she ratted on SBF. She's a hero of the alt right because her Tumblr is full of creepy eugenics shit. She has a pervo following for being a poly sex fiend (allegedly). She's going to write a book, sell her movie rights, etc. and live a life of luxury as the woman that took down SBF and FTX (who will be remembered as the real fraudster…
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#233Strange (re: The Guardian, not HN). By today's 24-hour news cycle standard, this is arguably "old news". These documents have been available for at least 24h. I know because I submitted them to HN yesterday. Ellison's Plea Agreement https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/r478tCuj... CTFC v SBF, Ellison and Wang Amended Complaint https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rRCRC2hQ... Wang's Plea…
Not particularly strange. There are whole web pages devoted to the "right time of day" to submit something to this site to catch the most early up votes.
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#234She’s the queen of wallstreetbets. I think she’ll hold the yolo record for a long time. I wish we knew what the fateful market play was that sunk her ship. She mentioned she’s not a fan of stop losses, so I wonder if she went to bed with an open market position and woke up to negative three billion. Also I wonder if the entity on the other side of that trade realized they were making someone insolvent. It’ll be inter…
I don't get it. How can anyone not like stop losses? Limited downside, unlimited upside. I only wish there was a way to set them client side in order to hide information from the exchanges.
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#235Earlier quoted context omitted.
I've never understood how stop losses are supposed to help. Traders read heaps of news, do God knows what technical analysis yet simple "moves bit too much in wrong direction" is supposed to be an acceptable exit strategy.
It's about recovery. A loss of 10 percent necessitates an 11 percent gain to recover. Increase that loss to 25 percent and it takes a 33 percent gain to get back to break-even. A 50 percent loss requires a 100 percent gain to recover and an 80 percent loss necessitates 500 percent in gains to get back to where the investment value started.
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#236Earlier quoted context omitted.
I've never understood how stop losses are supposed to help. Traders read heaps of news, do God knows what technical analysis yet simple "moves bit too much in wrong direction" is supposed to be an acceptable exit strategy.
You're missing the bit that "moves bit too much in wrong direction" is a strong signal that your analysis is fundamentally flawed. Maybe catastrophic news came out since you bought in.
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#237Earlier quoted context omitted.
It depends on how we're counting, but Musk is down over $100 billion in the last year: https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/07/business/elon-musk-wealth/ind...
Actually I was wrong, it was 70 billion, and it was 22 years ago: As of December 2022, Son ranks 67th on the Forbes list of The World's Billionaires 2022,[10] despite having the distinction of losing the most money in history (approximately $70bn during the dot com crash of 2000).[11] That’s $121b inflation adjusted
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#238Earlier quoted context omitted.
Tether wasn’t always that big though.
That's even better. Let's say it was a scam for the first 5 years. Total scam, they spent all the money on drugs. It would only take a year for the short-term low-yield US treasury interest on the rest of the assets to completely pay Tether back. That's only possible because Tether has been growing. It would take more than a decade of interest if it had merely doubled in size.
But what many believe is that tether received crypto from the big exchanges and put it in crypto stuff that yields more crypto, so the billions of circulating tether is not backed by billions of Treasury bills or Chinese real estate: they are for a significant part backed by various tokens which have probably gone to zero since.
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#239Earlier quoted context omitted.
Sure, and a helmet and bulletproof vest with trauma plates doesn’t stop you from getting killed by shot in the face. But the lack of complete protection is a pretty bad argument against using the available protection. (There's some things a stop-limit is better for than a regular stop loss, but I'm not convinced that they are generally superior except in the technical sense that any stop loss can be issued as a stop-…
Minor nit pick: some products, such as exchange-traded calendar spreads, have prices that can go negative and in fact don't have a lower limit on price. When I was writing trading systems, it was a big headache to modify a system original designed only for equities to handle other asset types, especially those that could have negative prices.
Even in 2020, some popular trading platforms failed to handle when oil futures went negative! Opportunity for the prepared, I suppose.
EDIT: Oh and saw your follow-up -- we used 0 to represent "market" which is clearly broken in this scenario. Works fine for positive-only prices though :)
Re: Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven offences
#240Earlier quoted context omitted.
No, Coinbase is not the big player for actual crypto to crypto trading pairs. That’s Binance. FTX was #2 on that list. Coinbase is the USA’s #1 fiat on-ramp. Fiat on-ramps are a different category. You are an investor. The people using Binance and FTX are traders. Traders are looking for exotic pairs, more leverage, more derivatives, and lower fees. Whether or not Coinbase is even a tenable business long-term is actu…
It doesn't look like they are being hindered.