Earlier quoted context omitted.
As soon as these robots are as maneuverable as people and even somewhat affordable for groups of hundreds to be made. We're DONE! The ultra rich and the Jeff Bezos of the world will buy them and return us to a world of Kings and Queens. Good luck trying to fight that.
Imagine being able to remote control a semi-autonomous humanoid robot on the moon, or on mars, on in the asteroid belt, or in LEO, with the same dexterity and adaptability as humans, or even insects, but without needing air or water or sleep. Artificial General Intelligence would not even be required for those. They could build giant cities hundreds of kilometers deep, industrial centers, operate mines and farms. All…
Atlas robot does parkour
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Re: Atlas robot does parkour
#232Would it be incorrect to say that the primary problems Boston Dynamics works on, which is planning and controls, is already mostly a solved problem? My understanding is that the majority of research was completed within the past few decades, in comparison to the relative nascency of modern deep learning techniques.
The foundations are understood, in a 'chemistry is just the Schrödinger equation' kind of way. Any amount of research and engineering is still needed to make machines which can move themselves effectively, be energy-efficient, and interact with the messy and unstructured wider world.
Re: Atlas robot does parkour
#233Earlier quoted context omitted.
whats also easily forgotten is just how many people are alive right now. the current estimate is that there have roughly been 105 billion birth since 50 000BC, with our current world population at almost 8 billion... about 8% of all humans that have ever lived are currently still alive.
What you're also forgetting is those huge numbers are often from countries where people probably do still watch their siblings die.
The misery is pretty localized in Africa and some places in the middle east, which is less then 20% of the population.
Life could be better in a lot of places, but it's incomparably better to life under the churches in the dark ages for example.
Re: Atlas robot does parkour
#234Re: Atlas robot does parkour
#235Re: Atlas robot does parkour
#236Earlier quoted context omitted.
The foundations are understood, in a 'chemistry is just the Schrödinger equation' kind of way. Any amount of research and engineering is still needed to make machines which can move themselves effectively, be energy-efficient, and interact with the messy and unstructured wider world.
How far off would you estimate a company like Boston Dynamics is from production then? (Say with existing levels of industrialization in the form of non-humanoid robots already commonly used as a benchmark/baseline)
Even once robots can do amazing things, there needs to be an economic use case that's compatible with what they can do, how they're powered, and how long they can work for.
Similar to quadcopters in a way - they have changed the world in some limited ways, but so far they haven't scaled up to carry people or out to deliver parcels, so they remain niche. If someone figures out one day that robots can deliver burritos/assassinate dissidents/stack shelves efficiently, it could be a quick takeoff.
Re: Atlas robot does parkour
#237What can I do to defend myself against killer robots? Seriously, is there something simple that I can put in my glovebox of my car to use in case these robots start getting scary? Is there a simple household good that will work well against these, until they start explicitly shielding against stuff?
Re: Atlas robot does parkour
#238What can I do to defend myself against killer robots? Seriously, is there something simple that I can put in my glovebox of my car to use in case these robots start getting scary? Is there a simple household good that will work well against these, until they start explicitly shielding against stuff?
Re: Atlas robot does parkour
#239Earlier quoted context omitted.
Dystopia started when we invented farming 10 000 years ago.
Yuval is that you? I have some sympathy for this view, but there's also the fact that at this point we've basically solved hunger from a societal point of view. Deprivation of calories from a population now happens because of war or intentional. At the current time we no longer are at the whim of natural causes of hunger.
So, I would agree with OP in that it started with invention of agriculture, in a sense that that gave rise to rigidly hierarchical societies, and centralized states that could extract surplus from their citizens and spend it on warfare and other forms of oppression. But we didn't have to take that route, and it doesn't mean that agriculture per se is bad.
Re: Atlas robot does parkour
#240Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think it's rare, at least in the US, to find people who are aware of how fucked up capitalism is. Or have ever given any real thought to how ethical it is. But its atrocities are all around us in plain sight, every time someone dies from lack of healthcare, food, or shelter - or crimes and accidents that happen in the course of pursuing these essentials. To live in a world perfectly capable (in a purely physical an…
We've seen multiple attempts at non-capitalist systems, and they have an abysmal track record. Living standards are way higher today than a century ago. You are comparing against a non-existent Utopia.
OTOH how many people are aware of Rojava or the Zapatistas, and their track record?