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Billions in 'unknown' funds flowing into Canada's housing market [video]

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231–240 of 395 posts

Re: Billions in 'unknown' funds flowing into Canada's housing market [video]

#231
post #131

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Overseas buyers just get permanent residency and citizenship and buy houses. A few years ago you just needed ~$NZ5m invested in the country and you get permanent residency. There is no way the prices are driven by domestic money. My factory supervisor brother has a house in Mangere Bridge, a blue-collar suburb, built for ~$100k 20 years ago is now well over $1m. It is batshit crazy. I hear of eye-watering prices in M…

> There is no way the prices are driven by domestic money. How can you be so sure? With the way mortgages work, and the way people who bought starter homes ~10 years ago are more than capable of affording a downpayment on a bigger home, you don't actually need a large amount of domestic money for housing prices to be bid up into the stratosphere.

Where I live there are empty houses. Very few locals can buy $1m+ homes and be so lazy to even bother renting them out. I looked up ownership of some I noticed empty for a long long time and the owners appear to be a string of shell companies.

Re: Billions in 'unknown' funds flowing into Canada's housing market [video]

#232
post #158

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is no space for that without radical rezoning and densification. The alternative is every city turning into massive urban sprawl which is entirely undesirable. If you are suggesting forcing private investors to make their properties available to public housing stock then I’m not sure why that would be an improvement without serious rent caps in place.

A colleague told me about the setup in their home country some weeks ago, I _think_ that was the Dutch one, excuse my fuzzy memory... Once your €1500 tenant leaves, you have 3 or 6 months to find the next one. If not, the city will offer your place in parallel as social housing and you'll get €400 (flat rate for the whole municipality per size band) if that gets filled first. On a three year contract. Makes for a ver…

That's totally nuts and it's not the Dutch system.

Re: Billions in 'unknown' funds flowing into Canada's housing market [video]

#233
post #222

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Interest rates have steadily fallen for about 40 years. So the 2x income idea is badly outdated as it assume interest rates around 15%. When you consider inflation and interest rate decreases, owning a home today is essentially the same as it was 40 years ago in most markets. There are some outliers but overall the inflation adjusted monthly payment isn’t that different. It’s just that a bigger part of that payment i…

>>So the 2x income idea is badly outdated as it assume interest rates around 15%. I 100% disagree, what is badly outdated is the idea that someone can actually afford 2x income home at 15% interest. Doing that would mean likely the inability to have an emergency fund, or save for retirement. The metrics banks use today to determine "affordability" put people in terrible situations. the focus is on the monthly payment…

I mainly agree with your feelings but it is how it is. People look at what they can “afford” per month and bid houses up to that point. Many people don’t consider what they’ll have left to save/invest, etc and they stretch themselves to be the one who gets the house.

I don’t think this is a recent phenomenon though. I’ve heard stories from my parents from 40 years ago and it’s similar. One that sticks out is when rates fell to 12% they were assured they’d never see rates like that again - time to lock in. And of course the banker was right as rates just slowly made their way down over the following 30 years.

So anyone that says “rates can’t stay this low” are just joining the chorus from way back when.

Re: Billions in 'unknown' funds flowing into Canada's housing market [video]

#234

This[1] video by ColdFusion talks about a similar problem in the US in which Housing market is now being seen as the next big bet by the Wall Street Firms. In this scheme, a common man will not be able to buy/own any house but they can only rent it. It will be very similar to SaaS model in which Houses will be provided as a service. 1 - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gu4tC3px6mc

Black Rock

Re: Billions in 'unknown' funds flowing into Canada's housing market [video]

#235
post #73

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This. China has no safe place for people to save the money that they have made, by whatever means. Anywhere you put it in there, it can go away in an instant if the government wants to take it away from you. We don't understand this in the west, but whatever you have, in some countries, is fair game for people with friends in high places. It's not just China, but Russia and many other countries are like this. If you…

There are severe and onerous asset forfeiture laws in many Western countries, not to mention the catch-all magic phrase of "eminent domain". If any government anywhere wants something from you, it will take it. You will not be able to outlast via the courts or whatever legal means you think are available, rather you'll likely burn all your available finances fighting it.

False comparison.

Eminent domain requires compensation.

In some of these countries your asset will be take from you and you have no remedies.

Re: Billions in 'unknown' funds flowing into Canada's housing market [video]

#236
post #219

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Intersting. In where I live (Singapore), it's very common for young married people to get a loan/etc from their parents to cover the down payment (~25%) for a 20-30 year mortgage. Also, rent here is so expensive that most Singaporeans still stay with their parents even in their late 20s~30s. (Most people renting a room or apartment are none-Singaporeans (30% of the population).) So buying a house makes perfect econom…

Singapore incentivizes home ownership through HBDs to such an extent people think you’re nuts if you don’t buy one. Heavily subsidized units (think $500k for something that would sell privately for $800k-$1M). Constrained supply so prices keep climbing (quite intentional by the govt). 5 year MOP means you can rent it out for a 3-5% yield then buy a private condo. Housing is basically a govt supported investment progr…

I was talking mostly about none-HDB properties like condominiums and landed though. (The cheapest starts at ~$700k.)

HDB certainly helps to lower the barrier to entry in home ownership. But I don't think most forms of HDB purchases are investment-orientated. ROI for second-hand HDB is not high and buying a good first-hand one is like winning a lucky draw.

I would say HDB is more of the gov's mean to stabilize the housing market and it functions as more like the backbone of the economy. (Or you end up with runaway prices like in Hong Kong.)

Re: Billions in 'unknown' funds flowing into Canada's housing market [video]

#237

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't know anything about the situation over there but did they really ban it? For example this bloomberg report talks about foreign ownership via holding companies. So are foreigners not able to hold stakes in NZ companies or are NZ companies not able to hold realestate (doubtful?).

Yeah all you need now is an IRD number, a NZ bank account or a corporation. All 3 you can setup without setting foot in the country. To those that say that's not possible, it very much is. There's little checks and balances, and COVID's made it even easier. It's lip service and the government does nothing to help track it. The most investigative journalism that's gone into it was a few years where people tried to loo…

Not only that but it is easy to have people who front the purchases on behalf of foreigners. Only have to look at some of the recent OIO cases and news to see that this is exactly what is happening. Govt is a decade behind the ball and not sure they'll ever want to fix it (no matter who you vote for).

Re: Billions in 'unknown' funds flowing into Canada's housing market [video]

#238
post #3

Should housing be a primary vehicle for investment and the de facto way of making money? Or should it serve as a necessity and basic aspect of life?

It is not possible for housing to simultaneously be affordable and a good investment.

Given it's a basic human right, I feel we shouldn't allow housing to be an investment.

Re: Billions in 'unknown' funds flowing into Canada's housing market [video]

#239
post #3

Should housing be a primary vehicle for investment and the de facto way of making money? Or should it serve as a necessity and basic aspect of life?

I'm disgusted by the whole real estate market, people buying dozens of apartments and houses just to rent them - and hence increasing prices for people who just want something on their own instead of making rich people richer - is destructive for society, especially for young people. Owning a roof over your head shouldn't require an average person to work their ass for half of their lives.

Most financial gurus preach real estate as a way to get rich. They don't care about the next generation, fuck them. I have a colleague who earns in dollars, but he buys real estate in his home country (India). He'd buy a few apartments in a building right when a new project is announced. By the time the project is completed (2-3 years usually) the apartment value has already gone up by 10-15% minimum, sometimes more. He'd sell it and move on to the next project. The closest he has ever been to these apartments is the 15-30 mins he spends looking at the brochure. If you have the cash, this is the easiest and safest way to grow your wealth.

It was disgusting to see. I asked him if this doesn't bother him (he was already wealthy, he didn't need this extra money) and he looked at me as if I had two horns. Most of the projects he was buying and selling, was outside the range of almost the entire local population, except the rich. It was a fun game for him.

I know it is an unpopular opinion around here, but rentiers are a cancer. Housing should be a basic right. Rich people can buy and play in the art market (or super yachts or whatever) for bajillion dollars for all I care, but not basic necessities like land, water etc.

Re: Billions in 'unknown' funds flowing into Canada's housing market [video]

#240

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>It is crazy what happens in cities like Berlin in regard to gentrification Can you elaborate on this?

Sure. In the case of Berlin inner city districts like Kreuzberg, Prenzlauer Berg et cetera have been rapidly changing in the last 10 to 20 years. This is in part because population is dying off/moving away, but also because developers are buying apartments and are actively removing the old inhabitants in order to be able to charge higher rents. There are laws in Germany that regulate the increase in rental payments.…

How does the regulation work for properties after major renovations? Can the rent be increased significantly if it becomes more luxurious? What about when the landlord or close family want to move in, and then after a few years moves on?
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