That was a very good write-up. Quite fair, and Kool-Aid-free. It is a pretty good synopsis of the issues faced by open-source developers, these days. Much like The September That Never Ended was probably the best thing that ever happened to the Internet, but was really tough on the folks already there, the adoption of open-source systems by commercial entities is making open-source "sexy." Open-source developers (of…
If you look at the bell curve on that page, its integral is the technology penetration, that is a sigmoid: start slowly (initial period), accelerate (eternal september) for a while, and start to decrease the penetration speed. At some point, enough people will likely have knowledge about the technology that new entrants will take much less time for those already in to bring up.
You can argue that those that enter the field now are adopting GAFAM rather than OSS alternatives, but I think that as long as you have the "eternal september" feeling, it means that a lot of people are jumping in, and will in turn help the upbringing of others later in the cycle.
Hopefully FOSS culture and knowledge will become endemic in companies at some point; that's all I'm saying. But it's hard, at any point of the curve, to predict where we are in that cycle, and when it will end.
I'd be curious to see some data on say, the number of Facebook users. I'm pretty sure it can be seen as a sigmoid.