Earlier quoted context omitted.
What's bad about it is that it leads to a "market for lemons" for anyone working in the A.I. field in either engineering or sales. People see so much bullshit that they come to the conclusion that it is all bullshit.
I think this is good. In a world that moves too quick to have review/ratings companies for everything, you should come in skeptical and be proven wrong. Its up to the merchant to make a great product, its up to you to compare and make good decisions.
IBM is not doing "cognitive computing" with Watson (2016)
231–240 of 452 posts
Re: IBM is not doing "cognitive computing" with Watson (2016)
#232The problem is not only context or subtext, it is even worse from an entirely predictable standpoint:
Consider a large corpus of text (books, articles, ...).
1) Concepts that are WELL UNDERSTOOD BY HUMANS will not be explained by humans when they reference them: the word or concept "pet" (as a verb) will show up in many sentences refering to the petting of cats, dogs, horses,... and ML will correctly predict the conjunction of "pet" with any of these words in the sentence. It will even be able to train ML to confabulate realistic sentences in the sense of echolalia. Consider then the sentence:
"The lady pets the cat"
The computer will recognize that the presence of cat is not surprising (bingo!). The computer will have no idea that this probably involves one or more cycles of the lady's hand gently pressing down on the fur belonging to the cat, then while still preessing down, moving the hand in the 'natural direction of the hairs' (NOT the other way around) probably from closer to the head towards the tail, and probably lifting the hand before repeating the cycle so as to massage the cat or perhaps so as to remind the cat of its time as a kitten being licked by the mother cat.
No book or conversation in the corpus will give this detailed description exactly because humans expect each other to understand this.
2) Concepts that are POORLY UNDERSTOOD BY HUMANS will be vigorously (but often erroneously) explained by humans communicating to each other what they think is going on: endless texts about religion, sexuality, perpetuum mobiles, economy, ...
How do we even expect the computer to produce a sane result, even if it correctly guesses the context?
That said, I do believe relatively helpful natural language processors to be possible, but they will have to be vigorously trained by multiple human curators individually analyzing a sentence and trying to find (probably true) statements about what a sentence implies:
Starting again with:
"The lady pets the cat"
One curator might mention hands touching fur while moving.
Another curator might add that one can also conclude the hand probably presses down on the fur.
Yet another notes the sentence also implies the lady is still alive, for else she would not be able to pet.
The first curator now adds that the cat as well is probably alive, for else the lady would probably not want to pet the cat, since massaging is useless to a dead cat.
The third curator now mentions that the sentence implies one or more cycles of an individual pet stroke.
Etc...
As you can see this quickly becomes an expensive operation.
Now one might train an adversarial neural network to look at a sentence (or sentence with context) and a list of probable conclusions, to predict if the list of valid conclusions is complete or incomplete. And then only send the incomplete ones to humans?
Re: IBM is not doing "cognitive computing" with Watson (2016)
#233Earlier quoted context omitted.
Am I extreme in feeling someone should go to jail for that? It was bad enough when they were originally advertising it, but now that they're defending it even after people died...ugh. https://www.theverge.com/2018/3/28/17172178/tesla-model-x-cr...
While I don't necessarily agree with how they've advertised it I think they are legally safe. All Model 3's DO have the HARDWARE to support full-self driving, even if the software is not there. And regarding the software, it has been shown to be about 40% safer than humans where it is used, which is what they've claimed.
Please provide evidence.
Given that the only full-self driving system out there is Waymo's, which uses completely different hardware than Tesla's, it is impossible to back your claim, unless you develop a fully-self-driving system on top of Tesla's hardware.
So until that is done, your claim is false, no matter how many caps you use.
Re: IBM is not doing "cognitive computing" with Watson (2016)
#234One thing about Watson that I remember is this presentation by a very senior guy. He had just come back from the US and was presenting what he learned there about Watson Healthcare (IIRC, that's what it was called), which I assumed was a division of the Watson team that was focused on cancer and stuff like that.
I'm paraphrasing, but during the presentation he said something like: "The project was not originally called Watson Healthcare, it was called X (I can't remember exactly), but potential customers were like 'No, no, leave X, we want Watson', so we had to change the name to Watson Healthcare for the sake of our customers. Watson Healthcare actually doesn't have anything to do with Watson."
I couldn't believe, at the time, how much respect I lost for IBM in about 20s. First of all, he thought we're idiots. You have to be brain dead in order to believe that he renamed X to Watson Healthcare in order to help customers. They just wanted to ride the hype train of the Watson brand and were lying to everybody about it.
Re: IBM is not doing "cognitive computing" with Watson (2016)
#235The author's particular gripe is that the Watson advertisements showing someone sitting down and talking to "Watson." They bother me as well (and did so when I was working at IBM in the Watson group) because they portray a capability that nothing in IBM can provide. Nobody can provide it (again to the author's point) because dialog systems (those which interact with a user through conversational speech) don't exist o…
> Unfortunately many, many people think that talking to your computer in actually already possible, they just haven't experienced it yet. Given how often another person can't correctly infer meaning when people talk, I doubt it will ever be how people imagine it. Initially, I imagine it will be a lot of people trying to talk normally and a lot of AI responses asking how your poorly worded worded request should be car…
What was interesting is that it was clear that search engines have trained a lot of people to speak 'search engine' rather than stick with English. Instead of "When is Pizza hut open?" you would see a query "Pizza Hut hours". That works for a search engine because you have presented it with a series of non stopword terms in priority order.
It reminded me of the constraint based naming papers that came out of MIT in the late 80's / early 90's. It also suggested to me ways to take dictated speech and reformat it into a search engine query. There is probably a couple of good academic papers in that data somewhere.
That experience suggests to me that what you are proposing (a pidgin type language for AI) is a very likely possibility.
One of the bits that Jimmy Fallon does on the Tonight Show is an interviewer who asks people a question but uses nonsense words that sound "right" in the question. The most recent example was changing the question
"Do you think you will see Avengers: Infinity War"
With things like "Do you think you will see Avengers something I swear." Similar sounds and people have already jumped to the question with enough context that they always answer as if he had said "Infinity War." How will conversational systems deal with that, I have no idea.
Re: IBM is not doing "cognitive computing" with Watson (2016)
#236Earlier quoted context omitted.
Am I extreme in feeling someone should go to jail for that? It was bad enough when they were originally advertising it, but now that they're defending it even after people died...ugh. https://www.theverge.com/2018/3/28/17172178/tesla-model-x-cr...
While I don't necessarily agree with how they've advertised it I think they are legally safe. All Model 3's DO have the HARDWARE to support full-self driving, even if the software is not there. And regarding the software, it has been shown to be about 40% safer than humans where it is used, which is what they've claimed.
This couldn't be further from the truth as automated vehicles still suffer from edge cases (remember the lethal accident involving a concrete pillar) where humans can easily make better decisions.
A system that is advertised as superior to human judgement ought to strictly improve on human performance. Nobody expects that to mean that the car drives perfect 95% of the time but accidentally kills you in a weird situation. This 'idiot savant' characteristic of ML algorithms is what makes them still dangerous in day-to-day situations.
Re: IBM is not doing "cognitive computing" with Watson (2016)
#237Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's deliberately deceptive, and I'm real tired of tech people tripping over each other to defend it. Technically correct? Sure. But deliberately phrased to obscure the fact that this is a hypothetical future capability that the product does not possess today. And please spare me your "well actually, the showroom attendants will clarify exactly what it means" -- they are framing this in a misleading way to generate p…
It's exceedingly clear to me that they're talking about hardware that can support future capabilities -- additional features via software upgrades is something they talk about a lot. And they're very explicit about what their Autopilot system does and doesn't do on their site. There's basically no situation in which someone is buying a $70,000+ car without knowing how the Autopilot works. It's really not that decepti…
I'd say that if they're claiming to be able to deliver full self-driving autonomy to existing cars via purely a SOFTWARE upgrade, then that's pretty deceptive, since I am pretty sure not even Tesla knows exactly what hardware might be required for such capability. They'll know when they build it, but not before.
Re: IBM is not doing "cognitive computing" with Watson (2016)
#238Earlier quoted context omitted.
Not sure what you are using, but speech recognition is amazing on my android device and has been for years. I rarely ever type anything into my phone anymore. It's a usability gamechanger.
> Not sure what you are using, but speech recognition is amazing on my android device and has been for years. Let me guess: white male native English speaker? Your Android device was built by you and trained for you specifically.
Re: IBM is not doing "cognitive computing" with Watson (2016)
#239What is the point of changing the headline of an article like this? The headline was an accurate summary of the contents ("THE FRAUDULENT CLAIMS MADE BY IBM ABOUT WATSON AND AI"). Maybe you agree, maybe you don't. But the current headline is just wrong. From the article: > I will say it clearly: Watson is a fraud. I am not saying that it can’t crunch words, and there may well be value in that to some people. But the…
"Please use the original title, unless it is misleading or linkbait."
The original headline is a bit sensational/clickbaity. That's a judgment call in this case, IMO, but I suspect that's why the title was changed.
Re: IBM is not doing "cognitive computing" with Watson (2016)
#240IBM is allowed some creative liberties in their mass-media advertising campaigns.