Apple's accidental moat: How the "AI Loser" may end up winning

Post by acidtechno303 » Mon, Apr 13, 2026, 11:20 AM UTC

mewpmewp2 wrote: post #191

Philip-J-Fry wrote: post #186

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think the difference is that with LLMs, in a lot of cases you do see some diminishing returns. I won't deny that the latest Claude models are fantastic at just one shotting loads of problems. But we have an internal proxy to a load of models running on Vertex AI and I accidentally started using Opus/Sonnet 4 instead of 4.6. I genuinely didn't know until I checked my configuration. AI models will get to this point w…

I mean to me even difference between Opus and Sonnet is as clear as day and night, and even Opus and the best GPT model. Opus 4.6 just seems much more reliable in terms of me asking it to do something, and that to actually happen.

Post by random2021 » Mon, Apr 13, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC

gorgmah wrote: post #141

amazingamazing wrote: post #22

Gemma4 in my view is good enough to do things similar to Gemini 2.5 flash, meaning if I point it code and ask for help and there is a problem with the code it’ll answer correctly in terms of suggestions but it’s not great at using all tools or one shooting things that require a lot of context or “expert knowledge” If a couple more iterations of this, say gemma6 is as good as current opus and runs completely locally o…

When that happens, you'll have fomo from not using opus 5.x. The numbers that they showed for Mythos show that the frontier is still steadily moving (and maybe even at a faster pace than before)

Post by avianlyric » Mon, Apr 13, 2026, 11:34 AM UTC

smt88 wrote: post #219

tokioyoyo wrote: post #77

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, that just doesn't pass the simplest sniff tests. I barely use iMessage, and yet I'm an iPhone user. Basically everyone around me is the same.

> Yeah, that just doesn't pass the simplest sniff tests. I barely use iMessage, and yet I'm an iPhone user. A single anecdote isn't data. You're not a typical consumer. The only major market where iPhone outsells Android (number of handsets) is the US, and it's because of iMessage. Android is 70% of the world market and dominates LatAm, Africa, and Asia.

Post by 72deluxe » Mon, Apr 13, 2026, 11:43 AM UTC

linguae wrote: post #44

livinglist wrote: post #10

But why do I feel like the quality of the software from Apple declined sharply in recent years? The liquid glass design feels very unpolished and not well thought out throughout almost everywhere… seems like even Apple can’t resist falling victim to AI slop

I don’t think it’s AI slop. Even before modern generative AI, I’ve noticed a decline in Apple’s software quality. Rather, I feel that Apple has forgotten its roots. The Mac was “the computer for the rest of us,” and there were usability guidelines backed by research. What made the Mac stand out against Windows during a time when Windows had 95%+ marketshare was the Mac’s ease of use. The Mac really stood out in the 2…

Post by grtteee » Mon, Apr 13, 2026, 12:02 PM UTC

nl wrote: post #20

skybrian wrote: post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How do you know Gemini is losing money on inference?

> How do you know Gemini is losing money on inference? It's not. People make this claim with zero evidence. But Google made around $20B profit on Google search in 2025 Q4, and that includes AI search.