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Toyota has stepped up lobbying to preserve its investments in hybrids, hydrogen

arstechnica.com

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Re: Toyota has stepped up lobbying to preserve its investments in hybrids, hydrogen

#221
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Hydrogen for cars was an obvious boondoggle for a decade or more. There's making guesses and then there's ignoring obvious trends. Toyota did the latter. Edit: And to prove that I thought it was obvious a decade ago, here's my opinion from a decade ago: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3070004

I'm not sold that this has been established yet: technology moves in mysterious ways. For example EVs don't have an answer to long distance transportation yet (it should be trains, that are easily automated, but I'm not god emperor). You could imagine a future where greening that industry necessitates a storable, pumpable fuel and suddenly hydrogen infrastructure is a thing that personal vehicles could be built again…

Even in the cases where it absolutely makes sense to distance/time shift some of the grid's output to hydrogen to ship it physically somewhere (such as a festival in the woods, perhaps, that today would rely on diesel generators for power), it's still going to be way more efficient to use a bank of larger than would fit in a car fuel cells in a shipping container creating a "mini-grid" of electricity that things like battery electric cars and other appliances could plug into than to have cars carry around fuel cells "just in case" of events like that.

Re: Toyota has stepped up lobbying to preserve its investments in hybrids, hydrogen

#222

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So you’re ok with Toyota spreading FUD as long as it’s legal. Got it. As for Tesla’s government money, ev credits are available to all manufacturers, it’s not Tesla’s fault others can’t make compelling electric vehicles. All other government loans have been paid back in full. Maybe you should read more than just headlines

is it FUD though? were do you draw the line between legal and illegal. right or wrong? I think it’s absolutely expected for Toyota to attempt to protect their financial interests.

It’s legal for them to do so, I just think they’re bad people for doing it.

Attempting to slow down the de-carbonization of our transit because your company bet wrong is just evil, no way around it.

Re: Toyota has stepped up lobbying to preserve its investments in hybrids, hydrogen

#223

Earlier quoted context omitted.

3 major problems none of the EV evangelists are addressing about with EVs are 1. What happens to all the giant lithium batteries on these vehicles after they reach end of life? 2. How will people be able to evacuate a city or state in an emergency situation when charging/electric supply is not present (which is always likely to happen)? 3. Coal burning infrastructure is still inextricably involved in generating the p…

For #2, I'm not so sure the situation is strictly worse than with gas. I lived in NYC during Hurricane Sandy, and it took many days for gasoline to become available (a few weeks, IIRC). Electricity was plentiful, though.

Did you evacuate? Where to?

Re: Toyota has stepped up lobbying to preserve its investments in hybrids, hydrogen

#224
post #21

The FUD accusations seem a bit hasty here. The linked Senate hearing doesn't seem to contain negative things about BEVs (it only criticizes the "narrow focus" on them), but instead opts for including hybrid and hydrogen, with the argument being that "recent data shows that plug-in hybrids can achieve nearly the same or better GHG reductions than BEVs depending on your daily driving patterns, the carbon in the electri…

The latest ICCT report shows that in the european market fossil car are around 250gCO2eq/km in life cycle analysis, hybrid at 180 and EV at 80, so it seems quite wrong.

https://theicct.org/publications/global-LCA-passenger-cars-j...

Re: Toyota has stepped up lobbying to preserve its investments in hybrids, hydrogen

#225
post #121

Earlier quoted context omitted.

1. They will be recycled. 2. Never heard this one, what kind of apocalypse are you foreseeing ? 3. Centralised generation is easier to mitigate, and later replace with clean generation.

For #2, I think it might be valid for areas which experience hurricanes or other natural disasters. Though, couldn't you charge your car with a gas generator in an emergency if you really needed to?

Good point! You could carry the gas generator with you when you leave. Maybe some EVs would let you plug in while driving! You'd just have to redirect the generator exhaust out the back via some sort tail-pipe...

Re: Toyota has stepped up lobbying to preserve its investments in hybrids, hydrogen

#226

Production of batteries is the constraint ... previously, currently, and in foreseeable future ( Further, given this capacity, the numbers work out such that we are, on the macro level, DRASTICALLY more fuel efficient and environmentally friendly by putting more hybrids and Plug-in Hybrids (which have fewer batteries) on the road than we are by reserving said batteries for fewer pure EVs. 2.5 Priuses are better than…

The latest ICCT report shows that in the european market fossil car are around 250gCO2eq/km in life cycle analysis, hybrid at 180 and EV at 80, so I don't agree at all that more hydrid are better than less EV, and even it seems quite a wrong reasoning, more EV will bring more money to lithium mining just look at Rio Tinto entering the lithium carbonate market with a 2.4B$ investing.

https://theicct.org/publications/global-LCA-passenger-cars-j...

Re: Toyota has stepped up lobbying to preserve its investments in hybrids, hydrogen

#227

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I feel like at least some of this depends on whether the ICE in a hybrid is coupled directly to the wheels or not. I believe in all current consumer vehicles it is, but there are other applications like hybrid trains and city buses where the engine is just running a generator at a constant RPM. Surely that kind of configuration would be the absolute best case scenario for ICE efficiency, and probably even for overall…

In a Chevy Volt, there’s a mechanism that mechanically attaches the motor to the wheels at speed above 35 mph for greater efficiency but below that it is a pure serial hybrid, disconnected from the wheel directly. But it rarely ever runs the engine. Pretty much only if you run out of charge.

Ah, spiffy— that's neat to know that it can switch modes like that. Looks like this has been a matter of evolution over time, too:

https://www.greencarreports.com/news/1096942_2016-chevrolet-...

I guess if you were only connected at higher speeds, that would also greatly simplify the transmission story, since you probably no longer need 1-3.

Re: Toyota has stepped up lobbying to preserve its investments in hybrids, hydrogen

#228
post #211

Toyota should pull an Intel, and become the TSMC of automobiles. I've waggishly said I'd buy a Tesla made by Toyota. Surely there are other EV efforts that would benefit from Toyota's manufacturing prowess and capacity. -- Solid hydrogen fuels will be the next wave. Specifically non-gaseous, before anyone has a spaz attack. We know! Storage, transportation, distribution of H2 is not practical. Plasma Kinetics' has a…

> Surely there are other EV efforts that would benefit from Toyota's manufacturing prowess and capacity. They are not actually that exceptional anymore. At best they are marginally better. Tesla new architecture of structural cells in a pack connected to massive castings is far better then Toyota EV have. > Solid hydrogen fuels will be the next wave. I really don't think that will be the cast. > Imagine we hit "peak"…

I agree with you that betting against lithium is dumb. The ceiling is probably a lot higher yet.

I forget the rationale for why Toyota (and by extension Japan) bet on hydrogen. Probably something to do with access to resources. Constraints that apply to many economies.

We simply have to get off fossil fuels. Zero carbon will involve hydrogen. Maybe not personal transportation. But definitely agriculture. And maybe manufacturing, heavy transportation.

At some point we'll have excess electricity. Using that to produce methane (carbon capture) and ammonia (replace fossil fuels) has to happen. Then we'll have abundant cheap hydrogen.

Maybe not solid hydrogen fuel cells. Maybe ammonia is practical enough. Optimistic me knows someone(s) will do something useful.

Re: Toyota has stepped up lobbying to preserve its investments in hybrids, hydrogen

#229

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In a Chevy Volt, there’s a mechanism that mechanically attaches the motor to the wheels at speed above 35 mph for greater efficiency but below that it is a pure serial hybrid, disconnected from the wheel directly. But it rarely ever runs the engine. Pretty much only if you run out of charge.

Ah, spiffy— that's neat to know that it can switch modes like that. Looks like this has been a matter of evolution over time, too: https://www.greencarreports.com/news/1096942_2016-chevrolet-... I guess if you were only connected at higher speeds, that would also greatly simplify the transmission story, since you probably no longer need 1-3.

The Chevy Volt actually uses a continuously variable transmission for that. Makes it sound really weird as there’s not a direct correlation between the sound of the motor and the speed you’re driving.

Re: Toyota has stepped up lobbying to preserve its investments in hybrids, hydrogen

#230

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I down-voted your comment because of your superiority complex, the terms like communism are too generic and the reality is that most communist countries were "kicked" in the balls by the capitalist. I seen a comment by a "intelligent dude" like you, in his intelligence he compared North and South Korea, ignored that sanctions for the North and the tons of money US dropped on south and he got the conclusion he wanted.…

There is plenty of good data. 40 counties make up around 20 independent failures out of as many attempts at implementing communism. > I seen a comment by a "intelligent dude" like you, in his intelligence he compared North and South Korea, ignored that sanctions for the North and the tons of money US dropped on south and he got the conclusion he wanted. Don't even get me started on the story of the two Koreas. Everyt…

If you can explain how comparing North and South Korea is fair I would be impressed , previous dudes seemed to have no idea about history or their mind was missing the logic skill, maybe you can do a semi decent attempt.

Btw China is a big economy and many of HNers tell me that their are communists and the party dictates everything etc, so you need some other skillful argument to attribute all the good in China to US and capitalism and of-course blame all the bad on communism.

Also I personally believe that most of us understand by communism is not superior to the systems we see in Western Europe, my objection was to your bad argument that there are good clean data where you can extract clear conclusions.

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