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Self-Driving Cars Must Meet 15 Benchmarks in U.S. Guidance

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Re: Self-Driving Cars Must Meet 15 Benchmarks in U.S. Guidance

#221
post #219

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why was this not widely reported?

Last I heard, nobody has been able to verify if the car was actually in autopilot mode. However, the emergency braking also clearly failed, if the police report that no attempt to stop was made is true.

In regard to safety its equally important to report doubtful cases as they may be a sign of something occuring.

Re: Self-Driving Cars Must Meet 15 Benchmarks in U.S. Guidance

#222
post #181

Brad Templeton, who's been working on self-driving cars for a few years now, analyzed this in http://ideas.4brad.com/critique-nhtsas-newly-released-recomm... . He says, "Broadly, this is very much the wrong direction... the progress of robocar development in the USA may be seriously negatively affected." This is a big deal.

> I have written that having 50 sets of rules may not be that bad an idea because jurisdictional competition can allow legal innovation and having software load new parameters as you drive over a border is not that hard.

I'm not sure I would put much weight behind what he has to say.

Re: Self-Driving Cars Must Meet 15 Benchmarks in U.S. Guidance

#223

From the regulations: "Fall back strategies should take into account that—despite laws and regulations to the contrary—human drivers may be inattentive, under the influence of alcohol or other substances, drowsy, or physically impaired in some other manner." NHTSA, which, after all, studies crashes, is being very realistic. Here's the "we're looking at you, Tesla" moment: "Guidance for Lower Levels of Automated Vehic…

The idea that Google is anywhere near level 3 is merely some incredibly good marketing, and a fat pile of deception. Google has an impressive tech demo, not a product nor a reliable technology.

Nobody is above level 2.

Google's self driving system only basically works with the route preplanned and premapped ahead of time, specifically for that car. Even small changes in the environment are potentially devastating. And even mundane weather changes it isn't prepared to handle.

It should be well understood that if the only people who can safely handle the vehicle are professional test drivers on a preplanned route, the car isn't ready to say its at the level it claims it is.

Re: Self-Driving Cars Must Meet 15 Benchmarks in U.S. Guidance

#224

From the regulations: "Fall back strategies should take into account that—despite laws and regulations to the contrary—human drivers may be inattentive, under the influence of alcohol or other substances, drowsy, or physically impaired in some other manner." NHTSA, which, after all, studies crashes, is being very realistic. Here's the "we're looking at you, Tesla" moment: "Guidance for Lower Levels of Automated Vehic…

The idea that Google is anywhere near level 3 is merely some incredibly good marketing, and a fat pile of deception. Google has an impressive tech demo, not a product nor a reliable technology. Nobody is above level 2. Google's self driving system only basically works with the route preplanned and premapped ahead of time, specifically for that car. Even small changes in the environment are potentially devastating. An…

Can you back that up?

Re: Self-Driving Cars Must Meet 15 Benchmarks in U.S. Guidance

#225
post #195

From the regulations: "Fall back strategies should take into account that—despite laws and regulations to the contrary—human drivers may be inattentive, under the influence of alcohol or other substances, drowsy, or physically impaired in some other manner." NHTSA, which, after all, studies crashes, is being very realistic. Here's the "we're looking at you, Tesla" moment: "Guidance for Lower Levels of Automated Vehic…

I don't understand this anti-autonomy cheerleading. It's like people on HN live in a parallel universe where there have been a bunch of deaths from cars running Autopilot, whereas in the world I live in, it seems to be somewhat safer than a human alone. Like, people can mess up either way, but they seem to be less likely to do so when the car is also looking out for them. What am I missing?

In your reply to a well-argued post, you offer no similarly well-argued refutation of its points, just an emotional appeal based on generalities (I say 'emotional' because you take an explicit 'it is us against them, you are either for us or against us' position.) What you are missing is that opposition to simplistic arguments and false dichotomies where safety is an issue is not opposition to autonomy. What you are missing is that one can look forward to autonomy while advocating reasonable caution.

Re: Self-Driving Cars Must Meet 15 Benchmarks in U.S. Guidance

#226
post #195

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't understand this anti-autonomy cheerleading. It's like people on HN live in a parallel universe where there have been a bunch of deaths from cars running Autopilot, whereas in the world I live in, it seems to be somewhat safer than a human alone. Like, people can mess up either way, but they seem to be less likely to do so when the car is also looking out for them. What am I missing?

You have to compare the one death using autopilot to one death of people driving Teslas without autopilot. Musk tried to compare it against the universe of drivers (Teslas, kids driving crappy cars, etc), which was a complete false comparison. So the reason it was a big deal is because it was a huge fatality. Tesla drivers are generally a pretty safe bunch. Statistically, if autopilot hadn't been engaged, that death…

In thr most famous Tesla case, the driver was a huge advocate and YouTuber who pushed autopilot to its limits intentionally, not being a good copilot.

Re: Self-Driving Cars Must Meet 15 Benchmarks in U.S. Guidance

#227

From the regulations: "Fall back strategies should take into account that—despite laws and regulations to the contrary—human drivers may be inattentive, under the influence of alcohol or other substances, drowsy, or physically impaired in some other manner." NHTSA, which, after all, studies crashes, is being very realistic. Here's the "we're looking at you, Tesla" moment: "Guidance for Lower Levels of Automated Vehic…

For the Tesla comment, what more could you expect from them right now? If you have auto pilot on your hands have to be on the wheel or it vibrates and then it starts slowing down e eventually since it knows it's not safe. People can work around any system for this, but stuff like this makes it have to do it consciously. Seems pretty reasonable on Tesla's part.

Having your hands on the wheel is not a reliable indicator that you are paying any attention and are ready to take control.

An eye-tracking system might work.

Re: Self-Driving Cars Must Meet 15 Benchmarks in U.S. Guidance

#228

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In my opinion, you mentioned the core reason why you find the excitement baffling, i.e. that you don't drive often but you find it exciting when you do. Now imagine the scenario for most of the US, a public-transport-hostile country for the most part, where millions upon millions of people burn their precious lives waiting in traffic and sucking in traffic fumes. In my mind, this is one of the most appalling wastes o…

Thanks for the response and totally agree with the sitting in traffic, wasted time thing ,but with all due respect it still seems inefficient, wouldn't public transport and telecommuting be better options in a connected world? How will there still be no traffic jams, or the car will be like an office? In that case why not just work from home and come to work for meetings here and there? Might flexible / less work hou…

The more human drivers that are replaced by software, the less congestion there will be on the roads. It's delays in human reaction times which cause cars to back up on roads and take forever to get through intersections.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHzzSao6ypE

Re: Self-Driving Cars Must Meet 15 Benchmarks in U.S. Guidance

#229

Earlier quoted context omitted.

For the Tesla comment, what more could you expect from them right now? If you have auto pilot on your hands have to be on the wheel or it vibrates and then it starts slowing down e eventually since it knows it's not safe. People can work around any system for this, but stuff like this makes it have to do it consciously. Seems pretty reasonable on Tesla's part.

You could expect them to not call it autopilot, and instead call it lane keeping, like it really is. The name does a really good job at setting a terrible expectation, almost to the point of undoing any attention grabbing mechanism to keep users engaged.

The name is not the problem. Regardless of what you call it, once people find out empirically that their attention is not needed most of the time, even the most well-intentioned minds will wander.

Re: Self-Driving Cars Must Meet 15 Benchmarks in U.S. Guidance

#230
post #177

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What do you call a smear campaign against a target that's actually incompetent?

What do you call an indiscriminate smear campaign against a large target, parts of which are incompetent, and parts of which are competent? "Self-serving"?

Politics.
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