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UAE to leave OPEC

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211–220 of 750 posts

Re: UAE to leave OPEC

#211
post #180

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Cheap and plentiful fossil fuels. We’re rolling back CAFE standards too.

CAFE standards were always a stupid idea. If we want to reduce fuel usage then increase the tax on fuel instead of punishing manufacturers for selling vehicles that consumers want to buy.

Yeah, but "increasing taxes" always rouses the rabble.

Re: UAE to leave OPEC

#212
post #180

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Cheap and plentiful fossil fuels. We’re rolling back CAFE standards too.

CAFE standards were always a stupid idea. If we want to reduce fuel usage then increase the tax on fuel instead of punishing manufacturers for selling vehicles that consumers want to buy.

This is, respectfully, corporate propaganda. Consumers buy the vehicles that are available and advertised. It's in the best interest of manufacturers to convince/compel consumers to buy larger, more expensive vehicles with higher margins, and that's exactly what they're doing.

Re: UAE to leave OPEC

#214
post #189

The US has long sought to erode OPEC’s ability to dictate global oil prices. The US has made massive progress in being broadly energy independent to isolate it from challenges elsewhere. The US has been a net energy exporter since 2019. Global oil pricing was always an annoying thorn in that strategy. This is an initial but big crack in shaking up global oil markets in a way that meaningfully shifts global power dyna…

Global pricing affects all fossil fuels and always will. Energy independence will remain a fantasy until we are fully on renewables. Which is entirely within reach and requires fighting zero wars.

It's the other way around: Renewables will remain a fantasy until we achieve energy independence.

Re: UAE to leave OPEC

#215
post #196
post #174

Earlier quoted context omitted.

By mid century, worldwide fossil fuel usage will be higher than it is today. Solar will take over some of the electricity production including transportation but in the overall energy mix it will largely be a supplement, not a replacement. Total per capita energy use from all sources will continue to increase at a rapid rate.

> By mid century, worldwide fossil fuel usage will be higher than it is today. Even if this turns out to be true, it would be irrelevant. The reason that oil occupies the geopolitical role it does today is because of its potential to rapidly bring the entire developed world to a halt. Oil will always be in demand because of its many useful applications (and this demand may even grow in absolute terms despite declinin…

The potato cartel seems to be at least somewhat effective.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/potato-cartel-fries-tater-tots...

Re: UAE to leave OPEC

#216
post #103

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's a good question. Let me answer the question this way: OPEC is the biggest single factor for the inflation shock of 2020 to 2022 yet weirdly hardly anybody talks about it. Let's rewind to March 2020 and the start of the pandemic. For a very brief period, April oil futures went negative . Technically, this was an extreme contango market. Oil producers were running out of places to store oil and nobody was buying.…

You have another thing which is that MBS (correctly) felt comfortable ignoring Biden. If he'd slighted Trump in that way it would probably take 2 private jets to undo the damage.

Biden was ready to take on the Saudis and then Russia invaded Ukraine...

Re: UAE to leave OPEC

#217

"My grandfather rode a camel, my father rode a camel, I drive a Mercedes, my son drives a Land Rover, and my grandson is going to ride a camel". Sheikh Rashid bin Saeed Al Maktoum, the former Emir of Dubai.

Its a fun line, but the volume of money they have and the way its managed says they are looking at retaining that wealth somehow

Retaining wealth is the easy part, retaining political power is hard. They don't want to be regular jetsetting billionaires, they want to rule their own domain. And in order to do that, they need to figure out how to make people want to keep living there.

Re: UAE to leave OPEC

#218

The US has long sought to erode OPEC’s ability to dictate global oil prices. The US has made massive progress in being broadly energy independent to isolate it from challenges elsewhere. The US has been a net energy exporter since 2019. Global oil pricing was always an annoying thorn in that strategy. This is an initial but big crack in shaking up global oil markets in a way that meaningfully shifts global power dyna…

Cheap and plentiful fossil fuels. We’re rolling back CAFE standards too.

Always gonna happen. Oil margins are gigantic and they'll use every dime of runway they can. Electric is better in every single way and batteries tech is only making that more true every day. The dinosaurs won't go quietly into the night.

Re: UAE to leave OPEC

#219

OPEC has long been Saudi Arabia reducing output, and everyone else selling everything they can. They haven't had much power since the 1970s, but that they exist means they are a threat that if everyone else actually stuck to the agreement for a change. This is the common problem for cartels: everyone has inventive to cheat on the deals made. By selling a little more than your share you get more money, while because e…

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Re: UAE to leave OPEC

#220

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Its a fun line, but the volume of money they have and the way its managed says they are looking at retaining that wealth somehow

Money retrained means nothing when cheap oil is gone. Cars are only a thing because we have volumes and energy for large supply chains and scale. A rich person can afford a model-T level car, but large parts of what makes a luxury car are things that they won't be able to get at any price without modern industry that is built on distributed wealth for many people. All the electronics - needs industry. Precision manuf…

Petromonarchies invest a lot into alternative asset classes: semiconductor industry, logistics and shipping, power electric machines, biomedical development, etc. Renewables are in the list, too.
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