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The whole thing was a scam

garymarcus.substack.com

211–220 of 347 posts

Re: The whole thing was a scam

#211

25M isn’t even that much money. Not only are they whores, they’re cheap whores.

We're still here mostly because these are the dollar store fascists. If they were really competent this would be the fourth reich already by now and all brown people would have been exterminated in concentration camps.

Re: The whole thing was a scam

#212
post #201

Honestly, this makes me almost feel better about the whole situation. I had been finding it super unsettling: Like, why would DoD go nuclear over wanting to build fully autonomous weapons… with Claude? But no, it’s just run-of-the-mill Trump administration corruption. Phew!

Unfortunately the article is wrong, the OpenAI deal relents on exactly what Anthropic wouldn't. The OpenAI deal is "you can do anything that's 'legal'". This is the same as "zero restrictions", in the real world. Anthropic was offered the same and said "no, these two usecases are not allowed, period".

Haggling with DoD over contract terms and losing out is utterly routine. Ending up labeled a supply chain risk as a result is not.

Re: The whole thing was a scam

#213
post #171

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> As they first were in Google. So because you saw it once in one company, it will happen in every company? By that logic, wont Claude eventually get ads too, even though they are saying that they wont? Even now, Google ads wrap around the content, they don't mess with the search results. > Were you around then? Yes. I was around for AltaVista, WebCrawler, and Lycos too. None of those were LLMs.

I think it is a good bet that Claude will eventually get ads too, if they don't drop the consumer segment. Ads are free money; most don't care.

I think most would care if their AI buddy starts shilling products mid-conversation. People would lose trust, instantly. That's why the Super Bowl ads were unfair. It's not going to happen like that. That would be stupid. Say what you like about Sam Altman but he's not stupid.

Re: The whole thing was a scam

#214
post #152

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In actual functioning democracies political donations are capped severely. Say, a single donor can contribute a maximum of €6,000 per parliament candidate per election. Yes, that's a real limit.

We used to have laws like that, but apparently our supreme court believes that bribing politicians is political speech, and curtailing that speech is unconstitutional, so... It's so broken.

Are you aware that the Citizens United case was actually about a movie? It wasn't about handing someone a stack of cash. When I see perspectives like yours, I wonder what you would say is the right way to handle the question of whether someone can make a movie that portrays a candidate in a positive or negative light. It seems to be pretty clearly a matter of free speech (first amendment), so unless there's some other provision of the constitution that would override that, I don't see how it could be forbidden.

To the extent that a pretty big chunk of donations are used to fund very short movies (we call them ads) for or against candidates, I'm not sure how that can be distinguished. I could see how one would distinguish get-out-the-vote or other similar non-speech type activities, but those on the Left seem to not oppose such expenditures.

Re: The whole thing was a scam

#215
The oligarchic system is not only poisonous to economic growth but also incredibly hard to dislodge. Most of you are American and likely thinking that this is an aberration that will be rectified come next election cycle but I believe you are going to get disappointed. People who scaled the government buildings in a coup attempt are not going to give up power willingly. And now they have coerced your oligarchs to come to their side and those who fail the loyalty test like Amodei are getting punished. You are not approaching Russia style kleptocracy. You're already there.

Re: The whole thing was a scam

#216
post #191

[dead]

S(c)am Altman has had this messed up story arc the entire time, the problem is most people are unaware. Remember when he declared himself the chairman of Y Combinator, they deleted it from YC's blog / website, he filed as YC's chairman with the SEC for years despite not actually being chairman. This was after he stepped down as CEO. Then there's all the sketchiness surrounding some companies he sold.

Guy's the worlds most successful grifter who has world economies by the... anyway...

Re: The whole thing was a scam

#217
How does Brockman sleep at night? These guys used to seem like standup ethical guys. It seems no amount of intellectualism is enough to ward off the poison of wealth.

Re: The whole thing was a scam

#218

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't think I disagree much with what you said, but frankly I think that is a task for other people. I am exceedingly impatient with this kind of stuff, from people that I think should know better. I try to avoid these arguments now entirely and live in my happy progressive NYC bubble. No doubt that diplomacy with this stuff is necessary but I don't think that that's something anyone should want me specifically for…

I think what you’ve said is thoughtful and honest and I disagree with the downvotes. I’m one of the politically homeless, and not even a resident of the USA, so I suppose I have an easy out. Life can be very hard, and I don’t fault anyone for prioritizing their life over a political situation that is so very hard to affect. I do appreciate those that dedicate themselves though, the ones that seem to be helping and no…

I don’t think I was downvoted, at least I not as of the time of this writing, though I don’t generally care if I am. I already have a ton of HN karma and I also don’t want to have my name attached to an opinion I will not defend I don’t see the point of unpaid social media if not to have a place to express honest opinions.

It’s not like I am apolitical; I donate money to causes I support, and I am generally willing to argue my beliefs if it’s something I believe it. I have my opinions, many of them very strong.

I am just saying that I am not an ambassador. I don’t really have a strong desire to “convert” people, and I don’t think I am the right person for that particular job. There’s value in it and I am ok with people doing it. Just not me.

Re: The whole thing was a scam

#220
"In capitalism, the market decides.

In oligarchy, connections and donations decide.

It sure look like the US is transitioning from the former to the latter"

I honestly can't understand how anyone sees things this way. The US isn't transitioning at all. It is and has been a complete oligarchy for at least 70 years.

I've taken to discounting any political talking-head that wont consistently acknowledge and push that axiom as THE fundamental assumption of all political discourse.

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