AI when it becomes powerful enough will be used as tool by the world leaders; the same as the atom bomb was used as a weapon to end WW2 by beating the advisory into the ground.
This is the same repeating story throughout written history why should it change now because Mr. Gates and some other philanthropists are optimists about human nature.
The Age of AI has begun
211–220 of 228 posts
Re: The Age of AI has begun
#212Earlier quoted context omitted.
Let me be facetious here. If GPT-4 was truly all that, it would be classified and at work in Ukraine (or somewhere) right now. Not running Akinator-tier promo marketing gigs.
It's not about GPT-3 or GPT-4 per se. It's about the rate of progress and the development of Theory of Mind. GPT-4 plays ~1400 level chess having never been taught the rules of the game explicitly (except for potentially reading them on one of it's ingested webpages)
> except for potentially reading them on one of it's ingested webpages
Yeah, that's a pretty huge "except".
Chess literature is just literally hundreds and hundreds of transcripts of chess games. You just need to memorize them.
Re: The Age of AI has begun
#213Considering everything, it sounds more like another big wegde hammered into the divide. This will just make the rich richer, because now they can even save on artists, writers and other "expenses", all of which they can just add to their bonus now. All while you of course will still pay full price for whatever they offer. Admittedly I write this in frustration, from the perspective of someone who has friends who did…
AI will take the "means of production" from knowledge workers: their brains.
Well ... for now we can take the bullshit argument beloved by management: "work cheap now, it's a learning/growth opportunity that will pay off later" ... and throw it back in their face saying: since AI is going to take our jobs (yes that argument you were just using to try an convince us we are worth less) we'll just have to get all the money we can earn right now ... so pay up because there is no "later".
Re: The Age of AI has begun
#214UBI, UBI, UBI ! Then who’s going to clean the toilet? yes that’s exactly what needs to happen right now. Less supply of workforce, high demand for automation. Less carbon footprint, long term. Whoever has better Ai will win any major future global conflict. They will be fought by drones and robot spiders. I feel like every piece of puzzle is coming together. Look around. Everyone’s getting old. No babies being born.…
The transition would probably not be very smooth or peaceful.
Re: The Age of AI has begun
#215Earlier quoted context omitted.
AI has been around for as long (or even longer, depending on how you see it) as the internet (counting the start of internet as the beginning of TCP/IP).
As someone who has done some research on AI in the last 25 years I find this current iteration amazing. 25 years ago when I was just starting my Bachelor's degree, AI was in a sort of "hiatus". The "great" AI procedures were mostly rule based systems. We read about MYCIN and similar expert systems and how they could do amazing stuff. We also read about AI generating new strategies for Backgammon. That was amazing. Bu…
> "But during the 90s/2000s, nothing spectacular happened."
I don't know, around 2005 there were guys making cat door that could recognize the picture of the home cat.
https://www.metafilter.com/15802/
There was also someone playing chess with a spam filter.
https://dbacl.sourceforge.net/spam_chess-1.html
Indeed there were anti-viruses and spam filters.
In the mobile industry I remember a company selling noise reduction systems which used RNN.
Re: The Age of AI has begun
#216I like to think its more the age of the Genuine Personal Digital Assistant has begun. The LLMs are great at assisting you to do your job but they wont take over yet.
Good. I can't wait to boot up Megaman.exe and jack into my oven!
Re: The Age of AI has begun
#217I just had my first assistance from ChatGPT today, courtesy of a "junior" (I would prefer "less-experienced") engineer. He wanted to click a web button as part of his work on improving our steam engine (ok, calibration system) so I worked out the URL for the button and the appropriate curl incantation to trigger it. Gave him the URL and suggest he twiddled some python to do it. About an hour later he came back, told…
> Probably they will not achieve the same level of connection (mostly because they will lack a human body to make expressions, at least at the beginning).
What is ego-surfing?
Re: The Age of AI has begun
#218Earlier quoted context omitted.
I have no aversion to `the funding of knowledge work`. (c)opywrong law is actually a huge tax on doing knowledge work for everyone except the 1%.
Can you help me understand how "[copyright] law is actually a huge tax on doing knowledge work for everyone except the 1%?"
Revenue gained from (c)opywrong law - minus sum of [all fees], [royalties], [license overhead], [additional red tape someone has to jump through to use information] - minus sum of the same for all government agencies that one pays taxes to.
Re: The Age of AI has begun
#219Earlier quoted context omitted.
Can you help me understand how "[copyright] law is actually a huge tax on doing knowledge work for everyone except the 1%?"
Revenue gained from (c)opywrong law - minus sum of [all fees], [royalties], [license overhead], [additional red tape someone has to jump through to use information] - minus sum of the same for all government agencies that one pays taxes to.
> Revenue gained from [copyright] law - minus sum of [all fees], [royalties], [license overhead], [additional red tape someone has to jump through to use information] - minus sum of the same for all government agencies that one pays taxes to.
I'm not sure this answers the question. Who's revenue is this, and which of the elements you described is "a tax"?
Re: The Age of AI has begun
#220Earlier quoted context omitted.
It is impressive and useful technology but Gates is misleading by implying that the LLM is doing "critical thinking", when it is doing the opposite -- shallow regurgitation of "information" (i.e. tokens).
Experiments have demonstrated that GPT-4 does have a basic theory of mind, so it does not simply regurgitate.
No, experiments have demonstrated that GPT-4 can respond as if it had theory of mind. Basically all measures of psychological constructs need to be rethought given the development of LLMs.