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Crypto trading firm Alameda Research might be insolvent

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211–216 of 216 posts

Re: Crypto trading firm Alameda Research might be insolvent

#211

I really do not like this article and the discourse here for several reasons: 1. The entire Coindesk article lacks meaningful substance. For instance, we have zero idea about what those $7.4 billion of “loans” are. It’s really irresponsible to say that they’re insolvent. If you believe, so, you are applying no more rigor to your understanding of the space than the idiots who say HODL YOLO HFSP. If the liabilities are…

Ubelievable, only 6 days later, and not only did Alameda collapse, but also FTX and SBF himself

Re: Crypto trading firm Alameda Research might be insolvent

#212

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why do you timestamp it ?

Because it only took ~24 hours for this comment... >As someone in the industry, it's almost certainly not. ... to be proven wrong.

Right. And that felt obvious at the time ... but if you don't timestamp it, who knows (later on) whether it really was obvious, or hindsight?

I also thought that question (Hindsight or Not?) might be interesting to more people than just me.

Re: Crypto trading firm Alameda Research might be insolvent

#213

As someone in the industry, it's almost certainly not . First very simple point, to become insolvent you have to actually take a loss somewhere. They may have a lot of junk tokens on their balance sheet, and these tokens may be overmarked, but Alameda's cost basis (most of them were from seed rounds) is still way below their current value. With Three Arrows it was very obvious where the loss was from, they were hyper…

Given the recent events of the last 24 hours, what's your updated view on this?

He was completely wrong on the situation, how many more views of his do you want? (To the credit of HN, many people thought he was wrong at the time too)

https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/11/10/sam-bankman-fri...

Re: Crypto trading firm Alameda Research might be insolvent

#214

I really do not like this article and the discourse here for several reasons: 1. The entire Coindesk article lacks meaningful substance. For instance, we have zero idea about what those $7.4 billion of “loans” are. It’s really irresponsible to say that they’re insolvent. If you believe, so, you are applying no more rigor to your understanding of the space than the idiots who say HODL YOLO HFSP. If the liabilities are…

A whole week later, turns out you were dead wrong and the article was spot on.

Re: Crypto trading firm Alameda Research might be insolvent

#215
post #139

Earlier quoted context omitted.

- internet person says he works in the crypto space - is actually financially illiterate Checks out, sadly.

I graduated with a degree in finance from Wharton, worked as a quant at Citadel Securities, and have been a high-frequency trader for more than a decade. But I'm more than sure that your credentials at finance or trading are more qualified. :)

So...

Re: Crypto trading firm Alameda Research might be insolvent

#216

As someone in the industry, it's almost certainly not . First very simple point, to become insolvent you have to actually take a loss somewhere. They may have a lot of junk tokens on their balance sheet, and these tokens may be overmarked, but Alameda's cost basis (most of them were from seed rounds) is still way below their current value. With Three Arrows it was very obvious where the loss was from, they were hyper…

On 2022 11/4 7:50 am Pacific, this was the top-ranked comment on this article on HN.

I fucking love this.
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