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Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

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Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#211

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How would you expect to you hear of some when they're prohibited by law? Try it like this. Federal minimum wage comes out to around $15,000/year. This is in the same ballpark as college tuition -- which is generally regarded as costing a lot of money. If you go to an institution where you're a novice and it takes half your hours to learn the trade and the other half is productive but effectively unskilled work for th…

> Try it like this. Federal minimum wage comes out to around $15,000/year. This is in the same ballpark as college tuition -- which is generally regarded as costing a lot of money. If you go to an institution where you're a novice and it takes half your hours to learn the trade and the other half is productive work for the employer, you would expect these two to net to approximately zero, right? So why is it at all u…

> Either that job is an internship (non-permanent and I already addressed it) or you will quickly become a fully productive worker (this is literally just training/ramp up and is not a significant cost to employers).

You're asking for examples and then pigeonholing any possibilities into one box or the other.

Some occupations take a long time to learn. Years. Particularly if it's effectively half training and half working, because then it takes twice as long to finish the training. If it's the equivalent of four years of undergrad and three years of grad school then it would take fourteen years -- hardly "temporary" but at the end you would be qualified for a six figure job and have no student loans. Is that a sufficient example?

> Companies can and do regularly lobby for laws. They don't appear to be using this line of reasoning because if large minimum wage employers like McDonalds or Walmart tried this they would be laughed at even in political spheres.

The institutions that would lobby for this legitimately don't exist because their structure is prohibited by existing law, so it's chicken and egg.

Existing large minimum wage employers generally don't want to eliminate the minimum wage because it would make it harder for them to retain talent because their prospective employees would have more options.

Suppose you work at McDonalds and have a 30 mile commute. That costs you thousands of dollars a year -- you have to buy, maintain, insure and fuel a vehicle -- and about eight hours a week of sitting in traffic. A job that paid $2/hour less but was close enough for you to walk to work would leave you healthier with more money in your pocket and more free time. McDonalds would have to pay you more in order to get you to not quit and take the other job. Why would they want that?

> People take badly paying jobs because if you're faced with bad and really bad, you'll take bad. Companies are free to exploit this without minimum wage laws in place. This type of exploitation only works in a buyers (if we put employees here as "buyers" of jobs) market, and immediately pushes wages significantly lower in a sellers market, which we have seen for quite a good deal of the past few decades. We can't have economics that are only moral when things are going well.

But that's the whole problem, isn't it? When things are going well it's a seller's market and you don't need a minimum wage. When things are going poorly, the option isn't minimum wage job vs. less than minimum wage job, it's less than minimum wage job vs. unemployment. So then you're prohibiting bad and leaving them with really bad.

> You are improving the lives of every job that has a raised salary as a result.

You're also worsening the lives of every customer who has to pay more for goods and services as a result, and for that matter everyone who makes less on their retirement account. That part of it is a zero sum game. The part that isn't is the part where where the minimum wage prohibits Pareto-optimal alternatives that generate actual surplus.

> Big citation needed here.

If there exist two complex options and you take one away based on a simple factor, there will be some number of people for which the option you took away was the better one. Can you not imagine that some jobs might pay less money but be more flexible or closer to home or less emotionally taxing and thereby preferable despite the lower pay?

> There are many studies on both sides of the minimum wage debate, and that's just going to turn into a linking war between people who are not economists and are also not likely to change their minds on the internet.

All of the studies of this question are inherently politically compromised because it's trivial to design a study to find the outcome you want. If you want to see no increase in unemployment from a minimum wage increase, find one where hardly anyone was making the minimum wage even after the increase to minimize the economic effect. If you want to see a large effect, find a large minimum wage increase in a place with many small businesses that can't absorb the higher costs and few large institutions that can.

The ability to cherry pick data doesn't prove anything. But notice this: Even when a minimum wage does exactly what you want it to, the effect is to transfer money from the large institutions that can absorb the minimum wage increase to the minimum wage workers. But you can get exactly the same desired effect simply by changing their relative tax rates (using negative rates if necessary) without incurring any of the harm caused by constraining anyone's choice of employment.

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#212
post #8

By the logic of economists slavery and indentured service, etc are good ideas. Because by economist logic anything that produces more money is better, irrespective of the cost accrued by others. Slavery, and follow on policies of indentured service, crop sharing, etc are the only reasons the pro-slavery states maintained economic relevance as long as they did.

That isn't true. Highly educated employees at a modern firm effortlessly outperform slaves. That is why pro-slavery states generally got crushed by their opponents.

There isn't a good mechanism to educate slaves; a key plank of the modern economy is letting people sort themselves into the role they can be most productive in.

You can't find an example in the last century of an economy of slaves outperforming an economy made up of the free. Economists would uniformly disagree with you; your ideas of what make most economic sense are unprofitable vs a no-slavery economic policy.

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#213

Show me a price "gouger" and I'll show you someone that is about to make their last few sales and have no inventory for an unknown period of time. Everyone always wants the other guy to commit to constraints to shield themselves from risk.

Had to scroll down nearly to bottom to find this gem. The failure is systemic.

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#214

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> high prices direct resources to more important uses I don't think that that is always true. High prices will redirect scarce resources to those who have the means and desire to pay for them. That doesn't necessarily mean that those uses are more important, regardless of how one defines what it means for the resource usage to be important.

Exactly this. Why is Scrooge McDuck buying the entire supply of something somehow better than evenly distributing it? I can't believe people actually think making toilet paper $20 a roll is the correct outcome instead of rationing with price controls. Maybe it's the Ferengi mentality of people seeing themselves as the exploiters.

If I run out of TP and can't get any more at a reasonable price I will just use cloth towels and wash them right after use. Many people still use cloth diapers with their babies. Running out of TP is a first world problem.

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#215

Increased production doesn’t occur because the economics don’t work, it doesn’t occur because there’s just no way to physically ramp up production that fast. That’s not really a critique of the economics. If production could be increased that fast the manufacturers would. An important point the article didn’t address is that high prices direct resources to more important uses. If prices are very high then hospitals m…

Manufacturing can't ramp up overnight, but supply can increase overnight due to gouging because:

1. people won't buy what they don't really need, leaving more for others

2. people will become motivated to sell their surplus supply rather than hoarding it

Further helping things is demand will be reduced due to gouging because people:

1. will not be motivated to buy and hoard

2. will not buy for frivolous purposes

Trying to force companies to produce more at a fixed price is less effective than enticing them to via making more money. An economy cannot be run on altruistic impulses.

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#216

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Isn't your comment a critique of all free markets? Food is largely a free market in the US. A billionaire could buy a billion dollars worth of beef tomorrow. But they don't, because why would they? And in fact, markets have done a better job of feeding people than any centralized planning system has. I don't see why masks would be any different.

> markets have done a better job of feeding people than any centralized planning system has. I wish HN would take their ECON101 lesson and shove it. All functioning governments susbsidize local farmers. The US pays farmers to produce milk and corn, amongst other things. The extra milk is often stockpiled as 5 pound cheese bricks. I've seen them. There is no "free markets with only comparative advantage" for food. How…

A counterexample:

After WWII in Poland, Moscow installed a communist government in Warsaw, which promptly started implementing communist policies. One of the biggest ones was collectivization of farming - taking pieces of land and joining them into massive, state-run farms. After around 10 years of this, the studies started showing that this collectivized farming is so much less efficient than private farming (which didn't receive any subsidies!) that, if the whole country converts to it, there's a risk of nation-wide hunger. Further collectivization was stopped shortly after, even though it was clearly against the official dogma of private property and capitalism being the root of all evil.

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#217
post #45

Increased production doesn’t occur because the economics don’t work, it doesn’t occur because there’s just no way to physically ramp up production that fast. That’s not really a critique of the economics. If production could be increased that fast the manufacturers would. An important point the article didn’t address is that high prices direct resources to more important uses. If prices are very high then hospitals m…

> An important point the article didn’t address is that high prices direct resources to more important uses. Neither do high prices. Those direct them to people with more money to spend. Confusing "richer" with "more important" is always a bad idea, but especially so with goods like medical supplies. A billionaire who wants to stockpile a million masks just in case definitely not "more important" than a million poor…

> Neither do high prices.

Sure they do. Look at what happens when an oil refinery blows up (happens now and then). Price for gas goes up until demand matches supply. Billionaires don't hoard gas.

Gas prices fluctuate daily. This is all from matching supply with demand. The same goes for airline seats and the price of oranges. I don't think I ever pay the same price twice for oranges at the supermarket.

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#218
post #179
post #45

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> An important point the article didn’t address is that high prices direct resources to more important uses. Neither do high prices. Those direct them to people with more money to spend. Confusing "richer" with "more important" is always a bad idea, but especially so with goods like medical supplies. A billionaire who wants to stockpile a million masks just in case definitely not "more important" than a million poor…

Mr. Mouse has a good take on this but there is a second perspective that is worth considering: If we set up a dog-eat-dog world where only money matters, why would a billionaire hoard unneeded masks? They know that they can just buy what they need when the need it. The only people with incentive to hoard are poor and vulnerable people because they know they won't be able to afford masks when they run out. Entrepreneu…

This assumes that people actually behave rationally. Do we have actual numbers on rich people buying TP during the present crisis? If most people including the rich are going to hoard anyway a rising price just transfers more money to sellers when many need it most. Worse it incentivizes people to buy for resale if the price is trending upward.

TP selling for 200% that is headed to 400% shortly is a smarter buy than most stocks.

Since people can't actually store infinite TP wouldn't all hoarders end up with the max TP they are willing to hold in a reasonable time frame after which more supply becomes available for everyone else. In the mean time most buyers haven't been wiping with leaves they expected more effort to visit more stores and ultimately settled on buying some inferior TP. It's not even clear that your suggestion would bring equilibrium faster.

If I may suggest you and a minority of others would be better served in such a situation and you are trying to construct an argument so as to justify a policy that would benefit yourself.

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#219
post #179

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Mr. Mouse has a good take on this but there is a second perspective that is worth considering: If we set up a dog-eat-dog world where only money matters, why would a billionaire hoard unneeded masks? They know that they can just buy what they need when the need it. The only people with incentive to hoard are poor and vulnerable people because they know they won't be able to afford masks when they run out. Entrepreneu…

Given that poor people can't afford to hoard because of the cost of storage (especially in cities) and financing, isn't it better that rich people are encouraged to hoard when supply is plentiful? The problem arises when rich people start hoarding at times when supply is constrained, because they can do it so much more rapidly and create a much greater shock to the system. It was notable in London that severe shortag…

Anti-gouging laws cause sensible people to hoard at the first sign of trouble.

Re: Economists who defend disaster profiteers are wrong

#220
post #190
post #116

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> And many modern economists endorse a minimum wage, as eugenicists did then, but with even less regard for the harm it causes. You are comparing the moral stance of supporting eugenics with the moral stance of supporting a minimum wage? Are those just the first two random moral stances taken by economists that you recall, or are you trying to color the perception the latter with the true horror of the former?

Eugenics had wide scientific support; it wasn't a horror when they proposed it. A seriously high minimum wage ($100,000/year for example; no other policy changes) would probably lead to a period of horror and mass unemployment. Possibly famine, I don't know what would happen if it no longer made economic sense to employ people to transport food around. Maybe they are already high earners, what do I know. A minimum wa…

Other people think the concept of price controls is tied to morals when it comes to minimum wages.

When you consider our democratic system it becomes pretty obvious. You need slightly more than 50% of the votes. So the minimum wage is picked so that at least 50% of the population earns more than it. Therefore by definition a minimum wage chosen by politicians is going to set it to a really low value that will then be associated with poorer people. Therefore the minimum wage gains a reputation of helping poorer people.

But at the end of the day it's just a price control. Minimum wage has nothing to do with morals. It's just a rule that says who can or can't have a job. It doesn't actually give people a minimum wage job. You can set it high or low. If it is too low then it does nothing. If it is too high then it prevents people from getting a job. The minimum wage must always follow the market, because the market won't follow the minimum wage.

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