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Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

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201–210 of 360 posts

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#201
post #174

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The simple explanation is that the causal agent for the excees of the non-covid deaths is the same SARS-CoV2 virus, but death comes later and not at the acute phase of the disease.

If the vaccine was randomly administered among the study population, I'd buy this as the simple explanation. Not sure it follows so cleanly with the actual study setup

There is plenty of evidence beside this study.

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#202

They define unvaccinated as anyone in the study who didn't get their first dose by Nov 2021. That feels like a pretty tight window to me. I don't think they checked to see if those "unvaccinated" people got vaccinated during the 4 year followup, especially given the mandates that forced people to get them.

How would they calculate 4 year all-cause mortality on people who got vaccinated after Nov 2021? In case you haven't looked at a calendar recently, it's December 2025 now.

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#203

I've been using this prompt on articles that generate debate. Like microservices, or jwt's. It brings up some interesting points for this article... Look at this article and point out any wording that seems meant to push a certain viewpoint. Note anything important the author leaves out, downplays, or overstates, including numbers that seem cherry-picked or lack context. Clearly separate basic facts from opinions or…

Note that LLMs can easily deduce what your biases are based on your prompt and give you only information that confirms your biases.

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#204
post #31

I found the intro very confusing, tbh. Particularly the "no increased risk of all-cause mortality". I mean, if we assume the vaccines worked, we'd certainly expect a decreased risk of all-case mortality (because "all-case mortality" certainly includes "covid mortality"). Reading "no increase" seems to imply "it doesn't change anything". Yeah, technically, the sentence does not say that ("no increase" can mean "no dec…

The problem is that 25% lower risk of all-cause mortality is too big to be explained solely by the vaccine. The reduction is similar when excluding deaths due to COVID-19, and is probably driven by people who got the vaccine being different in some ways that the observational study isn’t controlling for.

Could it mean that lots of Covid deaths are being attributed to other things?

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#205

Honestly, the thing I find more interesting is the "Social Deprivation Index" where vaccinated individuals were 21% "most social" and 19% "least social" while unvaccinated individuals were 15% "most social" and 27% "least social". There are obvious negative and positive ways to interpret this but I don't actually know the correct one.

If you're social you're more likely to care about those around you. Vaccines are also important for protecting vulnerable people in the community, so they were doubly motivated that way.

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#206

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They define unvaccinated as anyone who wasn't vaccinated by Nov 2021. What if they got vaccinated afterwards?

This is specified as an exclusion criteria in the Supplementary.

No they didn't. They excluded those that got the vaccine pre-May 2021 or those that got another vaccine besides Pfizer or Moderna.

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#207
post #61

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The reduction in all-cause mortality was independent of covid deaths. Which seems to suggest that there was big differences between the groups other than the vaccination. This of course does not change that the vaccine seems mostly safe, but it definitely calls in to question whether the protection against covid death was vaccine-mediated or due to some other difference between the groups. Therefore this paper is mod…

I don’t think it’s possible to know anything conclusive about the safety for a few decades and a generation or two of affected kids can be observed. Given that finding harm would embarrass important aristocrats, I don’t think that evidence would ever be found in the foreseeable future. That mRNA and lipid nano particles were never found to be safe until the exact moment of crisis is awfully convenient for its investo…

Where do you get decades? That study says 200 days.

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#208

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You should read my statement again. If COVID vaccines reduces COVID deaths by 100% and increase everything else by 0.01%, you will still have a reduction in "all-cause" mortality yet your chances of dying by anything else has increased. I already said Table 2 does not show this is happening and in fact vaccinated individuals have better outcomes across the board. However, people are drawing this conclusion (even thou…

> If COVID vaccines reduces COVID deaths by 100% and increase everything else by 0.01%… But you already agreed this is not the case, in your comment: > If you look at Table 2, you can see that the vaccinated group is less mortality in all diseases.

GP is saying that indicates there is some other factor involved in reducing all-cause mortality, since it is probably reasonable to believe the mRNA vaccines were not improving mortality rates of other diseases, and that therefore the sampling of these populations is not random.

See this comment: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46164643

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#209
post #65

NB: most people choosing not to take it in France tend to fall into the medically at risk, stubborn, or, "so far down the rabbit hole that you probably can't trust these people to make sensible life choices" groups. (This alone being a good reason why this 'control' group had a slightly higher all cause mortality at 6months) Remember, France was one of the wonderful countries where you couldn't legally shop or work i…

> But we'll pretty much never be able to prove or disprove that...

How convenient for you...

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#210
post #165

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think people throw these accusations around way too broadly. There is a small subset of weirdos who think the Covid/mRNA vaccines contain microchips or were designed kill off some percentage of the population. But I think there's another, much larger group who might care a lot about their health to the point where they don't even drink from plastic bottles, and who when presented with a novel vaccine which was deve…

The problem with the myocarditis risk in young men is that they undergo exactly the same risk from the actual covid infection. And given the fact that it was already obviously going to be endemic it really wasn't much of a calculation. It was basically: You either roll the dice now or you roll the dice when you inevitably get covid.

some people might like to quantify the risks that may or may not be associated with both in order to make informed decisions

unfortunately that line of reasoning was so censured that people started weaponizing it

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