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Trump wins presidency for second time

thehill.com

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Re: Trump wins presidency for second time

#201

Post by John23832 »

andy_ppp wrote: post #72

My theory: people are just hacked off that life is getting worse for most people while billionaires get richer and richer. Every disaster the wealthy get handouts while the poor have to pay for them. Government can no longer afford anything because all of its assets have been sold and rented back at a profit. I don’t think either campaign made any difference to the outcome of this election at all. In conclusion it mi…

> My theory: people are just hacked off that life is getting worse for most people while billionaires get richer and richer. Every disaster the wealthy get handouts while the poor have to pay for them. Government can no longer afford anything because all of its assets have been sold and rented back at a profit.

So they support the candidate with the billionares bankrolling him and and doing "million dollar sweepstakes". Give me a break.

Re: Trump wins presidency for second time

#202

Post by csomar »

the5avage wrote: post #96

Is there some analysis why the polls didn't correctly predict the result? A failure in representative polls like this should be avoided with statistical methods.

Heavy partisan bias. Polymarket predict this quite well. Putting your money on the line is still a thing.

Re: Trump wins presidency for second time

#205

Post by rozab »

goethes_kind wrote: post #165

From a game theoretical perspective this is a good result. It is a clear reiteration of the message to the Democrats: you won't win by claiming to be 0.1% less bad. The Democrats should have fielded a strong personality in their own right. This is not about left or right. It's about mobilizing people by giving them something to care about. "More of the same" and "not like that guy" isn't very enticing. I don't think…

I assume by 'strong personality' you mean populist. I think it's a big mistake to think populism can only be fought with populism, otherwise all democracies would have fallen to it long ago.

I do think if we're pointing fingers, most of the problems came from before the Harris campaign kicked off.

Re: Trump wins presidency for second time

#208

Post by tomohawk »

the5avage wrote: post #96

Is there some analysis why the polls didn't correctly predict the result? A failure in representative polls like this should be avoided with statistical methods.

People no longer feel comfortable telling the truth about their votes.

https://www.axios.com/2024/10/30/election-gen-z-voting-lies

Re: Trump wins presidency for second time

#210

Post by _ink_ »

lancebeet wrote: post #47

It's interesting how bad the democrats seem to be at the game of winning elections. They continuously seem to pick bad candidates and poor strategies resulting in them losing the election when they seem to have had the general conditions for winning. This time, the elephant in the room is of course the late ousting of Joe Biden, but there were similar issues that (in hindsight at least) were obvious in the Clinton 20…

The argument of the GOP was, Trump is better because the inflation was lower during his term. How are you supposed to counter this?
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