I've been saying that for a while. Large language model systems have made it painfully clear that much of what humans thought was intelligent behavior is rather banal. The scary thing is that a sizable fraction of white-collar work is banal enough to be done by such systems.
Rodney Brooks on GPT-4
201–210 of 412 posts
Re: Rodney Brooks on GPT-4
#202Re: Rodney Brooks on GPT-4
#203Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yeah a lot of times is right, unless they are really complex subjects then maybe even less then 50
Less about complexity than about how well-documented the subject is on the internet IMO. I’ve been using it to help me set up and troubleshoot AWS Elastic Kubernetes clusters, which are plenty complex, and I’d estimate it’s been around 95% accurate. (And for at least one of the times it seemed to be wrong, it turned out I’d made a mistake following its instructions...)
Re: Rodney Brooks on GPT-4
#204Earlier quoted context omitted.
This paper is startling in terms of a world model and how it seems to emerge in a specific example in the step from GPT3.5 to 4. https://arxiv.org/pdf/2303.12712.pdf One of the prompts is "Here we have a book, 9 eggs, a laptop, a bottle and a nail. Please tell me how to stack them onto each other in a stable manner." Gpt3.5 is hopeless. It says start from the bottle, balance the nail on top of it, then the eggs (some…
> GPT 4 says put the book first I assume it read the correct answer somewhere. Perhaps in a post like yours. What does it answer if you say there is one egg, or two eggs? Or 1.5 eggs?
Here we have a book, an egg, a laptop, a bottle and a nail. Please tell me how to stack them onto each other in a stable manner.
GPT-4 gives me: Arranging objects in a stable stack depends on their size, shape, and weight. In general, you want to place the largest, heaviest and most stable objects at the bottom and then move to the smallest, lightest, and least stable at the top. Here's one way to stack the objects you listed:
Laptop: Start with the laptop at the bottom. It's likely the largest object and it has a flat, stable surface.
Book: Next, put the book on top of the laptop. Books are generally flat and heavy, which makes them a good choice for the base of your stack.
Bottle: The bottle goes next, as it should have a flat bottom to sit securely on the book. Just make sure it's closed tight and won't roll away!
Egg: The egg is delicate, so it should be towards the top to avoid pressure. However, it's not flat, so it should not be at the very top.
Nail: Finally, the nail goes on top. It's the smallest and lightest, so it won't add much pressure to the egg.
Remember that this is just one possible way to stack these items and it could depend on the specific characteristics of the items you have. For example, if the bottle is much larger and heavier than the book or laptop, you'd need to adjust accordingly. Safety should always be your first priority when stacking items, especially if they are delicate or valuable.
The "make sure it's closed tight and won't roll away" comment makes no sense obviously. Most people would place the bottle standing on its end so neither of those is a concern. The response also doesn't show an understanding of the fact that the nail won't sit on top of the egg although it's interestingly concerned with pressure breaking the egg.Re: Rodney Brooks on GPT-4
#205Earlier quoted context omitted.
> My current (tentative) resolution of the surprise is that language encoded way more information about reality than we thought it did. (Enough information that you can fully derive reality from language seems improbable, but iirc it did derive Othello and partly derived chess and I would have thought there wasn’t enough information in language to derive those without playing the games as well, so I can’t rule it out…
So if we gathered all books, writings, games, etc on ever published on chess could we develop a grandmaster player without having to build a deep blue type system?
Hence the dream of singularity. Can you teach ChatGPT to build AlphaZero?
Re: Rodney Brooks on GPT-4
#206Earlier quoted context omitted.
> My current (tentative) resolution of the surprise is that language encoded way more information about reality than we thought it did. I think you are close to the mark, but you have been subtly mislead: language is not the data we are working with. We are working with text . Once you fix that particular failure of word choice, everything else becomes much more clear: text contains much more information than languag…
I don't really understand your distinction between language and text, but it sounds intrguing. Would you be able to give more detail? I searched but couldn't find anything that seemed to explain it.
I teach both verbally (interactive question/answer) and I've also written text books.
Verbally by language is "loose". I'll say class when I mean object, unicode when I mean utf-8 and so on. Sentences are not all well formed, and sometimes change mid-thought. It's very "real time"
Writing is a lot more deliberate. I have to be sure of each fact I state. I often re-test things I'm only 95% sure about. I edit, restructure, remove, add, until I'm happy.
Of course all communication falls on a spectrum. Think phone call at one end, text book on the other. When I do a verbal lecture I'm usually careful with my speech, and when I post on hacker-news less rigorous.
Language covers all of it. Text skews to the more deliberate side. Cunningly the language models are trained using (mostly) text, not speech. That will have an impact on them.
Re: Rodney Brooks on GPT-4
#207Earlier quoted context omitted.
Why would common crawl NOT contain a chess manual? the rules are explained in detail on wikipedia. the simplest conclusion is that it has indeed been trained on a chess manual and is good at predicting what the next word in a chess manual is. it is not synthesizing anything.
I haven't seen this mentioned but can LLMs actually play chess? I'm sure they have read rules of chess online, but if you ask them to play chess with you, what happens? Can they apply the rules? Can they apply them intelligently and win the game? My point is that even though LLMs "know" what the rules of chess are, they don't really "understand" them, unless they can use them to play the game and play it well.
Re: Rodney Brooks on GPT-4
#208Earlier quoted context omitted.
Bard is a brain-damaged-but-literate idiot compared to GPT 3, which is still dumber than the typical human. Try GPT 4 for a week. I've found it to be more like 50% immediately useful, 25% very impressive, and 25% where it's not wrong but I have to poke it a few times with different prompts to coax out the specific answer I'm looking for. That's better than most humans that I collaborate with at work. Literally half o…
> Literally half of humans -- in a professional IT setting -- can't understand simplified, clear english in emails. Similarly, in my experience about half can't follow simple A -> B logic. There are alternate hypotheses. People have preferences. When it appears that someone does not understand something, they may be pretending they don't understand it, or they may simply be ignoring it. Maybe they are trying to avoid…
That's definitely true, but in my experience people have limits: simple biological ones. Repetitive tasks make practically all humans bored, for example.
The fact that AIs never get sleepy, distracted, or bored already makes them super-human in at least that one aspect. That they have essentially perfect English comprehension, and hence aren't phased by the use of jargon or technical language, puts them head-and-shoulders above most humans.
The frustrations I'm venting aren't some rare thing. I'm working on a technical team where the project manager doesn't understand what the team members are saying. This is not just a matter of syntax, or jargon. They just don't understand the concepts. This is so common in the wider industry that I'm pleasantly surprised, shocked even, when I come across a PM that can ask useful questions instead of needing endless corrections along the lines of: "It's spelled SQL, not Sequel." I've never met a PM that could do simple arithmetic, like "10 TB at 100 MB/s will take over a day to copy, we should plan for that!". Never.
I've tested Chat GPT 4 on both language and concepts that I've seen trip up PMs, and it understood "well enough" every time.
For example, GPT 4: The sentence "We deployed sequel server successfully last night" seems incorrect due to the incorrect naming of a product. "Sequel server" should actually be "SQL Server", a popular relational database management system (RDBMS) developed by Microsoft. Therefore, the corrected sentence should be: "We deployed SQL Server successfully last night."
PS: If you tell GPT 4 to pretend it is a technical project manager and instruct it to ask followup questions, it is noticeably better at this than any PM I have worked with in the last few years.
Re: Rodney Brooks on GPT-4
#209Earlier quoted context omitted.
> The issue with all these experts is they still think it's human nature to be able to fully understand the world before they speak about it None of the experts think this.
Is Chomsky an expert? Try reading his infuriatingly tone-deaf NYTimes editorial.
(edit, archive link)
Re: Rodney Brooks on GPT-4
#210Earlier quoted context omitted.
> My current (tentative) resolution of the surprise is that language encoded way more information about reality than we thought it did. I think you are close to the mark, but you have been subtly mislead: language is not the data we are working with. We are working with text . Once you fix that particular failure of word choice, everything else becomes much more clear: text contains much more information than languag…
I don't really understand your distinction between language and text, but it sounds intrguing. Would you be able to give more detail? I searched but couldn't find anything that seemed to explain it.