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The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

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Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#201
post #51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Do you have any citations? I saw both of those claims being discussed heavily on Twitter and Facebook during that time without those disclaimers so if there was some campaign it appears to have been pretty limited.

Here YouTube itself is stating you can’t contradict local health authorities on COVID transmission: https://support.google.com/youtube/answer/9891785?hl=en It’s a really stupid policy because the ‘truth’ depends on who your local health authorities are, they can easily contradict.

The policy was first applied in May 2020 so it wouldn't have been relevant during most of the period in question but even if it had, the examples do not make it seem like they'd be going after someone who said that an N95 would protect you against COVID-19.

http://web.archive.org/web/20220000000000*/https://support.g...

Part of why I asked for specific examples is that a common problem you'll see in alternative health circles is where someone will say something which isn't completely wrong in the middle of a bunch of blather which is, and then when they're moderated they'll claim that the former was the reason and a bunch of people will hear that claim without the full original context.

Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#202

Does anyone else find this baffling as an avenue of exploration to begin with? The health impacts of a 30 year old healthy male smoking tobacco massively outweigh what coronavirus would do to them in 99.9 percent of cases, likely higher. It feels a bit like saying you could reduce your chance of toe cancer by amputating your toe. Theoretically sure, if you're already in a wheelchair, why not, no toes required. But th…

it's an avenu of exploration that shows a correlation. It could end up being "taking a microdose of nicotine reduces covid-19 infection" and that wouldn't necessarily be seen as a major health impact that outweighs the effects of infection.

Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#203
Alternative bit of anecdata - I like to use a vape. I like the flavour and sensation. But I never inhale. I always figure I do absorb a bit of the nicotine though. All my family and peers have had COVID and I have not. I've been in close contact with people too... (Also had both vaccine doses, booster, and bivalent booster). My fam were also up to date on vaccines.

Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#204
post #200

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In what way have there been lies?

To be clear, I stayed at home longer than most. I wore masks and still have some at home and in my car if needed. I got vaccinated as early as possible according to the rules, etc... I'm not a conspiracy theorist about these things. I am concerned with the process and the seizure of power by so many, and how so many are just fine with it as long as it is their team. "After the state attorney general revealed earlier…

Ah. Good points.

Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#205

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> They sold their credibility for a mess of money and political activism Can you provide any additional details, references, and/or specific examples? I haven't used snopes in a long while, but was impressed at the time, particularly that they always sited references, exploring both sides of an issue. I always came away feeling better informed. But I'm open to changing my opinion if there is justification to do so.

>Can you provide any additional details, references, and/or specific examples? Sure. https://www.dailywire.com/news/fact-check-snopes-biased-read... https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4730092/Snopes-brin... https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/deansterlingjones/snope... https://nypost.com/2022/02/16/snopes-latest-example-of-fact-... >I haven't used snopes in a long while, but was impressed at the time, particul…

I appreciate the links you provided. I thought I'd share my impressions after looking them over.

> https://www.dailywire.com/news/fact-check-snopes-biased-read...

This article said that snopes concluded [0] that it was true that the african-american lady said she was verbally assaulted and told to "go back", and that the white guy admitted swearing at her, and that the fictional/satirical Babylon article was false on where it happened and with who. In the (updated?) snopes article they said that she wasn't sure if he said the "go back" part.

I assume the problem is about whether that "go back" part was actually said, making this more of a racial issue? Snopes never passed judgement on that, it looks to me like they passed along what she said, and what he said, along with a sampling of social media comments people were making. The fact that snopes didn't include the police report or video doesn't seem terribly relevant, but maybe that's just my opinion, the video and his statements didn't look good for him. The dailywire.com article seemed to take issue with her calling him a "white man" (their scare quotes), but in the video they linked to the guy referred to himself as white and admitted initiating the confrontation and swearing at her.

I don't think that snopes misrepresented this. They were fact checking the title of the satire column that named the wrong place and the wrong person, and they labelled it as satire. What did you expect, for snopes to fact check the "go back" part and call her a liar?

In my opinion, after reading both articles and watching the video, the guy was an asshole. I understand being rubbed wrong by people who are over the limit in the express line. But he was not impacted - he was already checked out. Would he have confronted and swore at a pregnant white woman like that? If the answer is "no" then it looks like white privilege to me, and that's something that minorities say happens a lot, and it must be terribly aggravating. Did she make that up the "go back" part purpose? Hmmm, that's a pretty minor detail. He was an asshole. It was something to read some of those tweets, that it's her fault for being triggered and she should be ashamed. Wow.

> https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4730092/Snopes-brin...

> https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/deansterlingjones/snope...

These get into reports that the guy who founded snopes misused company funds after his divorce, and plagiarized from other news articles.

I don't want to say these may not be relevant, but granting they may be both 100% true I don't know that they prove one way or the other if snopes is misrepresenting things or not. They seem to try to put all the relevant facts on the table.

> httphttps://nypost.com/2022/02/16/snopes-latest-example-of-fact-...

This was fact checking the assertion "Biden Admin Spending $30M To Give Crack Pipes, Drug Kits To Addicts For 'Advancing Racial Equity'". Snopes declared it "mostly false" then later changed to "outdated" after a statement from the administration that crack pipes would not be part of the program [1].

I thought they did a good job with this. They laid out a lot of facts, including the relevant text of the HHS document, more than I saw in the nypost.com and linked freebeacon.com articles. On the one hand safe-smoking kits were one of 20 activities targetted for the grants, and they wanted to prioritize under-served communities, but the goal of the whole program was to reduce harm and infection among drug users. They focused their true/false check on the headline "crack pipes for racial equity" and gave it a mostly false, which seems correct. It was the headline stretching the truth, not snopes.

You original assertion:

> It's Snopes. No such thing. They sold their credibility for a mess of money and political activism.

Fact check = False, your examples did not prove your point.

I agree with you about checking references for oneself. I've noticed in the past that snopes' true/false calls can be narrowly scoped, and are often not as useful as the more detailed facts. They do a good job of aggregating facts, better than most of what passes for news sources in today's world.

I'd also say that in regards to political issues many people don't seem to be interested in complicated facts any more as much as they are in feeding their existing biases and agendas one soundbite and meme at a time, not wanting to engage with anything to the contrary. Like you said, you trusted them when it came to urban myths, but stopped liking them around 2016, which coincides with when political fact checking becoming a bigger issue.

I'm curious what you think snopes should have done differently for in the two articles [0] [1] discussed? Chosen different assertions to check? Come to different conclusions? What were you expecting to see?

[0] https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/georgia-lawmaker-go-back-c...

[1] https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/biden-crack-pipes-racial-e...

Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#207
There was a theory back in the early days that smoking provided nitric oxide, which had beneficial effects re: covid. The Vitamin D comment here also tied nitric oxide to vitamin d and uva/uvb.

Maybe it really is all about NO.

Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#208
post #56

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Equally we have many studies showing that vitamin D helps to reduce risk from covid (hint: it doesn't). More studies show that ivermectin has a positive effect in covid patients. In fact, ivermectin has no effect or has only a very weak effect in certain patients. In medicine observational studies suffer from certain problems that are hard to overcome. The biggest is that the groups are not equal. For example, smoker…

> Equally we have many studies showing that vitamin D helps to reduce risk from covid (hint: it doesn't). How so?

Because people did a bunch of small, poor-quality studies that seeded to show improvement. But when we did larger scale, properly controlled, randomized studies, where we gave people vitamin D, it didn't show much of an effect.

And yet people persist in different theories why it is so. I don't know the mechanism, but randomized, placebo-controlled studies currently are gold standard in medicine. Their results are much more trustable than many observations studies. Sometimes we cannot do randomized studies and observational studies is all we can do but if if we can and research report only observational studies, I take with a big dose of salt.

Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#209
post #145

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You did a great job of summing up what I felt after reading the article and then reading comments here. I've lived long enough to see things that folks have pointed out get scorched by naysayers and later confirmed to be true. One example that's stuck with me over the years is where Monarch Butterflies spend the winter. When I was growing up we were told "No one knows", and that was true. Then, in the 1970s, some guy…

For every random "expert" who is right there are likely millions of wrong ones. In tech terms, it's like the "idea" guy. We need to have some level of curation, that yes, will be wrong at singular time points. The point of a process is continual improvement, not being perfect at every singular point in time. That includes studies too. The process takes time. Unfortunately the government and public have to act ahead o…

> For every random "expert" who is right there are likely millions of wrong ones.

That's fair to say. But it's always best to be curious and open to learn from others. Years ago an older friend of mine gently chided me by telling me "You can learn something from everyone".

I needed that at the time and it truly changed me. I started looking for that to see if it was true and found it is. You still have to sift out the bullshit, and fair to say that's truer now than back then, but it's worth the effort to look for it.

Re: The great Covid and smoking cover-up?

#210
post #64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The studies do appear to show that smoking cigarettes is correlated with a lower probability of getting the Covid The problem is that non-smokers is not a single category of people, so the confounding factor for the correlation is "why X does not smoke". For example, if you had a study which compared moderate drinkers to non-drinkers, but not carve out "cannot drink due to other medication" from the second group, y…

> For example, if you had a study which compared moderate drinkers to non-drinkers, but not carve out "cannot drink due to other medication" from the second group, you get a more discriminatory result from the study. This is in fact what seems to have been underneath all those studies 10-25 years ago that seemed to show that non-drinkers have worse health outcomes than moderate drinkers. The problem is that "non-drin…

Oh really? That sounds super plausible. Do you have a good source for that? I'd love to dig a bit deeper on this as the whole "drinking once a day is good" thing is something that comes up a lot.
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