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Stanley Druckenmiller warns the stock market will be ‘flat’ for an entire decade

fortune.com

201–210 of 260 posts

Re: Stanley Druckenmiller warns the stock market will be ‘flat’ for an entire decade

#201

I have a very different position on this. I think we will see the most growth we’ve ever seen in the next decade and it will be powered by AI. I think most of these investors don’t really understand how close we are to have very useful AI and what it’s impact will be. We are roughly on the verge of another industrial revolution

None of the AI stuff really solves things like affordable housing or keeping wages up with inflation (or addressing inflation). It's not going to magically give us more energy without environmental impacts, or settle conflicts between countries. Building another AI-marketed SaaS only benefits people who don't need those benefits. In all likelihood, it'll just give us more bullshit jobs.

https://theanarchistlibrary.org/library/david-graeber-bullsh...

I just heard of this the other day and it is in my queue.

Re: Stanley Druckenmiller warns the stock market will be ‘flat’ for an entire decade

#203

And Michael Burry has been predicting crashes every few years since the 2008 one. And Bill Ackman predicted 'hell is coming' at the onset of the pandemic and made $2B [0]. And there were US Senators that also did possibly illegal things to pull money out of the market before the public knew about the pandemic. Outside of disclosures filed with the SEC, stock trading is anonymous yet they will have all sorts of headli…

> And there were US Senators that also did possibly illegal things to pull money out of the market before the public knew about the pandemic I just found out that there's a new ETF being filed that tracks trades by democrats and republicans. Probably beat the market easily

They disclose their trades a month or two afterward. If there's any confidential info embedded in those trades its value is probably gone by the time we find out about them.

Re: Stanley Druckenmiller warns the stock market will be ‘flat’ for an entire decade

#204

And Michael Burry has been predicting crashes every few years since the 2008 one. And Bill Ackman predicted 'hell is coming' at the onset of the pandemic and made $2B [0]. And there were US Senators that also did possibly illegal things to pull money out of the market before the public knew about the pandemic. Outside of disclosures filed with the SEC, stock trading is anonymous yet they will have all sorts of headli…

Chomsky has been calling out their effort to get you to take actions that benefit “them” for decades: https://youtu.be/N11tcnPBwf4

Jim Cramer said the quiet bits out loud: https://youtu.be/gyaPf6qXLa8

https://youtu.be/r07Gg92YjOI

US military industrial complex donated propaganda research to unis after Korea and it made its way to journalism, behavioral economics, advertising, and marketing programs.

“Stimulate as best as possible an emotional mood, insert talking point so next time that mood bubbles up the message comes to mind.”

Re: Stanley Druckenmiller warns the stock market will be ‘flat’ for an entire decade

#205

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Got a link please? That surely depends on having a > 20 year time horizon

This one isn't bad: https://www.reddit.com/r/Bogleheads/comments/wpqsno/lumpsum_... And here's a question. Say you have a windfall and you're deciding whether to lump sum or DCA it. And you decide to DCA. So therefore, why wouldn't you liquidate your entire investment portfolio and also DCA that the same way?

If you liquidate your portfolio you're going to have to recognize (pay tax on) capital gains.

Re: Stanley Druckenmiller warns the stock market will be ‘flat’ for an entire decade

#206
post #177

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not like he has a fucking Bloomberg terminal with no latency or anything. Like he can't spell out FPGA's but he delegates. Not half as senile as he makes himself look, not a shit mathematician at all, not a folklore-driven dude that anybody can imitate (counterfactual, that's part of the business), publishes information on his colon biopsies for a reason, he is rich because he wants to be rich , he likes money. Plus…

The best application of GPT-3 I've seen.

The best application of GPT-3 I've seen.

Re: Stanley Druckenmiller warns the stock market will be ‘flat’ for an entire decade

#207
post #128

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah some clowns named Ray and Warren also keeps crying wolf about how the economy has issues too. These guys have no idea what they are talking about! I don't think they even trade.

Buffett has also been predicting the mother of all crashes since 2016. Lesson: never listen to experts unless you discover one with a time machine. Like they say, more wealth has been lost trying to time the market than in crashes.

Are you talking about this, where he hedged against a market collapse, and then his portfolio only dropped 66% of the drop at the beginning of 2016:

https://www.fool.com/investing/general/2016/01/26/how-warren...

I'd read the strategy there more as "don't be greedy and invest in companies with lots of growth and weak fundamentals". That applies to bull markets too.

Re: Stanley Druckenmiller warns the stock market will be ‘flat’ for an entire decade

#208

I, a random anon from the Internet, think SP500 is heading for 2400 or even lower (1600ish?), which is great news, as millenials will get a chance to buy stocks at a low price.

looking at the pullbacks in 2000 and 2008, there is a non-trivial chance that the S&P will bottom sub-1000

Did the S&P drop by 80% or more in those recessions?

Re: Stanley Druckenmiller warns the stock market will be ‘flat’ for an entire decade

#209
Does anyone understand the "They’re like reformed smokers" comment?

> “They’ve gone from printing a bunch of money, like driving a Porsche at 200 miles an hour, to not only taking the foot off the gas, but just slamming the brakes on.”

I understand the Porsche example, but I don't understand the smoker reference.

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