There are threats which emerge when a viability threshold is crossed and realised. For cities, recurring plauges began occurring during Roman times and limited maximum city populations to about 1 million until the advent of modern sanitation, hygiene, public health, waste removal, and food quality. (Actual medical care and treatment had little to do with this, though vaccines and antibiotics helped.) Industrial pollu…
/The likelihood that attackers have some database of victims + passwords seems low./ My impression is that most of these start with phishing, and probably even tailored phishing for larger organizations. A particular phishing campaign then just needs to include an encryption key, while the decryption key is kept elsewhere; this process is still quite easy to automate. Hell, you could even just let loose lots of malwa…
Releasing "lots of malware" either means a finite keyset, or a key-generation mechanism. At least as I see it.
(I'd really like to find a detailed analysis of the malware software. There was an earlier version of the Darkside attack which used a weak mechansim for key generation.)