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New coronavirus can spread between humans, but started in a wildlife market

nationalgeographic.com

201–210 of 350 posts

Re: New coronavirus can spread between humans, but started in a wildlife market

#201

President Xi has warned that the virus is spreading. His intervention seems to be unprecedented. Is it worse than what it seems to be? They have quarantined whole cities and are building a hospital at war scale especially for this. Maybe the Chinese know something that the world doesn't know yet.

Anecdotal (not official) reports suggest as many as 100,000 infections in Wuhan area. There are claims the virus may be spread through eyes as well as inhalation. Additional unsubstantiated claims suggest low to no fever during incubation period, making detection difficult. The most sensationalist claim making the rounds is that a known Wuhan area PLA biolab may have failed to contain this pathogen. In the end none o…

What do you mean anecdotal? I'm really confused at how you even came up with that number. Unless you have some type of firsthand experience.

Re: New coronavirus can spread between humans, but started in a wildlife market

#202

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I have a friend who teaches in China and according to him everyone is extremely worried. People aren't going out, wearing masks when they do, and so forth.

- Wearing masks is normal because of air pollution. A lot of people wear really loose non-N95/n99 masks though, but there's definitely an uptick in people wearing better masks because of the virus. - An acquantince of mine went to a supermarket today. Everything seems fine (they live not too far from Beijing where there are confirmed cases). - There are still people entering Wuhan to see family. ( https://youtu.be/cm…

Masks are sold out the couple of places I've been to in Beijing. Girlfriend's family cancelled CNY celebrations for fear of the virus.

People are taking it very seriously.

Re: New coronavirus can spread between humans, but started in a wildlife market

#203
post #189
post #175

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Care to quote a source for "twice as fatal as the flu"? Everything indicates it's way worse. 6 of the first 41 identified patients have died. That's a mortality rate of 15%. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6... Caveat: 41 is a very small sample, and the first patients are likely to have been the most severe cases (pre-existing conditions, weak immune systems, etc). And when you take publicl…

Need better data to get better mortality rate. Stop hyperbole, let the epidemiologists call it.

Of course, we need better data. But tunesmith was downplaying numbers with unsourced claims, so he needed to be corrected.

The latest stats: 54 deaths out of 1764 cases → 3.1% mortality rate https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/01/the-latest-coronavirus...

Re: New coronavirus can spread between humans, but started in a wildlife market

#204
post #21

From what I've read it came from bats. Most probably bats being eaten.[1] Bats have been the source of at least 4 pandemics. It's interesting to note that current coronavirus spreading in China and the SARS outbreak of 2003 have two things in common: Both are from the coronavirus family, and both were passed from animals to humans in a wet market.[2] I tried to put together a page for coronavirus in China here where…

I've heard the bat eating theory, but the virus is airborne and infects the lungs. So it seems that eating a bat probably didn't cause this.

There's plenty of potential transmission routes. For MERS, drinking camel milk, for example, was a pretty strong risk factor.

Re: New coronavirus can spread between humans, but started in a wildlife market

#205
post #128

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Anecdotal (not official) reports suggest as many as 100,000 infections in Wuhan area. There are claims the virus may be spread through eyes as well as inhalation. Additional unsubstantiated claims suggest low to no fever during incubation period, making detection difficult. The most sensationalist claim making the rounds is that a known Wuhan area PLA biolab may have failed to contain this pathogen. In the end none o…

Is transmission through eyes that odd? The common cold already is. You rub your eyes, the virus enters your tears, which drain to your nose.

No, it isn't odd at all.

Re: New coronavirus can spread between humans, but started in a wildlife market

#206
post #128

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is transmission through eyes that odd? The common cold already is. You rub your eyes, the virus enters your tears, which drain to your nose.

It matters because face masks are not enough to prevent transmission, which matters relative to the common cold only because this virus kills. The common cold does not.

But this is taken care of by face marks and hand washing, because what would be happening is you touch your eyes.

If you're using a face mask, you should be washing your hands anyway, because if you think it's working, the moment you touch it you've come in contact with virus.

Re: New coronavirus can spread between humans, but started in a wildlife market

#207
post #173

Viruses are scary. My company switched to work at home maybe 18 months ago, so I no longer am exposed to the viruses of my coworkers. At the grocery stores at which I buy most of my food I use the self checkout, so no interacting with humans there. At McDonalds I order and pay at the kiosks, so no human interaction there except when they hand me the bag with my food. At Burger King and Wendy's I do order at the count…

When you use the self-checkout, you are putting your hands on a touch screen that has been touched by thousands of people a day.

Do you think that is a less likely vector of disease propagation, compared to interacting with one cashier?

Are you concerned that the cashier's hands touched your groceries during the scanning process?

If so, whose hands do you think put those groceries on store shelves?

Re: New coronavirus can spread between humans, but started in a wildlife market

#208

I don't understand why people eat monkey or bats? if they have all these virus or diseases in them. It's 2020 we have more food in the world than we did years ago no need to eat a bat just grab an apple.

The same reason people eat rabbits or deer and elk, despite the risk of diseases from them. It's 2020, we have more food in the world than we did years ago no need to eat a rabbit just grab an apple.

~ An Epidemiologist Who Really Hates This Bit of Othering That Always Shows Up In Outbreaks

Re: New coronavirus can spread between humans, but started in a wildlife market

#209
post #191

Need I say More? https://twitter.com/chenqiushi404/status/1219885244670607361

> Need I say More? Yes, actually. Can you demonstrate how this actually resulted in the pandemic rather than subtly shaming a cultural practice you don't agree with? (I don't agree with it either, but "need I say more" pointing to the specific practice is not the same thing as "here's a resource which links bat game consumption to outbreaks." The tone is ever so slightly edging in the wrong direction.)

Eating bats is not an inherently Chinese thing to do. This is a case of some people in China who happen to eat bats.

It’s actually more offensive to suggest it is than to defend the practice as “cultural”.

Re: New coronavirus can spread between humans, but started in a wildlife market

#210

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sorry, this is wild speculation, not fact. The “100% match” you cited is for one protein (and a small one, at that - just 75 amino acids long) which proves absolutely nothing (individual proteins can often be highly conserved - and amino acid alignment doesn’t guarantee that the underlying genes are even the same). SARS and MERS, highly similar viruses which emerged over the last 20 years, have a very similar emergen…

> Wuhan lab had anything to do with this outbreak The Wuhan National Biosafety Laboratory is the only lab in China designated for studying dangerous pathogens like SARS and Ebola. What are the chances of coincidence that Wuhan is also the center of this current outbreak? Maybe one of the lab animals somehow leaked and ended up in the food market.

Occams razor would posit that the presence of illegal food markets may be a higher predictor of illnesses than a BSL4 lab
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