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I have no idea what I'm doing

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21–30 of 79 posts

Re: I have no idea what I'm doing

#21
post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Was really sad to hear this: "You don’t really make any money by writing a book, but O’Reilly did send me a nice hat" How poorly does O'Reilly pay their authors? A book the size of most of their tomes, and at the prices they charge, should be a 5-figure advance in any other part of the industry.

Curious about this too. I wonder if he means that you don't really make any money compared to the opportunity cost of all the hours you spend on it, or if you really don't make any money in an absolute sense. Unfortunately, I suspect it's actually the latter due to the relatively tiny size of the target market for such books.

From other tech book authors it seems it's the former; they work many hours for a year and then they make 20k or that kind of minimum wage money

Re: I have no idea what I'm doing

#22

"If you only take one thing away from this talk, make it this: beavers are idiots. They have no idea why they’re building these huge structures; they just blindly do it." I can understand the author's use of the Beaver analogy but it may not be the right analogy. Beavers build these dams to keep the water level at a certain height. This not only offers protection from predators but also makes it easy to access food.…

>Beavers build these dams to keep the water level at a certain height. My friend, I think you are implying intention where there is none. It's true that the effect of beaver dam-building is advantageous, but there was never any deliberation about it on the beavers part. It's a curious case of effort without decision . One can easily think of a situation where a beaver might actually do better to not build a dam - but…

The way I like to think about it is ... Birds build nests, Bees build hives and Beavers build dams.

Re: I have no idea what I'm doing

#23

  Recently I found this note on my desk at home. It says “I HAVE NO IDEA 
  WHAT I’M DOING”. I don’t remember writing it, but it was in my house
  on my desk in my handwriting, so I obviously did.
He might want to seek some psychiatric help if this persists.

  So what did it mean? Was it a cry for help? A product idea? A topic 
  for a blog post? Or could it be an idea for a conference talk?
The card was a cry for help. This talk is a cry for attention.

  I’ll begin by showing you some compelling evidence that I have no idea 
  what I’m doing.
Well, he definitely proved it with all the completely asinine comparisons in the rest of his talk, but this one is the best:

  If you only take one thing away from this talk, make it this: beavers are
  idiots. They have no idea why they’re building these huge structures; they just
  blindly do it.
Really.

"One of the primary reasons beavers build dams is to surround their lodge with water for protection from predators." [...] "On land, the beaver's short legs and wide body made them slow and vulnerable to their enemies. However, unlike most of their historic predators, beavers are excellent swimmers. As a result beavers evolved to have a strong preference to remain in or very close to the safety of the water. The need for safety is the primary reason beavers build dams to create ponds." -- http://www.beaversolutions.com/about_beaver_biology.asp

Sounds like they have a pretty good idea why they build dams.

  But enough about me. As you’ve seen, I frequently find myself in situations
  where I don’t know what I’m doing, and I usually hit a brick wall and 
  feel disappointed. But it’s not just me! You have no idea what you’re doing
  either.
Don't go projecting on us, buddy. Most people, when faced with a challenge they're not immediately sure how to solve, will go read a book, or take a class, or ask someone who does know what they're doing. Lying about being able to write a book when you have no idea how in order to make money is not "impostor syndrome", it's merely being an impostor.

Dunning-Kruger does not explain or justify a total lack of forethought.

  All of these animals look remarkably like something in their environment, 
  but none of them has any meaningful understanding of why they look that way. 
  They don’t know what they’re imitating. The stick insect doesn’t know anything 
  about eucalyptus; that’s just what it looks like.
Says who? You, the expert? I'm pretty sure an animal who lives on a goddamn plant and looks just like it probably realizes that it's a plant, and that it looks similar, and that if it wants to eat, it should use that plant in order to hunt, so it can live.

An interviewer asked Richard Feynman to explain how magnetism works. He explained that it was a force that interacted with certain things. The interviewer asked, but why? Richard's answer was a long way of saying "just because, you moron."

You don't need to understand every layer of the onion. Every layer has another layer, and once you understand every single of them, and grok quantum physics and multiple dimensions and relativity and whatever else affects that onion's properties, that won't change that you need to cook that onion until it's soft before you add in meat to get the flavor out of it. If you know how to cook it, you know what you're doing.

It's not that the author has no idea what he's doing. He's just an idiot.

Re: I have no idea what I'm doing

#24

"If you only take one thing away from this talk, make it this: beavers are idiots. They have no idea why they’re building these huge structures; they just blindly do it." I can understand the author's use of the Beaver analogy but it may not be the right analogy. Beavers build these dams to keep the water level at a certain height. This not only offers protection from predators but also makes it easy to access food.…

Go further - the beaver doesn't know that its building a dam. It just builds because it feels compelled to. Then when the dam is done (the beaver triggers on the sound of water falling and stops when the sound is gone) the beaver reaps some benefit. Over millions of years, beavers that behaved like this prospered. The beaver doesn't know why or even think about it. No more than you think about your particular cell en…

They'll also abandon perfectly good dams just to move up stream and build another. They're some of the most environmentally destructive critters on earth; like most creatures if allowed to thrive they'll just keep devouring every tree and damming every river until they starve and die off, only beavers can wind up taking whole ecosystems with them.

Re: I have no idea what I'm doing

#25
Summary:

If you look closely enough, nobody really knows exactly what they're doing.

When you realize this, you're no longer blinded by the thought that you or other people know everything about something.

Then you also realize that all the stuff that is created by people isn't necessarily how it should be, it's just the outcome of the circumstances that the people were in.

With this realization you allow yourself to think more creatively (outside the box) about things.

However, the author and me don't have any idea what we're doing so I wouldn't take his or my story too seriously.

Re: I have no idea what I'm doing

#27

"If you only take one thing away from this talk, make it this: beavers are idiots. They have no idea why they’re building these huge structures; they just blindly do it." I can understand the author's use of the Beaver analogy but it may not be the right analogy. Beavers build these dams to keep the water level at a certain height. This not only offers protection from predators but also makes it easy to access food.…

Go further - the beaver doesn't know that its building a dam. It just builds because it feels compelled to. Then when the dam is done (the beaver triggers on the sound of water falling and stops when the sound is gone) the beaver reaps some benefit. Over millions of years, beavers that behaved like this prospered. The beaver doesn't know why or even think about it. No more than you think about your particular cell en…

This is also how I see a lot of human behavior. We do things for emotional need or feel compelled to do them, then later justify them logically. I dislike the modern idea that humans are somehow fundamentally different than animals, from a cognition standpoint. It just seems overly self-serving.

Re: I have no idea what I'm doing

#28

>Nobody knows what they’re doing; ignorance fuels creativity; complex systems are built iteratively. Those are the ideas I want you to remember. Really liked this piece and wanted to add something to it that I hope resonates with HN. I have myself run across all of this, particularly the complexity part, and have heard anecdotal evidence from others that I know, that when one finishes a function or a library of moder…

This is a thing that I have learned as well.

I have done projects that seemed small, and then by the end they were enormous, but I knew them intimately.

But when I start a project with the idea of it being that big in my head from the start, I'll get stressed and psych myself out, sometimes from doing it at all.

There's something to be said for ignoring the forest for planting the tree, to turn a proverb on it's head.

Re: I have no idea what I'm doing

#29
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Go further - the beaver doesn't know that its building a dam. It just builds because it feels compelled to. Then when the dam is done (the beaver triggers on the sound of water falling and stops when the sound is gone) the beaver reaps some benefit. Over millions of years, beavers that behaved like this prospered. The beaver doesn't know why or even think about it. No more than you think about your particular cell en…

They'll also abandon perfectly good dams just to move up stream and build another. They're some of the most environmentally destructive critters on earth; like most creatures if allowed to thrive they'll just keep devouring every tree and damming every river until they starve and die off, only beavers can wind up taking whole ecosystems with them.

Depends on your point of view. North America used to be a festering swamp of mosquito-ridden beaver ponds. Built over millions of years. That WAS the ecology. The landscape we see today is unnatural and temporary.

We reformed this continent to suit ourselves. Most attempts to protect some bit of land and trees in the name of preservation is ... shortsighted at the least.

Re: I have no idea what I'm doing

#30
In one sense the author is right. In another sense, saying "I have no idea what I'm doing" is a status play. Those a bit down on the totem pole don't have the luxury of publicly questioning their own competence.
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